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Milwaukee Bucks: Advanced Stats Reveal 1 Pending Free Agent Who Improves the Play of Giannis Antetokounmpo the Most
Milwaukee Bucks: Advanced Stats Reveal 1 Pending Free Agent Who Improves the Play of Giannis Antetokounmpo the Most 1 Apr 29, 2025; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; Milwaukee Bucks forward Giannis Antetokounmpo (34) during game five of the first round for the 2024 NBA Playoffs against the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Mandatory Credit: Trevor Ruszkowski-Imagn Images

As the Milwaukee Bucks look to do everything in their power to keep Giannis Antetokounmpo believing in the team’s competitive potential, several key free agent decisions mark this summer as a big turning point for the franchise. With long-time veterans like Bobby Portis and Brook Lopez looming as potential departures, which one stands out as positively impacting Antetokounmpo the most? Advanced stats point to one clear answer.

Advanced Stats Show One Key Free Agent Helps Giannis Antetokounmpo Be His Best Self on Offense

Re-building around Giannis Antetokounmpo, one of the greatest NBA players of all-time, is expected to be the plan for the Milwaukee Bucks this offseason. Barring an Antetokounmpo trade request, the franchise will likely attempt to re-tool the roster to help return the team to playoff contention. For an aging squad like Milwaukee, a big part of that is getting younger.

Thus, two aging veteran free agents become big question marks for the front office. Center Brook Lopez and forward Bobby Portis served the Bucks well during their 2021 NBA Championship, but are not getting any younger. The current Bucks core has shown that it is not good enough. Lopez is an unrestricted free agent, while Portis has a player-option. Which, if any, is the veteran that Milwaukee should remain committed to?


Milwaukee Bucks: Advanced Stats Reveal 1 Pending Free Agent Who Improves the Play of Giannis Antetokounmpo the Most 2 Feb 12, 2024; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Milwaukee Bucks forward Bobby Portis (9), center Brook Lopez (11 and forward Giannis Antetokounmpo (34) celebrate after a score in the fourth quarter against the Denver Nuggets at Fiserv Forum. Mandatory Credit: Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

If advanced stats have anything to say about it, only one of these two positively contribute to helping Antetokounmpo be his best self on offense – and that player is Portis.

Bobby Portis Makes a Huge Difference For Giannis Antetokounmpo on Offense

In 2025, minutes with Portis on the floor alongside the Greek Freak led to increased field goal efficiency, free throw attempts, and better shot quality. Meanwhile, the opposite is true for minutes with Lopez on the floor.


Milwaukee Bucks: Advanced Stats Reveal 1 Pending Free Agent Who Improves the Play of Giannis Antetokounmpo the Most 3 Oct 27, 2024; Brooklyn, New York, USA; Milwaukee Bucks forward Bobby Portis (9) celebrates after scoring in the second quarter against the Brooklyn Nets at Barclays Center. Mandatory Credit: Wendell Cruz-Imagn Images

Using advanced stats supplied by the NBA analytics tool databallr, one can see that playing alongside Portis means Antetokounmpo’s true shooting percentage rises almost 3 points, his three-point percentage soars upwards over 8 points, and both his field goal percentage at the rim and free throw attempts per 75 possessions also increase. All of these points illustrate that Portis makes Antetokounmpo that much more effective offensively.

Antetokounmpo’s points and assists per 75 are essentially equivalent with Portis on or off the court. One aspect worth noting is that Portis negatively impacts Antetokounmpo’s rebounding numbers. However, that is mostly due to the fact that Portis averages 8.4 rebounds per game himself. When Lopez (5 rpg) is in the game, Antetokounmpo has more chances to battle on the glass due to Lopez frequently being spaced outside the three-point line.


Milwaukee Bucks: Advanced Stats Reveal 1 Pending Free Agent Who Improves the Play of Giannis Antetokounmpo the Most 4 Dec 17, 2024; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Milwaukee Bucks forward Bobby Portis (9) grabs a rebound against Oklahoma City Thunder guard Cason Wallace (22) during the 4th quarter of the Emirates NBA Cup championship game at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-Imagn Images

Meanwhile, the presence of Lopez makes Antetokounmpo less efficient offensively. His true shooting percentage is 4 points worse with Lopez on the floor with him, and his shots at the rim and free throw attempts are also down. His three-point percentage is halved when Lopez is also in the game, down from 32% without him to only 16.3% with.

Advanced stats showcase that Portis allows Antetokounmpo to be more effective on offense, while Lopez has the opposite effect. When combined with the fact that Lopez requires a defensive scheme of drop coverage when dealing with opponent pick-and-rolls, a strategy that is becoming less and less effective in the modern NBA, perhaps it is time that Milwaukee move on from Lopez.


Milwaukee Bucks: Advanced Stats Reveal 1 Pending Free Agent Who Improves the Play of Giannis Antetokounmpo the Most 5 Feb 10, 2025; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Milwaukee Bucks center Brook Lopez (11) reacts after a foul call in the fourth quarter against the Golden State Warriors at Fiserv Forum. Mandatory Credit: Benny Sieu-Imagn Images

This article first appeared on WI Sports Heroics and was syndicated with permission.

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