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June 22, 2023: Seeking — and finding — value at the NBA Draft

Is there a bet to make for the NBA Draft tonight? It's worth looking into. At surface level, there doesn't appear to be much intrigue near the top of the board. But Yardbarker's Griffin Carroll has a wager for you to consider.

Today's picks and sports betting news you need to know
 
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Seeking — and finding — value at the NBA Draft

Lucas Peltier-USA TODAY Sports

Is there a bet to make for the NBA Draft tonight? It's worth looking into, but at surface level, there doesn't appear to be much intrigue near the top of the board. That level of certainty may actually play in our favor in one betting market.

Following the favorites for a plus-money NBA wager

Victor Wembanyama is certain to be taken first by San Antonio, but interestingly it's still an outcome you can bet on at -20000. We are not advocating for a bet on a price like that, but we'd be curious to know if books would seriously take something like a $20,000 wager for someone to pocket a free $1000. There are not many locks, but Wembanyama will be a Spur.

After that, it appears Charlotte has locked in on Brandon Miller at No. 2, priced at -425 to go second, and Scoot Henderson will be taken third, with an identical -425 price.

According to most draft experts and mock drafts, the fourth pick, owned by Houston, is all but certainly going to be Amen Thompson, a SF from the G-League. Thompson is -350 to be taken in this spot.

This is where the potential for a bet starts to form.

The fifth pick is owned by Detroit, which is no stranger to the lottery and looking to add one more piece to an exciting young core. For a while, Cam Whitmore was the favorite to be taken by Detroit, but rumors out of Pistons camp are that they have started to fall in love with Ausar Thompson, the brother to Amen. 

These reports are somewhat confirmed by the shifting in price, with Ausar now moving to the -145 favorite to be taken fifth.

What if the market prices are correct, and we trust the chalk with the top five?

DraftKings offers you an opportunity to bet on the exact order of the first five picks, and we're able to get that at plus-money if we follow the favorites. Seems worth a look for a night lacking the unknown near the top of the board.

Betting on Top 5 Exact Order: V. Wembanyama, B. Miller, S. Henderson, Am. Thompson, Au. Thompson (+130 DK)


In the news ...

Three-team trade sees Kristaps Porzingis join Celtics, Marcus Smart go to Grizzlies — The Washington Wizards fire-sale continues, with Kristaps Porzingis being shipped out to the Celtics in a three-team deal. Washington continues to get the short end of the stick in terms of assets, receiving Tyus Jones, Danilo Gallinari, Mike Muscala and a second-round pick. Memphis attached two first-rounders, both going to the Celtics, in order to secure Smart's services. For the Grizzlies, the pros of the deal are clear. This is a young team with deep postseason aspirations, and Smart can be that leader to help guide the team where they want to go. Boston fills one of their bigger needs at the big-man position, and Porzingis should help space the floor. The Celtics have moved to the favorites at +475 to win next year's Finals, while Memphis sits at +2500.

Khris Middleton declines player option, set to be free agent — Bucks SF Khris Middleton has declined his player option to become a free agent, but reports suggest the three-time All-Star may stay to work out a long-term deal with Milwaukee. Still, there's a chance a team swoops in to pry Middleton away, but the Bucks seem motivated to sign him to a new contract.

Travelers Championship tees off today — ICYMI in yesterday's Bark Bets, the Travelers gets going today from Connecticut. We've got you covered if you're looking for a few picks for the weekend, headlined by Viktor Hovland to finish in the top 20. Hovland has finished in the top 20 14 times over his last 18 starts, winning twice. That's momentum and consistency we'll gladly back at +100.


Today's Bark Bets is written by Griffin Carroll

Quick Picks

1 San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants

Blake Snell had three strong starts against San Francisco last season, and it suggests a reason for optimism for San Diego this afternoon. Snell mowed down eight batters or more in all three starts, holding the Giants to just two runs across 17.2 IP. We're rocking with the Padres and Snell to win at -130.
Thursday, 3:45 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Padres
-1 (-107) -134 > 8 (-110)
Giants
+1.5 (-140) +125 < 8 (-115)
2 Blake Snell over 6.5 strikeouts 

As mentioned above, we like Snell to lead the Padres to a win, and that is going to start with his strikeouts. Snell has racked up K totals of seven, eight, 12 and 12 in his past four starts, momentum we need to follow. The Giants are striking out at the fifth-highest rate against LHP, and Snell has 8+ Ks in three straight starts against San Fran. Take his over here.


Latest Odds:  -130
3 Kansas City Royals @ Tampa Bay Rays

Hmm, we've got the best team in baseball hosting the second-worst team in baseball, one has to think keeping it simple makes the most sense here. Tack on that Shane McClanahan is on the mound for Tampa Bay, and the choice is clear. We're going the Rays -1.5 at -164.
Thursday, 6:40 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Royals
+2.5 (-116) +300 > 7.5 (-112)
Rays
-1.5 (-154) -340 < 7.5 (-115)
4 Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees

Domingo German is coming off a rough outing for New York, allowing seven runs in just two innings. Batters are starting to hit German more frequently, and Seattle has had his number the last two times they saw him, piling up 13 hits and six runs against the righty. We'll opt to back the road team and take the Mariners moneyline at +100.
Thursday, 7:05 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Mariners
+1.5 (-227) -110 > 7.5 (+100)
Yankees
+1.5 (-175) +100 < 7.5 (-110)
5 Billy McKinney over 0.5 hits 

The Yankees' Billy McKinney continues to be a steady presence at the plate, recording a hit in 11 of 12 games this season. He's racked up three hits in two games this week against Seattle and seems well-positioned to keep it rolling. Seattle's start Bryan Woo has struggled against left-handed batters, seeing them hit .471 off him on the young season. Grab McKinney to log a hit at a reasonable price.

Latest Odds:  -125
6 Indiana Fever @ Seattle Storm

Indiana has one of the WNBA's best offenses through the first few weeks of the season. The Fever own the third-best offensive rating, scoring the fifth-most points per game. Seattle's defense is one of the two worst in the league and should struggle to slow down Indiana. Roll with the Fever to win at -120, and consider their team total as well when it gets posted.
Thursday, 10:00 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Fever
-1.5 (-118) -130 > 164 (-110)
Storm
+2.5 (-110) +120 < 164 (-110)

Betting News & Notes

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For all the latest betting news, check out the
Yardbarker Sports Betting news hub.
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