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- May 12, 2025; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets first baseman Pete Alonso (20) tosses his bat after hitting a ninth inning walkoff RBI sacrifice fly against the Pittsburgh Pirates at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-Imagn Images

New York Mets Vs. New York Yankees Preview, Predictions, & Odds | May 16, 2025

Originally posted on Total Apex Fantasy Sports
By Matt Brown | Last updated May 16, 2025 11:19 AM ET

New York Mets (28-16) vs. New York Yankees (25-18)

Game Details: Friday, May 16, 2025 @ 7:05 pm EST

Location: Yankees Stadium in Bronx, New York

T. Megill (R) vs. C. Rodon (L)

Where to Watch: MLB.TV

The New York Mets head to Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees in the Subway Series. Get ready for some fireworks in this series, as these two lineups are full of elite hitters and Yankee Stadium is known for high-scoring games. It is also the Juan Soto revenge game as he faces the Yankees for the first time since signing with the Mets this offseason. Who will come out on top in the first game of the Subway Series in 2025?

Betting Odds

Team	Spread	Total Runs	Money Line
	+1.5 (-170)	Over 9 (-108)	+120
	-1.5 (+142)	Under 9 (-112)	-142

** Odds Courtesy of DraftKings**

Apex Tale of The Tape

	*Team Stats*
4.66	Runs/G	5.81
.253	BA	.263
.332	OBP	.347
4.27	SLG	4.81
.759	OPS	.828
52	HR	76
32	SB	32
2.84	ERA	3.62
1.24	WHIP	1.18
9.23	K/9	9.47
.987	Fielding Percentage	.985
12	Saves	11

Projected Starting Pitchers H2H

*Tylor Megill*	*Player Stats*	*Carlos Rodon*
3-3	W/L	4-3
3.10	ERA	3.29
40.2	IP	54.2
1.25	WHIP	0.97
52	K	67
17	BB	20

Key Stats

New York Mets

The New York Mets’ offense has been running on all cylinders over the past week. Five players, Brett Baty, Francisco Lindor, Brandon Nimmo, Starling Marte, and Mark Vientos, are all batting over .300 in the past seven games. One player who is struggling is Juan Soto. He is only hitting .133 over the past seven games. This is a trend that has been happening over the first months of the season.

Right-hander Tylor Megill takes the mound against the Yankees, trying to get back on track after a few mediocre starts. In his last start against the Chicago Cubs, he only lasted 4.2 innings, allowing seven hits and four earned runs. He gave up seven earned runs total in the two starts before that. However, his strikeout numbers have remained high, averaging just over seven strikeouts per start over the last three games.

New York Yankees

Aaron Judge has been on fire for the New York Yankees. Over the past seven games, he is slashing a ridiculous .524/1.048/1.608 with three home runs and seven RBIs. He isn’t the only Yankees hitter who is hot right now. Anthony Volpe, Paul Goldschmidt, Cody Bellinger, and Trent Grisham are all hitting over .300 over the past week.

Carlos Rodon takes the mound for the Yankees. The left-hander had a rough outing against the Athletics in his last start, giving up eight hits and four earned runs. He struck out ten batters in the six innings pitched. This start was the anomaly as the previous four starts only allowed two earned runs combined. Rodon has found most of his success on the road, starting out 1-2 with a 3.42 ERA at Yankee Stadium.

New York Mets vs. New York Yankees Betting Trends

	*Betting Stats*
6-4	W/L 10	6-4
23-21	ATS	22-21
16-25-3	O/U	20-21-2

Prediction

Spolier alert. I’m taking the over all weekend. I don’t care how high Vegas puts it, I’m expecting the ball to fly out of Yankee Stadium this weekend. For this game, I like the Yankees. Megill has faced some of the top lineups recently and hasn’t been able to contain any of them. While Rodon’s record at home early in the season is concerning, his 3.42 ERA isn’t bad for Yankee Stadium. The plus odds on the spread are too tantalizing for me, but I wouldn’t hate the money line either.