MLB NRFI & YRFI Predictions, Picks — Wednesday, July 23

After going 0-2 yesterday, we now stand at 2-2 for the week. I’ve got two more picks on Wednesday, both for the evening slate.

Let’s dive into my MLB NRFI and YRFI picks and model predictions.

MLB NRFI, YRFI Picks — July 23, 2025

Yankees vs. Blue Jays NRFI/YRFI Prediction

Starting Pitchers: Max Fried vs. Chris Bassitt

We’ve got a strength-on-strength matchup in Toronto tonight, as two solid starting pitchers take on two powerful lineups.

The 8.5-run total is a cautiously optimistic sign for the offenses, which feature four of the top 30 hitters by wRC+ in baseball getting guaranteed first-inning at-bats.

That figure doesn’t even include Jazz Chisholm Jr., who is likely to bat fourth for the Yankees and has a 164 wRC+ against righties on the season.

The top of the Blue Jays‘ lineup is also much more dangerous against lefties, which is a big boost in the matchup against Fried.

Both pitchers are solid enough that I wouldn’t take this one at a much higher price, but at close to even money, it’s worth it.

White Sox vs. Rays NRFI/YRFI Prediction

Starting Pitchers: Jonathan Cannon vs. Taj Bradley

I’m showing a slight value on the full-game YRFI in Tampa tonight, but the Rays drive the vast majority of that.

Besides being the much better offense, they also have a dream matchup with Jonathan Cannon.

Cannon has a first-time through-the-order ERA and xFIP both in the mid-fives, so he gives up a lot of early scoring.

I’m also interested in the Rays being the first team to score (-110 at BetMGM) as we could theoretically cash that bet in later innings. However, I prefer the Team YRFI at plus money, which I’m betting for half of a usual unit.