UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Michael Morales full card picks & predictions

UFC Fight Night Main Predictions

Gilbert Burns vs. Michael Morales

The betting value for this fight is quite clearly on Burns based on his experience and how incredibly lopsided the current odds are, but in terms of an outright pick Morales has both youth and momentum on his side as the Ecuadorian looks to hand “Durinho” his fourth-straight loss.

(Pick: Morales)

Paul Craig vs. Rodolfo Bellato

Craig has all the skills necessary to score an upset here if he’s able to bring this fight to the ground, but if he isn’t able to do that then he’ll likely be outmatched on the feet against a dangerous finisher in Bellato.

(Pick: Bellato)

Sodiq Yusuff vs. Mairon Santos

I’m a bit surprised to see Yusuff as a slight underdog here given the level of competition he’s faced, and this matchup looks like a good opportunity for “Super” to bounce back from his current two-fight skid.

(Pick: Yusuff)

Nursulton Ruziboev vs. Dustin Stoltzfus

It seems unlikely that this fight will make it to the judges’ scorecards, and I expect that Stoltzfus’ recent trend of alternating wins and losses will continue against an extremely experienced opponent in Ruziboev.

(Pick: Ruziboev)

Julian Erosa vs. Melquizael Costa

Both men enter this matchup on impressive three-fight winning streaks, and I’ll slightly lean with Costa to get his hand raised in what may be the most underrated matchup on this card.

(Pick: Costa)

UFC Fight Night Preliminary Card Predictions

Matheus Camilo vs. Gabe Green

Green comes into this fight following back-to-back losses and a two-year layoff, and neither of those things bode well for “Gifted” as he takes on a talented young fighter that’s looking to make a splash in his UFC debut.

(Pick: Camilo)

Jared Gordon vs. Thiago Moises

This is another of the more underrated matchups on this fight card, and I’ll slightly lean with Moises to get the job done and score back-to-back wins after he also defeated Trey Ogden earlier this year.

(Pick: Moises)

Connor Matthews vs. Yadier DelValle

One of two fighters making their promotional debuts on Saturday, DelValle should be able to extend his undefeated record against Matthews and potentially bounce “The Controller” from the UFC with what would be a third-straight loss.

(Pick: DelValle)

Luana Santos vs. Tainara Lisboa

Lisboa kicked off her UFC career with back-to-back wins before what has become a lengthy layoff, and this matchup with her countrywoman Santos is a difficult way to make her return to the Octagon.

(Pick: Santos)

Denise Gomes vs. Elise Reed

Reed has failed to win two fights in a row since joining the UFC in 2021, and unfortunately for the American I expect that trend will continue when she enters the cage to face Gomes.

(Pick: Gomes)

Hyun Sung Park vs. Carlos Hernandez

I’m a little surprised to see this fight buried so far down on the card’s prelims. Hernandez is certainly capable of playing spoiler here with Park returning from a long layoff due to a knee injury, but the South Korean should be able to extend his undefeated record in his return fight.

(Pick: Park)

Luana Pinheiro vs. Tecia Pennington

After finally getting back into the win column against Carla Esparza last year, Pennington has the chance to score back-to-back victories here with a favorable matchup against Pinheiro.

(Pick: Pennington)

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