All-Star weekend came with several memorable moments, like Cal Raleigh adding a Home Run Derby title to his incredible season and Kyle Schwarber being the National League's hero in the the first ever All-Star game swing-off. But now it's time to shift focus back to the second half, with several division races heating up and narrow margins for each Wild Card spot.
Two of MLB's hottest teams are the Boston Red Sox and Milwaukee Brewers, who've won 10 and seven straight games, respectively. That puts the Red Sox just three games out of first place in the AL East, which could realistically send four teams to the playoffs. The Brewers built some breathing room ahead of the Cardinals and sit just one game behind the Cubs, who own MLB's best run differential (+119) after a series win over the Yankees.
The Dodgers lost seven straight games to the Astros, Brewers and Giants, but bounced back with a pair of wins in San Francisco just before the break. Their 5.5-game lead in the NL West over the Padres is second-largest in MLB, behind the Tigers, who should cruise to an AL Central division title with an 11.5-game lead over the up-and-down Twins.
The Astros hold a five-game lead in the AL West, but a 1-5 stretch against the Guardians and Rangers going into the All-Star break allows the Mariners –– who swept the Tigers in Detroit –– to still believe they have a shot at the division title.
With post-All-Star break action resuming on Friday, there are several matchups between playoff contenders to watch: Red Sox at Cubs, Giants at Blue Jays, Astros at Mariners, and Brewers at Dodgers, to name a few.
(This poll takes into account votes from four Fastball On SI MLB writers: Brady Farkas, Jack Ankony, Teren Kowatsch and Sam Connon. First-place votes are worth 30 points, and last-place votes are worth one point. Ties broken by highest vote or votes, followed by overall win percentage, then head-to-head record. Total points and first-place votes in parentheses.)
Here's how each writer voted.
Comments: I spent last week debating between the Tigers and Astros for the No. 1 spot, but they made it easy for me to drop them in this week’s rankings. After an incredible month of June and a 5-1 start to July, the Astros lost five of six home games to the struggling Guardians and Rangers. The Tigers still have the best record in baseball by a game, but they allowed 42 runs during a four-game home losing streak heading into the break.
As a result, it’s the National League’s top two teams at No. 1 and 2 this week, following a Dodgers series win in San Francisco and a Cubs series win at Yankee Stadium. The Brewers made a significant jump this week, from No. 8 to No. 4, after a seven-game win streak against the Marlins, Dodgers and Nationals. Going in the opposite direction are the Rays, who had a great stretch in June but have a 3-9 record in July. They were most recently swept by the Red Sox, who’ve won 10 straight and hold the second Wild Card spot.
Comments: Bit of a change at the top as the Tigers dropped three straight to Seattle to close the first half. The pitching is a concern for them beyond Skubal. The Yankees continue to fall and you have to wonder how the pitching injuries will catch up to them, and just note - the Guardians have the easiest remaining schedule in the second half. Might they be able to mount a little run?
Comments: The final week before the All-Star Break was one best defined in one word: "chaos." The New York Yankees were unseated atop the American League East by the Toronto Blue Jays, the Boston Red Sox took the Tampa Bay Rays' Wild Card spot, the Seattle Mariners swept the best team in baseball (record-wise), the Detroit Tigers, the AL West-leading Houston Astros dropped a series to the Texas Rangers and the San Francisco Giants were knocked out of playoff standings by the Los Angeles Dodgers. If the first half of the season proved anything, it's that nothing can be assumed when it comes to the playoffs.
Comments: With the season past its midpoint and the trade deadline approaching, the next few weeks will be critical for borderline teams trying to assert themselves as contenders. The Yankees, for instance, seem like they need a shot in the arm, while the Red Sox may want to add a piece or two to try and double down on their recent hot streak. Showdowns between the Astros and Mariners, Red Sox and Cubs, Brewers and Dodgers and Blue Jays and Giants are the ones to watch coming out of the All-Star break thanks to the high stakes and tight division races.
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