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Southwest Division free-agent breakdown for '21 offseason
Pelicans guard Lonzo Ball did much to improve his stock in a contract year. Nell Redmond-USA TODAY Sports

Throughout the season, Hoops Rumors takes a closer look at players who will be free agents or could become free agents this offseason. We examine if their stock is rising or falling due to performance and other factors. This week, we take a look at players from the Southwest Division:

DeMar DeRozan, Spurs, 31, SG/SF (Down) – Signed to a five-year, $139M deal in 2016


DeMar DeRozan Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

DeRozan threw in a clunker in San Antonio’s play-in game against Memphis, shooting 5-of-21 from the field. The master of the mid-range game now enters unrestricted free agency in a league that craves three-point shooters at the wing. DeRozan does more than just knock down 18-footers. He’s got a knack for drawing fouls, and this season he averaged a career-high 6.9 assists. What will that package of skills draw on the open market? We’ll find out if DeRozan doesn’t reach an extension agreement with San Antonio. The Spurs have an exclusive window to reach a new deal with DeRozan before free agency begins August 1.

Lonzo Ball, Pelicans, 23, PG (Up) – Signed to a four-year, $33.5M deal in 2017


Lonzo Ball  Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram said glowing things about Ball in their postseason press conferences. Ball said he would “love” to remain in New Orleans. Now, the proverbial ball is in the front office’s court. Will the Pelicans extend a $14.36M qualifying offer to Ball to make him a restricted free agent? If so, will they match any offer sheet? Should the Pelicans do so, they’re basically telling everyone they believe the trio of Williamson, Ingram and Ball is a championship-caliber core. That’s a pretty big leap of faith, considering the Pelicans went 31-41 this season with each of them playing at least 55 games. But Ball’s going to get paid this summer, one way or another.

Josh Richardson, Mavericks, 27, SF/SG (Down) – Signed to a four-year, $42M deal in 2018


Josh Richardson Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

Richardson was acquired from the Sixers in a draft-night deal to upgrade their perimeter defense. According to the numbers, Richardson hasn’t made much of an impact in that area. He ranked 22nd among shooting guards on ESPN’s defensive real plus-minus ratings. Richardson’s offensive rating was even lower after averaging 12.1 points on 42.7% shooting (33% from three) despite playing with a premier playmaker. Richardson holds an $11.6M option on his contract for next season. Perhaps he’ll seek for a multiyear deal on the open market, but it may be prudent for him to take the guaranteed money and test the waters next summer.

Kelly Olynyk, Rockets, 30, PF/C (Up) – Signed to a four-year, $50M deal in 2017


Kelly Olynyk  Troy Babbitt-USA TODAY Sports

Anyone want a stretch-4 who averages 19 point, 8.4 rebounds, 4.1 assists and 1.4 steals? Those are the stats Olynyk posted in a 27-game stint with the tanking Rockets. Those numbers can be taken with a grain of salt — Olynyk didn’t suddenly turn into an All-Star-level talent at 30 years old. He did show that he can still be a highly productive rotation player. For obvious reasons, Olynyk enjoyed his stint in Houston, and that will factor into his decision as he heads into unrestricted free agency. If nothing else, he gained more leverage over the past two months.

This article first appeared on Hoops Rumors and was syndicated with permission.

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