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Padres Appear Ready to Move On From Key Free Agent, Per Latest Report
Mar 28, 2024; San Diego, California, USA; San Diego Padres starting pitcher Joe Musgrove (44) looks on alongside starting pitchers Michael King (34) and Dylan Cease (84) during the first inning against the San Francisco Giants at Petco Park. Mandatory Credit: Orlando Ramirez-Imagn Images Orlando Ramirez-Imagn Images

The San Diego Padres will face some tough decisions over the offseason, as two of their top starting pitchers are set to enter free agency simultaneously.

Both Michael King and Dylan Cease will hit the open market, and likely secure nine figure, multi-year contracts.

Since the Padres already have a high payroll with several big contracts on the books, they will likely choose to keep one pitcher and let the other go.

According to the New York Post's Jon Heyman, the Padres are more likely to re-sign King, who will likely be cheaper than Cease, given Cease's more accomplished track record.

In 47 innings pitched, Cease has recorded a 4.60 ERA and 1.1 WAR. He has experienced an inconsistent season thus far, showcasing some outstanding, dominant starts that leave batters guessing, alongside other outings where his persistent control issues have led to too many baserunners.

His stuff has always been amazing since he first broke into the majors, and he has a nice mix of pitches as well. Easily, his best pitch is the slider, which is one of the best in baseball and has been firing on all cylinders for the most part this season.

If he can gain control of his fastball and master his knuckle curve, he could earn a lot of money for himself.

He plans to enter the market at age 29 and should command a hefty price tag, though his flashy style will likely make him more expensive than King, who does not have the high performances Cease does but has been much more consistent from game to game and season to season.

ESPN's Jeff Passan projects Cease to get a five-year deal for more than $100 million, though less than $200 million.

There should still be time for Cease to potentially unlock the $200 million payday if he can reduce the walks while maintaining his performance at a high level.

His expected ERA is 3.69, a full rung lower than what he currently has, meaning some regression should be baked into his own numbers now, and it could fall even further if he limits the action on the base paths.

What is clear is that the race to determine whom the Padres keep is open, although King has taken an early lead over Cease to secure San Diego's funding.

For more Padres news, head over to Padres on SI.


This article first appeared on San Diego Padres on SI and was syndicated with permission.

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