Yardbarker
x
Why These Iowa Picks Will Have You Questioning Your NASCAR Faith
Stan Szeto-Imagn Images

The Iowa Corn 350 is just around the corner, and so are the top Iowa picks. While many are thrilled to witness the roaring engines at the Iowa Speedway, some of us are here for one reason only. To see if any of our “expert picks” can stop themselves from crashing into disappointment. Spoiler alert? Probably not. The thing about Iowa Speedway is that it’s always deceptively straightforward.

The 0.875-mile oval seems like a walk in the park for the Cup Series regulars, but history says otherwise. Ask last year’s drivers who underestimated this sneaky track. Ryan Blaney, who dominated the inaugural race with 201 laps led, will be looking to repeat his magic. But hold on, the unpredictable nature of this track can easily make you question the meaning of “favorite.” Iowa Speedway is here to humble every overconfident driver in bold paint jobs.

Why Is Everyone Betting Big on Iowa Picks?

Momentum matters in NASCAR, sure, but Iowa is where momentum goes to die. For instance, Christopher Bell has been on an impressive run lately, collecting top-10 finishes like it’s a grocery run. Before Bell stans start prepping victory speeches, know that Iowa might not care how “due for a win” your driver is. Speaking of which, Kyle Larson is long overdue for that fourth win of 2025. A “summer slump” is NASCAR code for “I can’t find the checkered flag.”

Better love his odds, but skeptics love watching dreams get crushed. Then there’s Alex Bowman, the driver who’s like, “Playoffs, anyone?” Ninth in the standings with 12 top-10 finishes, Bowman is desperate for a win to punch his playoff ticket. If that desperation pays off, expect a collective eye-roll from fans who claim he’s “mid” but still begrudgingly add him to their Fantasy picks.

The Iowa Predictions That Make Zero Sense: But Somehow Work

Here’s the thing with “forecasts” in NASCAR. Everyone’s got bold statements, but it’s the underdog successes that keep this sport alive. Take Ross Chastain. After his recent catastrophe streak, betting on him feels like saying, “Yeah, I’ve got cash to burn.” But there’s this masochistic thrill in hoping he’ll somehow pull a win out of his hat. His Iowa history? Just solid enough to make him the dark horse you regret not picking. Meanwhile, Josh Berry is itching for redemption after fumbling at the Brickyard 400. If last year’s top-10 Iowa finish means anything, Berry might surprise us all with a comeback worth slow-clapping.

Also, who’s keeping an eye on Bubba Wallace? Securing his playoff spot with that Indy win and breaking a 100-race winless streak seems to have recharged his batteries. Wallace rolling into Iowa with 23XI speed isn’t just promising; it’s the feel-good plotline NASCAR fans live for. A Top 10 finish seems inevitable with some sharp strategy calls from his team. But hey, it’s NASCAR, where “seems inevitable” turns into a laughable jinx. That’s why it’s essential to focus on these Iowa picks and how the predictions play out.

The Big Buzz Around William Byron

If you’re not betting on William Byron for this year’s Iowa Corn 350, are you even trying? He’s riding the Daytona 500 win high and just missed top-three glory last week by running out of fuel in double overtime. Sure, his recent six-race streak screams inconsistency, but Iowa feels like the perfect storm for Byron to shut everyone up finally. Currently sitting at a near-perfect average starting position over the last few races, Byron is hungry for another win. And what better place to satisfy that hunger than at Iowa?

What Makes Iowa Speedway Different?

Let’s talk about the track itself, which is almost as tricky as the drivers pretending they’ve got it all figured out. The D-shaped oval, while short, is tight and forces drivers into some nail-biting last-minute moves. Track position matters here, and stage wins could set the tone for the entire race. Get stuck mid-pack, and it’s game over. The Iowa Corn 350 might not have the chaotic glory of a Daytona or Watkins Glen, but it compensates with some crafty, strategic racing.

Why Iowa Picks Might Not Even Matter

If you’ve been around NASCAR long enough, you know that predictions are, well, useless. The “obvious picks” crash out. The backmarkers suddenly look like disruptors. All your Fantasy teams get wiped out because someone’s pit crew botched a tire change.  That’s the beauty of events like the Iowa Corn 350. The unpredictability of these Iowa picks keeps us going.

Will Larson finally strike number four? Will Christopher Bell put the hate to rest? Or will these Iowa picks provide us with yet another wildcard upset no one saw coming? If nothing else, this one-weekend fling at Iowa is bound to serve us some drama worth ranting about. Bookmark Iowa Picks in big, bold, mental letters, or better yet, keep this underdog energy alive when you make your next prop bet. Whatever goes down at Iowa Speedway, don’t forget. We’re all just here for the chaos.

This article first appeared on Total Apex Sports and was syndicated with permission.

More must-reads:

Customize Your Newsletter

Yardbarker +

Get the latest news and rumors, customized to your favorite sports and teams. Emailed daily. Always free!