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Caleb Martin has the hot hand for NBA Finals Game 1
Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

Caleb Martin has the hot hand for NBA Finals Game 1

And just like that, we're officially set to begin the 2023 NBA Finals. After a dominant Western Conference sweep of the Los Angeles Lakers, the Denver Nuggets enter the NBA Finals well-rested, which is far from the case for their opponent, the Eastern Conference's No. 8 seed, the Miami Heat.

Ride the hot hand with an encore performance from Caleb Martin

The Heat are just three days removed from being on the fringe of being the first NBA team in history to blow a 3-0 series lead. But instead of falling in Game 7 on the road to the Boston Celtics, they put on a completely dominant performance led by Jimmy Butler and emerging star Caleb Martin. And speaking of Martin, there's no better place to start.

Let's run it back, Caleb

Martin shocked virtually all NBA fans when he was the secondary star (and at times the primary star) for the Heat against the Celtics. Butler has officially found his co-pilot, and Martin looks ready for the biggest stage of them all.

But even after posting averages of 19.3 points and 6.4 rebounds per game in the seven-game series with the Celtics, there still appears to be some lack of respect put on his name.

Martin enters Game 1 of the NBA Finals against the Nuggets with points + rebounds over/under of 23.5, a mark which he blew past in each of the past two games (doing it in the scoring department alone in Game 7). The key factor here is that Martin has jumped from 30-35 minutes per game up to 40-plus, but beyond that, he's taking minutes specifically from players like Kevin Love, and doing a great job on the glass.

Martin pulled down 15 rebounds in Game 6 and 10 in Game 7. There's no reason to think he won't push double digits again, leaving somewhere in the 13- to 15-point range as a potential worst-case scenario.

Betting: Caleb Martin over 23.5 points + rebounds (-106)


In the news ...

Deshaun Watson would 'love' a reunion with DeAndre Hopkins — And the sentiment appears to go both ways. The sense from Hopkins' camp is the perennial Pro Bowl receiver would be open to joining the Browns signal-caller in Cleveland. The duo combined for 25 touchdowns during their three-year run together with the Houston Texans. Cleveland is +500 to ink Watson's former No. 1 target to a deal. The Buffalo Bills (+300) and Kansas City Chiefs (+400) remain the favorites in the Hopkins sweepstakes.

Saquon Barkley and the Giants remain in contract dispute — Ryan Dunleavy of the New York Post reported Barkley and the G-Men remain "no closer than ever on an agreement." The two sides have until July 17 to reach a multiyear deal. Barkley is fresh off a career-best 1,312 yards rushing campaign and currently sits at +3300 to capture Offensive Player of the Year honors in 2024. As for the Giants, they own +600 odds to win the NFC East, a scenario that hasn't played out since 2011. 


Today's Bark Bets is written by Vinny Somma

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