I'm old enough to remember listening to White Sox postgame shows driving home from the ballpark when crusty old fans would call in and frequently say "this team hits too many home runs, they need to manufacture runs more consistently." It never made sense to me why a portion of the fan base was so against power and instant offense. Since the beginning of the 2013 season, those fans got their wish as this team has struggled to hit for power consistently and thus has had one of the worst stretches of performance in its 125-year history.
I long for the days when my favorite baseball team had a consistent offense that made watching them fun on a nightly basis. We got a very brief window of that during 2020 and 2021, and while that was still nowhere near the explosive offenses that were common during my formative years, it was fun to see a team that had the ability to score consistently.
As Rebuild 3.0 is in full gear, we as fans are still searching for those days when scoring 4 runs a night doesn't feel like an outrageous dream. Over the winter, the organization hired Ryan Fuller to be the new Director of Hitting, and his task was to overhaul the offensive approach of the organization from top to bottom. This was no small task, to say the least, especially for a team coming off a modern era record for most losses in a season. So, suffice it to say, expecting a 180-degree turnaround in 2025 wasn't realistic.
However, through the first two months of the season, we've seen three notable players who were expected to be significant parts of this franchise's turnaround undergo changes to their offensive performances, in admittedly small sample sizes of varying degrees. The hope is that Fuller has been able to instill meaningful changes to these players that will allow them to unlock their offensive potential and be contributors to this team in the present and into the foreseeable future.
Vargas was the centerpiece of Chris Getz's first significant trade almost a year ago. Coming over from the Los Angeles Dodgers in the deal that sent Erick Fedde and Michael Kopech packing, Vargas came to the team as somewhat of a depressed asset.
Coming into the 2023 season, Vargas was a Top 50 prospect in the sport by a majority of scouting publications as he worked his way through the vaunted Dodgers system. His initial foray into the Major Leagues did not go well, however. From his initial callup with the Dodgers in August of 2022, until April 23rd of this year in his first 680 PA at the game's highest level, Vargas slashed a putrid: .170/.268/.298 good for a 60 wRC+ with a 10.7% BB rate and 22.6% K rate. For context across his Major League career, Leury Garica slashed: .253/.293/.350 good for a 74 wRC+.
So, the centerpiece of the first significant deal made by Chris Getz was hitting like an appreciably worse version of the oft-debated White Sox utility man of years past. Something happened, though, during the team's road trip to Boston in late April, however. A hand adjustment that has been seemingly talked about on every broadcast since has led to a metamorphosis for Vargas. Since this line of demarcation on April 23rd, Vargas is slashing a robust .314/.376/.581 good for a 169 wRC+ over 117 PAs. That will play, folks.
If the Sox are able to get consistent offensive performance, perhaps not to this level but in the ballpark, the Sox have the opportunity to actually win the trade that was widely panned at the time of its execution. Minor tweaks can be something that leads to improved performance by players, and the hope is that Fuller found exactly what was needed for Vargas to realize his former prospect pedigree.
Montgomery was the 22nd overall pick in the 2021 draft and was supposed to serve as the driving force behind the "next wave" of prospects while the Sox were on their way towards a division title 4 years ago. From his entry into pro ball that year through the 2024 season, Montgomery played 316 games and slashed, in my view, an unremarkable .253/.376/.414 good for a 112 wRC+. I drew some ire last year when I wrote that I had concerns about the former Indiana prep shortstop and that his prospect star was fading.
Fast forward to the 2025 season and his second go around in the hitter's haven that is Triple-A Charlotte and things took a turn for the worse. Through the season's first month, Colson slashed a ghastly .149/.223/.255 which penciled out to a 21 wRC+. Even more troubling was the 41.7% K rate, as the bat-to-ball skills completed evaporated. It looked as if Montgomery would be another in a long line of first round busts taken by the White Sox.
Following play on April 27th, Colson was summoned back to the team's complex in Glendale, Arizona, for direct work with Ryan Fuller and to have a complete reset. Not much detail has been given into what was worked on during this period, but following a 5-game stint in the complex league, Montgomery returned to Charlotte on 5/13 and has looked different by all accounts.
Since his return to the Knights, the former first-rounder is performing like the player the organization staked so much of its hope on with his selection. In 46 PAs, he's hammering the baseball to the tune of a .341/.413/.634 slash line and producing a 167 wRC+. Most notably, the strikeout rate has been cut almost in half to a respectable 21.7%. Has Ryan Fuller made another mechanical adjustment allowing Montgomery to improve his bat-to-ball skills while unlocking more power from his 6-foot-5 frame?
46 PAs is a very small sample, but this is the type of positive development that was needed for the player who was earmarked as the shortstop of the future. It's too early to proclaim him #back, but it is definitely something worth monitoring.
We haven't been bombarded by any insight into mechanical changes or a pilgrimage to the team's complex in the desert for the 15th overall pick in the 2023 draft like the two previously mentioned players, but something has changed with the Barons' middle infielder. I was critical of the team's selection of the Ole Miss shortstop two years ago, and in many ways, I viewed it as a parting gift from the previous regime, which failed so miserably on the draft front during its administration.
Gonzalez, who turns 23 on Friday, has been underwhelming, to say the least, since joining the Sox organization almost two years ago. Through the end of last season in his first 164 games professionally spanning 631 PAs, Gonzalez hit a very meager .233/.313/.326 with a 9.7% BB rate and 13.7% K rate. He was a player who was touted as having strong contact skills coming out of the draft, and the numbers reflect that.
However, Gonzalez wasn't impacting the baseball in a meaningful way. This season's first month didn't offer much hope either as his first 87 PAs with the Barons produced a .250/.345/.303 line. His 11.5% BB rate showed a nice understanding of the strike zone, but the lack of impactful contact was troubling. Then the calendar flipped to May.
Since May 1, in his last 77 PAs, Gonzalez has produced a .243/.286/.500 slash line. You read that correctly, a slugging percentage starting with a 5 in Double-A Birmingham. If you dig a little deeper, you see that this month, Jacob has only a 6.5% BB rate while his K rate has held steady at 18.2%. In the last two weeks, however, things have been dialed up a notch.
In 47 PAs since 5/11, we have seen Gonzalez put together a .318/.340/.614 slash line with a 4.3% BB rate and 14.9% K rate. So, let me get this straight: he's taking fewer free passes, striking out less, and impacting the baseball more? Did Ryan Fuller come in and see that there was an approach issue with Gonzalez that was holding him back? Was there additional mechanical tweaking that took place,e which has allowed him to impact the baseball more? These are questions I would love to get answers to, but in a very small sample, the results are positive to say the least.
The three players I've highlighted today have seen significant changes to their performances in varying degrees in small samples. But are these improvements and changes the types of things that will lead to them being consistent offensive performers and hopefully helping to turn the tide for this organization's dreadful offense that has plagued it for much of recent memory? It's too early to tell, but these are the exact types of positive improvements that Ryan Fuller was brought in to make.
The hope is that there are systematic changes taking place at all levels of the organization so that more players see their offensive potential fully unlocked. It is going to take time for us to know with a greater level of certainty whether Ryan Fuller has changed the offensive mindset of the White Sox at all levels, but these three players could serve as the first examples of the Fuller Effect.
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