Jerome Miron-Imagn Images. Pictured: Hamdy Abdelwahab

Hamdy Abdelwahab vs. Chris Barnett Prediction, Odds: UFC 321 Pick

Originally posted on Action Network | By Sean Zerillo | Last updated Oct 24, 2025 9:48 PM ET

Read for a Hamdy Abdelwahab vs. Chris Barnett prediction for UFC 321 on Saturday, October 25, with my betting pick and prediction.

Hamdy Abdelwahab vs. Chris Barnett Odds

Abdelwahab Odds	-450
Barnett Odds	+350
Over/Under	1.5 (-155 / +115)
Location	Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi
Bout Time	10:40 p.m. ET
TV/Streaming	ESPN+
UFC 321 odds as of Saturday and via bet365. Bet on UFC 321 with our bet365 promo code.

Here’s my Abdelwahab vs. Barnett pick and prediction.

Tale of the Tape

	Abdelwahab	Barnett
Record	6-1-0 (1 NC)	23-9-0
Avg. Fight Time	15:00	7:36
Height	6’2″	5’9″
Weight (pounds)	265 lbs.	261 lbs.
Reach (inches)	72″	75″
Stance	Southpaw	Orthodox
Date of birth	1/22/1993	6/14/1986
Sig Strikes Per Min	3.49	4.21
SS Accuracy	49%	47%
SS Absorbed Per Min	4.49	6.53
SS Defense	51%	39%
Take Down Avg	1.33	0.00
TD Acc	66%	0%
TD Def	100%	33%
Submission Avg	0.0	0.0

Abdelwahab vs. Barnett Pick, Prediction

The UFC is doing its best to give former Olympic wrestler Hamdy Abdelwahab a finishable fight against Chris Barnett – potentially the shortest Heavyweight (5’9) in promotional history. Abdelwahab is 5″ taller than Barnett, but Barnett owns a 3″ reach advantage.

Still, Abdelwahab is the more durable fighter, with a better gas tank, and I expect him to outlast Barnett in the fight and potentially find a second or third-round finish, at odds of +490 and +1000, respectively.

Moreover, I project a significant edge on his moneyline, setting Abdelwahab’s pricetag north of -1000 (projected -1047). I would consider utilizing him as a parlay piece, up to -900. Still, I’m not at all high on Hamdy as a fighter and would generally short his ceiling and future trajectory within the division.

Rather than laying significant juice on Hamdy – or in addition to placing a parlay – you can bet him to win inside the distance (projected -125, listed -110) or lean into his late-round finish props at plus money.

Projection: Abdelwahab (91.3%)

Sean’s Pick: