Yardbarker

The Bark Bets Newsletter

July 03, 2023: Get ready for July 4 with these star-spangled NFL futures

We hope you all are gearing up for a great Fourth of July, and we're here to mix up the day with a few look ahead bets for this season in the NFL. These are snippets from the NFL futures series we've been running on Yardbarker each and every day.

Today's picks and sports betting news you need to know
 
Subscribe  |  Read in Browser

Get ready for July 4 with these star-spangled NFL futures

Andrew Nelles / Tennessean.com / USA TODAY NETWORK

We hope you all are gearing up for a great Fourth of July, and we're here to mix up the day with a few look-ahead bets for this season in the NFL.

Grill up some futures for this year in football

The below are snippets from the NFL futures series we've been running on Yardbarker each and every day. Be sure to hop in each day for the latest team. We started with the team that had the worst Super Bowl odds and are working our way up the board. One of the bets was published before, and another below is a sneak peek of a story set to publish this week.

Tennessee Titans to Finish Last in the AFC South (+245 DraftKings)

We're of the belief this is going to be a rough season in Tennessee, culminating with a basement seat in the AFC South. Jacksonville is the best team in this division, most definitely set to take the top spot. Both Indianapolis and Houston have made additions this offseason that should see them each improve on their four- and three-win seasons, respectively. That leaves Tennessee as the team most likely to see its stock tumble.

It starts at quarterback. Ryan Tannehill is declining, and Malik Willis and Will Levis both figure to be projects at QB. Derrick Henry might be a trade candidate, and the issues are multiplied when you take a look at the offensive line.

You cannot succeed without strong play in the trenches, and that was the Titans' biggest weakness last year. Their pass blocking was a major issue in 2022, and they lost both Taylor Lewan and Nate Davis this offseason. While Tennessee rightfully focused on the offensive line at the top of this year's draft with Peter Skoronski, he shouldn't be expected to lift this unit by himself from Day 1.

The defensive line has some nice pieces, but the secondary had plenty of leaks in 2022, allowing the fourth-most yards per pass attempt. We're fading Tennessee ahead of this year.

Minnesota Vikings under 8.5 wins (+110 DK)

The Vikings found themselves in a ridiculous amount of close games last year, with 11 of their 13 wins coming by one score. That's reason enough to consider fading this team. The Vikings owned a minus-3 point differential on the season, the second-worst mark of all NFL playoff teams and worse than two teams that missed out on the postseason. 

Historically, teams that made the playoffs with a negative point differential miss out on the postseason the following year. The last nine teams to secure a postseason berth with a negative point differential all missed out on the big dance the following year, averaging just 6.8 wins per season.

The Lions figure as one of the divisional favorites at the moment, and the Bears should also be more competitive. There's even reason to feel okay about the Packers, even with the unknown that is Jordan Love.

With a first-place schedule and an NFC North that could be challenging, the Vikings feel poised for a rough 2023.


In the news ...

Rickie Fowler wins Rocket Mortgage Classic — After flirting with wins for the past few weeks, Rickie Fowler finally got over the hump with his win on Sunday in the Rocket Mortgage Classic. Fowler won on the first playoff hole with a walk-off putt. It's his first PGA Tour win since 2019.

Damian Lillard requests trade — Seven-time All-Star Damian Lillard's time in Portland appears to be up, as the superstar has requested a trade from the only franchise he's called home. According to reports, he has just one team in mind: the Miami Heat. We'll see if Miami can pool together the assets to make it happen. The Heat are currently +900 to win next year's championship.

Free-agent frenzy in the NHL — You may have missed it, but players have been moving like crazy in the NHL ever since the free-agent market opened. We recapped five of the biggest and best moves right here. Highlights include Matt Duchene to Dallas and Max Pacioretty to Washington. We've also seen Ryan O'Reilly join Nashville and Blake Wheeler signing with the Rangers.


Today's Bark Bets is written by Griffin Carroll

(Editor's note: Bark Bets will not publish on Tuesday, July 4. Have a great holiday!)

Quick Picks

1 Cincinnati Reds @ Washington Nationals

Load us up some runs in this one. The Washington weather looks beautiful for homers and runs, with a 12% projected boost to runs coming down the runway. Luke Weaver (6.96 ERA) and Jake Irvin (4.72 ERA) are two pitchers we're certainly ready to fade. We're betting over 10 runs.
Monday, 6:05 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Reds
-1 (+107) -114 > 10 (-110)
Nationals
+1.5 (-152) +104 < 10 (-115)
2 Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees

How bout we fade the man who's coming off a perfect game? Domingo German's performance against Oakland was one of the more bizarre things you'll see in baseball because he has not been a good pitcher this season. Even with his most recent 27-up, 27-down outing, German still owns a 4.54 ERA. We'll take Baltimore, who has won two straight over the Yankees. Orioles moneyline at -106 is the play for us.
Monday, 7:05 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Orioles
-1 (+117) -109 > 8.5 (-105)
Yankees
+1.5 (-169) -101 < 8.5 (-105)
3 Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins

Both Kansas City and Minnesota have been more profitable to the under this season, and that is easy to understand when you see two offenses that have struggled at the plate. Austin Cox has been solid in limited work for the Royals, and Joe Ryan's 0.97 WHIP should bode well for a strong outing here tonight. We're rolling with the under, set at 8.5 runs.
Monday, 8:10 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Royals
+1.5 (-105) +203 > 8.5 (-121)
Twins
-1.5 (-110) -225 < 8.5 (-115)
4 Bryan Woo over 5.5 strikeouts

Seattle's Bryan Woo has had a strong start to his career. After finishing with just four strikeouts in his first game, he's since fanned 7+ batters in three of his last four. He's got a solid chance to keep it rolling against a San Francisco team striking out at the sixth-highest rate against RHP. Five of the last six starting righties to face the Giants has finished with at least six Ks. Woo looks good tonight.

Latest Odds:  -115

Betting News & Notes

NFL futures, 2 Washington Commanders bets: Only as good as QBs

Read More

Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest: Latest Odds, Promotions and Bets

Read More

MLB best bets, 3 home run props for Monday 7/3: Boom, go the fireworks

Read More

NFL futures, 2 New England Patriots bets: Can Mac lead the attack?

Read More

MLB best bets, 3 strikeout props for Monday 7/3: Great matchup for M's, Woo

Read More

Best Picks, Predictions, and Betting Promos for Wimbledon 2023

Read More

NCAAF Top 25 futures: South Carolina Gamecocks relevant again in SEC

Read More

Golf best bets: 3 outright bets to target for the John Deere Classic

Read More
For all the latest betting news, check out the
Yardbarker Sports Betting news hub.
Sports News, Rumors & Quizzes

TERMS OF SERVICE    PRIVACY POLICY    CONTACT US    MY ACCOUNT    SUBSCRIBE    ADVERTISE    JOBS

     

To ensure delivery of these emails, please add news@yardbarker.com to your address book.
If you no longer wish to receive these emails, you can safely unsubscribe here.

Copyright 2024 YB Media, LLC.
1534 Plaza Lane, #146, Burlingame, CA 94010.
All Rights Reserved