MLB parlay for Tue., 7/12: Alternate props plus runlines equals $$$

With a full slate of games on Tuesday — 16 to be exact — the more opportunities to combine alternate prop bets/run lines in to a big payday present themselves like no other. Best of all, the lines are quite beneficial for teams that are rolling right now — like Baltimore and Seattle. Shocking, right? But it is what it is. As you expected, I'm including them in my parlay. Now there's definitely more than one parlay I like for Tuesday, but this is my top one. Why you ask? It offers the least amount of risk.

The Play: Baltimore +2.5 Runs, Seattle +2.5 Runs and Noah Syndergaard > 3.5 strikeouts (+126 odds via FanDuel)

Baltimore +2.5 Runs: Baltimore has won eight straight and the Orioles are underdogs against the 34-52 Cubs. It's hard to understand why. Plus, the Orioles have a chance to get back to .500 on Tuesday, which makes me even more confident Tuesday's game is going to be close. The O's have the fourth-best ERA in the American League this month and are playing a Cubs team that got swept over the weekend against the Dodgers. Not to mention they blew not one, but two, five-run leads on Sunday. Not exactly ideal timing for the Cubs to be playing the red-hot Orioles. No doubt the Cubs have improved since April, but Baltimore is on a completely different level. Not only are they playing respectable baseball, they're even in the playoff conversation. Jordan Lyles has struggled this season for Baltimore — 5-7 with a 4.50 ERA in 17 games — but he's been really good in July. Two starts for the month, 6+ innings in each start, only run allowed in each of those starts, and 11 total total strikeouts. Not bad. I'm not confident enough to say Baltimore extends its winning streak to nine, but they should be within two runs for the entire game. 

Seattle +2.5 Runs: Just like Baltimore, Seattle has won eight straight. Even better news, the Mariners begin a three-game road trip against the National League's worst Washington Nationals. And for some reason, they're underdogs. Even if Seattle doesn't win Tuesday's series opener, I expect this game to be close. Washington is winless this month and just can't get it going. If they limit opposing offenses, they don't score. If they're not scoring, opposing offenses bash them out of the ballpark. Make no mistake about it, the Nationals are bad. Like, really bad. Neither starter in this game exactly stands out — Chris Flexen and Josiah Gray — but with Seattle playing so well and Washington playing so badly, you just can't pass on the Mariners +2.5 on the runline. 

Noah Syndergaard > 3.5 strikeouts: This is definitely the riskiest of the three legs, but it's worth it. The Angels bullpen has been trash, which means Syndergaard is going to get the opportunity to go as deep into this one as he physically can. He might not be the "Thor" we once saw when he was with the Mets, but he can still get outs. Even strikeouts. Syndergaard struck out eight in his last start and has recorded at least four strikeouts in each of his last four starts. Now Houston isn't exactly the ideal opponent for an opposing pitcher strikeout bet, but without Yordan Alvarez, the Astros aren't the same juggernaut offensively. Don't be surprised to see Syndergaard give up four or five runs in this one, but with the current state of the Angels bullpen — fourth worst ERA in the AL — he's going to get a chance to be "the guy." Each leg of a parlay has risk, including this one, but it's worth it.