Houston Looks to Capitalize on OKC’s Injury Woes

Betting Lines

• Spread: Thunder -3.5
• Moneyline: Thunder -162 | Rockets +136
• Total: 213.5

Despite the injuries, oddsmakers still favor OKC at home — but that line is shaky.

Resume Check

Houston Rockets

• Record: 31–19 (4th in West)
• Road Record: 14–13
• Points Per Game: 115.2
• Points Allowed: 110.1
• Field Goal Percentage: 47%

Houston has become one of the most complete teams in the conference. They defend well, share the ball, and have multiple scoring options.

Oklahoma City Thunder

• Record: 40–12 (1st in West)
• Home Record: 22–4
• Points Per Game: 120.2
• Points Allowed: 107.9
• Field Goal Percentage: 49%

On paper, OKC is elite. In reality, injuries threaten everything that got them here.

Players to Watch

Houston

• Kevin Durant (26.0 PPG)
  Durant remains one of the league’s most unstoppable scorers and thrives in big moments.
• Alperen Şengün (20.9 PPG, 9.4 RPG, 6.2 APG)
  Sengun is the engine of this offense, capable of scoring and creating for others.
• Amen Thompson (17.8 PPG)
  His speed and athleticism can overwhelm tired defenses.

Oklahoma City

• Chet Holmgren (17.7 PPG, 8.5 RPG, 2.0 BPG)
  Holmgren must carry a massive load on both ends.
• Isaiah Hartenstein (11.0 PPG, 10.0 RPG)
  His rebounding and interior toughness will be vital.
• Cason Wallace (7.9 PPG, 2.1 SPG)
  Wallace’s defense and energy are needed more than ever.

Injury Report

Rockets

• Fred VanVleet – Out (Knee)
• Steven Adams – Out (Ankle)
• Jae’Sean Tate – Out (Wrist)

Thunder

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander – Out (Abdomen)
• Jalen Williams – Out (Hamstring)
• Nikola Topić – Out (Groin)

Losing SGA and Williams removes most of OKC’s offensive punch.

How Houston Wins

Houston’s advantage is stability.

With Durant and Sengun healthy, the Rockets can attack every part of the floor. They should target mismatches, dominate the paint, and force OKC’s young guards into tough decisions.

If Houston controls the boards and keeps moving the ball, they’ll dictate the game.

How Oklahoma City Wins

For OKC, this game is about effort and execution.

They must defend aggressively, slow down Durant, and turn this into a physical battle. Holmgren needs a huge performance, while role players must knock down open shots.

If the Thunder can stay connected defensively and feed off the home crowd, they can hang around.

Prediction

Without Shai and Jalen Williams, Oklahoma City simply doesn’t have enough offense to keep up with Houston’s balanced attack.

The Rockets take control early and never look back.

Rockets 129, Thunder 118