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National League Rookie Of The Year Odds
Jordan Godfree-Imagn Images

MLB player prop markets have mostly sharpened beyond any real expectation to beat them at this point — that is, except for rookie markets. 

What I mean to say is there's no chance a hitter with zero at-bats or pitcher with zero innings pitched yet this season could win the Most Valuable Player or Cy Young awards at this point. However, when it comes to rookies, it's entirely possible, even if improbable to happen. It's our job to sniff out the value...

National League Rookie Of The Year Odds:

  1. Drake Baldwin, C, ATL — +200
  2. Agustin Ramirez, C, MIA — +350
  3. Matt Shaw, 3B, CHC — +550
  4. Chad Patrick, SP, MIL — +800
  5. Logan Henderson, SP, MIL — +1100
  6. Bubba Chandler, SP, PIT — +1400
  7. Hyeseong Kim, 2B, LAD — +1600
  8. Ben Casparius, SP. LAD — +2000
  9. Dylan Crews, OF. WAS — +2500
  10. Luisangel Acuna, SS, NYM — +3000
  11. Dalton Rushing, C, LAD — +3000
  12. Cade Horton, SP, CHC — +3000
  13. Ronny Mauricio, SS, NYM — +3500
  14. Roki Sasaki, SP, LAD — +4000
  15. Jordan Lawlar, SS, ARI — +4000
  16. Mick Abel, SP, PHI — +5000
  17. Caleb Durbin, 3B, MIL — +5000

LAGHEZZA'S LEANS:

This bit of data's serving as a reminder for me to check in on these markets more often. There's too many directions this one award could go to make any definitive determinations right now. I have little to no faith in the favorites as constituted.

Let's take a quick look at the board. Atlanta's Drake Baldwin's playing well but I'd be shocked if a backup catcher brought home the ROY. Agustín Ramírez also serves as the second backstop on his team, except he earns PAs every other day as the regular DH. As of right now, he'd be my selection though it's not a runaway selection.

Since he's not that far ahead of the pack, any of the front-end SP prospects can easily win this thing, in particular the duo of Mick Abel and Logan Henderson —each has dominated hitters right out of the gate and just need a larger sample to make their case. 

Thanks for reading! If you're interested in upping your analytical game and finding out about my best-selling Substack page, don't be shy. Reach out to me via DM anytime on X @JohnLaghezza and I'll hook you up with a free trial.

This article first appeared on Athlon Sports and was syndicated with permission.

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