San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins prediction and odds Tue., 8/16: Marlins' Edward Cabrera looks to extend hot streak

Yardbarker Quick Pick

On one end, we have a San Diego team whacking righties in the past month. On the other is a Miami lineup that ranks dead last in wRC+ against LHPs and second-to-last in OBP. Advantage Sean Manaea and the Padres. We're betting on San Diego jumping on Edward Cabrera, even with some quality starts under his belt this month. Padres -145 is our play. — Griffin Carroll, Yardbarker

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San Diego Padres:  -1 (-129) spread, -145 moneyline, over 7.5 (+105)
Miami Marlins:  +1 (+106) spread, +135 moneyline, under 7.5 (-114)

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The Marlins are 3-2 this year when starting Cabrera, who has never faced the Padres. Cabrera has yet to go longer than 6 1/3 innings in any of his 12 career starts, including seven last year.

Cabrera, 24, didn't allow a run in either of his past two outings, tossing five innings against the Chicago Cubs on Aug. 5 and 5 2/3 innings against the Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday.

The Marlins, who beat the Padres 3-0 on Monday in the series opener, haven't won consecutive games since July 13-14.

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In the month-plus since then, the Marlins are 8-20.

Last week, Marlins manager Don Mattingly expressed frustration that the organization is out of playoff contention and once again fielding a roster full of rookies.

Even so, it's comforting that Mattingly is still able to play some veterans such as shortstop Miguel Rojas, 33.

On Monday, Rojas belted three hits, and he also took an extra base off Padres left fielder Jurickson Profar, turning a double into a triple.

"It's good to see (Rojas) use the whole field, getting back to being himself," Mattingly said, "not trying to do too much."

If the Marlins need a save on Tuesday, it likely won't come from closer Tanner Scott, who has pitched in the past two games.

After blowing a save against the Atlanta Braves on Sunday, Scott nailed down the Monday victory. He won a 12-pitch battle versus San Diego's Ha-Seong Kim, who lined out to second baseman Jon Berti, ending the game. Prior to the lineout, the previous six pitches were foul balls.

"Redemption," Scott said. "I had a sigh of relief when Berti showed his 'Michael Jordan ups.' I was so happy when that happened."

Meanwhile, Manaea is 21-19 since the start of 2020. He has made just one career start against the Marlins, going 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA.

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This year, the Padres are 11-10 when starting Manaea, including an 8-0 loss to the Marlins on May 7. Manaea earned a quality start in that game, striking out eight batters and walking one while allowing three runs in six innings.

The Padres, who have won four of their past six games, had an off night at the plate on Monday.

However, even though the Padres got blanked in the opener at Miami, San Diego manager Bob Melvin likes the look of his offense after the recent acquisition of right fielder Juan Soto, first baseman Josh Bell and infielder/designated hitter Brandon Drury.

"Certainly, our lineup is a lot longer now, and I think our guys at the bottom of the order will benefit," Melvin said. "There are times that pitchers look to take a little bit of a break at the bottom of the order That's not the case now."

San Diego's Wil Myers went 3-for-4 with two RBIs from the No. 8 spot in the lineup on Sunday against the Washington Nationals, then came off the bench to collect a single on Monday.

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