x
The Detroit Tigers’ Postseason Hopes Are Over
IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Allow your mind to drift back to spring training. Tarik Skubal was still on the team, the Detroit Tigers had made a few significant additions, and World Series dreams were not ludicrous. The favorite in the AL Central, Detroit still had their flaws, but us fans mostly focused on the addition of Framber Valdez paired with the return of franchise icon Justin Verlander.

Well, those flaws eventually caught up with the Tigers, and a perfect storm of injuries changed the season’s trajectory before you could even make your mock trade deadline trades.

The only way you can define the Tigers’ 2026 season is as a failure. At a minimum, a playoff appearance was needed, and that dream is all but statistically put to bed. A team with legitimate expectations to make a postseason run is now on the outside looking in, with plenty of questions ahead.

Where Did It Go Wrong?

Oh, where to start. I guess the appropriate starting point would be with the preseason concerns and which ones came true. The Tigers spent some serious money this past winter, but little of it went toward their lineup. Bringing back Gleyber Torres was the only money they invested in improving their lineup.

The free-agent class was not very strong and finding a fit was not easy, so I’ll give them that. The avenue the Tigers would have had to go down would have been to swing a trade, but moving their top prospects was apparently out of the question. I had shared my concerns about the lineup throughout the winter, but honestly, I think the need proved to not be as strong as many had thought.

Of course, having another impact bat would have made a big difference. As much as I like some of the young players such as Hao-Yu Lee, Brett Callahan, Ben Malgeri, and others, leaning on a proven veteran would have helped. Hindsight is 20/20, but the Tigers have ended up with too many average bats and not enough impact. Maybe I was asking for a luxury, and for a team with World Series aspirations, that’s what they needed.

I could see where people would debate whether the lineup was a problem or not. A fair enough argument. The injuries the Tigers sustained early in the season, without any debate, were the biggest anchor to this team.

Skubal, Casey Mize, Parker Meadows, Verlander, Reese Olson, Brant Hurter, Will Vest, Jack Flaherty, Kerry Carpenter, Wenceel Perez, Jackson Jobe, Troy Melton, (stops to inhale), Javier Baez, Riley Greene, and Torres all sustained injuries that kept them out for a chunk of time. Many of them came in April and May.

Injuries all hitting at the same time resulted in a 6-22 month of May, setting the Tigers far behind in the playoff race. Finding a rhythm became tough as one player would return, and two more would hit the IL. Heck, Zach Short was playing shortstop. That’s how desperate it became.

The impact from the month of May ultimately positioned the Tigers in a place where their hot June (15-11) and July (15-9) were not enough to avoid moving Skubal and Mize at the deadline. Detroit showed life without them, but the air was taken out of that balloon rather quickly.

What you’ll likely remember will be the heartbreaking games. Late-game leads blown, walk-offs, and bullpen struggles. Kyle Finnegan was brought back to help stabilize leverage innings and is at the top of the blown saves category in the league. Kenley Jansen, a future Hall of Famer, had several disasters leading him to walk off the mound with the other team celebrating.

Will Vest, who was one of the most reliable Tigers arms the past couple of seasons, never looked right and was shut down due to injury. The three arms most viewed as answers to the leverage innings all had seasons that were forgettable.

With few answers to the Tigers’ bullpen questions, a merry-go-round of obscure veterans all got their chance. Burch Smith, Jacob Waguespack, Tyler Kinley, Connor Seabold, and Tanner Rainey — all without much success. A bullpen without much swing and miss can be susceptible to danger, and the Tigers learned that the hard way.

The issues on the field were not the only mistakes that deserve blame. Manager A.J. Hinch was far from his best self. Scott Harris deserves blame for the roster. And everyone involved deserves blame for how long of a leash Jahmai Jones was given.

While the postseason dreams have ended, at least for the 99% of fans who can accept reality, some of us deranged fans will still watch the final few weeks of the season. With little on the line, what should we watch for?

What To Watch for the Rest of the Way

The short answer? Answers. Who should and should not be considered part of this evolving core as the Tigers take a new shape while still looking to compete. Clearly, Kevin McGonigle and his remarkable rookie season can be placed, in sharpie, on the answers side. I’d go ahead and write Melton and Keider Montero‘s names right below him. You might as well put Max Clark‘s name on the list as well.

There are other obvious names — Greene, Dillon Dingler, Valdez, and Baez (due to his contract) — then the intrigue starts. Callahan, Eduardo Valencia, and Hao-Yu Lee have the most to gain down the stretch. John Peck and Ben Malgeri, to a lesser degree, as well.

Valencia has been awesome, slashing .313/.329/.627 with six home runs and a 163 wRC+ in 85 plate appearances, but has been used in a more strategic way instead of playing every single day. We have not seen enough to hand him a starting role for next season, and a strong finish to the year could change that.

Lee and Callahan have been solid, especially for rookies. Can either one be considered to claim an everyday spot going forward? Gleyber Torres is a pending free agent, and Kerry Carpenter has constantly battled injuries. If Lee and/or Callahan show enough to at least have an inside track to being an answer, the Tigers have one (or two) less holes to fill. I’m more confident in Lee than Callahan, but that can change.

On the pitching side, my main focus will be on Jackson Jobe. The former top prospect has made five starts since returning from injury with plenty of ups and downs. His first outing against the Giants was a statement: five innings of one-hit, no-run baseball, only to be followed by allowing six runs in his next start. Two good starts, then a shaky one last time out against the Twins.

No one expects him to be perfect after so much time away, but how much swing-and-miss is in his arm? Enough to be a top-three arm in the rotation, or will he be more of a back-end arm? Can he find the strike zone with consistency? The prospect pedigree props his name up more than what we have seen on the field since his debut. I still have high hopes, but not as high as I once did.

Lastly, let’s focus on two more established major leaguers. Spencer Torkelson, who just turned 27, is what he is. I don’t see him becoming anything different than a player who relies almost entirely on home runs carrying his value, and we have seen how any dip in power production changes how effective he is.

Is this the end of the road with Torkelson as a Tiger? Colt Keith could be his replacement, but I struggle to see how using the 1B slot on Keith makes sense. A platoon player with no power who is a poor defender is difficult to fit on the roster. He’s an okay hitter, but what the heck do the Tigers do with him?

His contract means he will be part of the mix going into the future. There’s worse players, and he’s far from a disaster, but he’s a bit of a square peg in a round hole situation. Will the Tigers show us anything down the stretch that indicates their plans for 2027 and beyond?

Final Thoughts

A season that spun sideways so early made for a disappointing summer. Everyone has to be better. From players and coaching staff to the front office. Yes, injuries played a huge role, and the Tigers did show a great stretch of baseball afterward, but at the end of the day, there are a lot of questions heading into next year.

Having this many rookies show promise is encouraging. But promise is different than predictable performance. Who knows if there will be an MLB season in 2027, but if there is, the Tigers cannot afford a similar disaster.

This article first appeared on Just Baseball and was syndicated with permission.

More must-reads:

Customize Your Newsletter

Yardbarker +

Get the latest news and rumors, customized to your favorite sports and teams. Emailed daily. Always free!