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The Golden State Warriors Desperately Need Playoff Jimmy
Jimmy Butler, Golden State Warriors. Mandatory Credit: Jesse Johnson-Imagn Images. Jimmy Butler, Golden State Warriors. Mandatory Credit: Jesse Johnson-Imagn Images.

The Golden State Warriors emerged with a road victory in Game 1 of the Western Conference Semifinals against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Unfortunately, it came at a cost. Around the 8:50 mark of the second quarter, Stephen Curry floated in a soft push shot, but, in the process, he incurred a lower body injury.

The noble nature in which he walked off the floor on his own two feet suggested it was just a minor tweak. Alas, further examination revealed a Grade 1 hamstring strain, leaving the team without its incandescent star for at least Games 2-4.

The most optimistic outlook on this situation is a Curry return in Game 5. And given the fact they won Game 1, the Warriors technically only need to win one of their next three games to have a chance when Curry comes back (although, they’ve already lost Game 2).

Judging on the flow of Game 2, one in which the Warriors never really had a chance (losing 117-93), this feat seems easier said than done. At this point, their only hope is their old gunslinger rediscovering his sleight of hand.

Jimmy Butler Was Too Passive In Game 2

In a game where the Warriors posted an archaic 96.9 offensive rating, Butler had a solid true shooting percentage of 55.9 (right around the playoff average of 56.3 percent). Not too bad, right?

Well, not necessarily. Butler managed that efficiency on just 13 field goal attempts in a game the Warriors’ team desperately needed more offense. And it’s not because the Timberwolves sent two defenders at him all night and forced other players to beat them (only four assists). Rather, Butler was just overly passive in looking for his shot.

Take this play, for instance. Butler gets an angle on Jaden McDaniels during his drive. And while McDaniels is reputable shot-blocker (he had three blocks in this game), Butler easily could have sealed him with an off-shoulder bump. Instead, he opted for a kickout pass to a not-so-open Gui Santos. Brandin Podziemski eventually gets to the free-throw line, but that was no thanks to Butler.

GIF via SportsCasting

Even more damning is this transition sequence where Butler receives a hit-ahead pass with a chance at the rim against the much smaller Donte DiVincenzo. But what should have been two easy points turns into an awkward, mid-air improvisation and, eventually, a Draymond Green missed three.

GIF via SportsCasting

Some of Butler’s reluctance to shoot can surely be attributed to the lingering effects of the deep glute muscle contusion he suffered in the first round against the Houston Rockets (Rudy Gobert’s invaluable presence in the paint also deserves some love). But this is also kind of how Butler has always played, at least in the regular season.

Of the 51 players to play at least 30 games and average at least 10 drives per game, Butler was second in percentage of drives ending with a pass at 54.6 percent (per NBA.com).

Butler is a very patient player. He does a great job reading defenses and understanding what they are trying to take away and what they are willing to concede. That is why he passes so frequently. He is always trying to make the right play.

Too often this postseason, though, Butler has failed to pressure the defense, lets the shot clock dwindle and throws a grenade to a teammate. This play from Game 7 against the Rockets stands out to me:

GIF via SportsCasting

Regardless of who takes the shot, the Warriors are in a bad spot on that possession. But Butler has a much better chance of sinking a contested jumper than Green. So, he has to be the one taking that look. The way he’s been curating his shot diet to only include attempts he feels comfy with kind of reminds me of Adrian Dantley, a hyper-efficient scorer who never quarterbacked elite offenses because of this very phenomenon.

Jimmy Butler Has Another Gear

While he has moments where he bears resemblance to him, Butler isn’t Dantley. He’s led teams to crucial playoff victories and his former teams don’t get better once he leaves. In fact, they usually get far worse.

You don’t get the nickname “Playoff Jimmy” for nothing. Butler has another gear he can turn on in the postseason. For example, he’s been timid when it comes to going at Gobert, but we know he has the craft and footwork to finish over big men inside. Here’s this gem from his 56-point outing against the Milwaukee Bucks in Game 4 of the 2023 first round.

GIF via SportsCasting

In all fairness to Butler, that clip was drawn from an early round series when he was completely healthy. There’s a chance Butler isn’t physically capable of reaching those mighty heights at this point in time. But even 80 percent of Butler is the Warriors’ best chance on offense right now.

So even if he can’t fully channel the Playoff Jimmy we’ve become familiar with, he’s at least got to try.

This article first appeared on Sportscasting and was syndicated with permission.

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