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May 30, 2024: A pair of Game 5s to make us feel alive

Hope you like Game 5s, we've got a pair of 'em tonight. The Timberwolves are looking to stave off elimination again, while the Rangers and Panthers fight for control of the Eastern Conference Finals.

Today's picks and sports betting news you need to know
 
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A pair of Game 5s to make us feel alive

Minnesota Timberwolves guard Anthony Edwards (5). Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

Hope you like Game 5s, we've got a pair of 'em tonight. The Timberwolves are looking to stave off elimination again, while the Rangers and Panthers fight for control of the Eastern Conference Finals. It seems only right we get invested in both, don't you think?

Pair of plays for playoffs tonight

Boards galore: Anthony Edwards over 7.5 rebounds (+110 DraftKings)

Edwards has been a force on the glass this series, and continuing that intensity on the boards is going to be a key factor for Minnesota staying in this series.

Edwards has gone over this line in three of four against the Mavs, averaging 8.8 rebounds per game. Allowing boards to SG was a big weakness of Dallas' game this year, as they allowed the fourth-most to the position on the season.

That vulnerability has been rearing its head of late, and we know we need a piece of Edwards in this big game at home.

Bankroll builder on the ice: Rangers +2.5, Panthers +2.5, Under 6.5 goals (-109 FanDuel)

This play is not the flashiest, but it paints a clear picture of how we see this game going in New York. By taking both +2.5 alternate pucklines, we're betting that neither team wins by more than two goals. That should be attainable considering three straight games have gone to overtime.

We tack on the alternate under at 6.5, as we do envision a tight matchup coming in this massive Game 5. The two games in New York to start this series both went under, finishing with just three total goals each time. We buy us a bit of breathing room with this play.

Dust off your second TV and enjoy all the action tonight!

In the news ...

Edmonton evens up the Western Conference Finals — Blowing 2-0 leads seems to be in style out West, as we now have had back-to-back games with exactly that between Edmonton and Dallas. The Stars quickly went up 2-0, but ultimately fell 5-2, with the Oilers knotting the series at 2-2. Dallas is -130 for tomorrow to take back the lead, and they remain series favorites. We have a feeling we're in for a seven-game series. The Stars are currently +255 to win the Stanley Cup, with the Oilers priced at +275.

Paul Skenes continues to dominate — Now might be the time to pounce on Paul Skenes to win NL Rookie of the Year while he's still plus-money. Skenes has quite clearly emerged as not just one of the best rookies, but one of the best pitchers in the league. Skenes's latest outing saw the Pirates righty strike out nine and allow just two runs in a Pirates win. Skenes now has 30 Ks in 22 IP, and the best seems yet to come. You can still grab Skenes at +280 to win NL Rookie of the Year. The favorite is Chicago's Shota Imanaga, who is off a rough-outing that saw him allow seven earned runs.

Miami Dolphins sign Jaylen Waddle to contract extension — The next shoe has dropped in the wide receiver market, as the Dolphins have agreed to terms on a new three-year, $84.75 million contact extension with fourth-year WR Jaylen Waddle. The deal puts Waddle inside the top-five highest paid WRs of the league behind teammate Tyreek Hill, Amon-Ra St. Brown and A.J. Brown. All eyes now turn to Cincinnati (Ja'Marr Chase), Dallas (CeeDee Lamb) and San Francisco (Brandon Aiyuk). What in the world are these teams waiting for? Waddle is proof that you try and get out ahead of the market before the market dictates the price. The Dolphins are currently +200 to win the AFC East and +1100 to reach the Super Bowl.


Today's Bark Bets is written by Griffin Carroll. Follow him on Substack: griffybets.substack.com.

Quick Picks

1 Dallas Mavericks @ Minnesota Timberwolves

We have a feeling Minnesota may just be getting started in making this a series. They took Game 4 to avoid the sweep and now return home with some confidence in their pocket. We're liking the Wolves to nab another, so we'll load up Minnesota -4.5.
Thursday, 8:30 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Mavericks
+4.5 (-105) +163 > 209.5 (-110)
Timberwolves
-4.5 (-105) -179 < 209.5 (-105)
2 Florida Panthers @ New York Rangers

The under is 3-1 in this series, which includes both games in New York. With the series tied at two games apiece, we're liking another tight game as teams look to limit mistakes. We're on under 5.5 tonight at MSG.
Thursday, 8:00 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Panthers
-1 (+138) -125 > 5.5 (+118)
Rangers
+1.5 (-250) +105 < 5.5 (-130)
3 Spencer Arrighetti over 5.5 Ks 

Arrighetti as been picking up steam on the rubber for Houston, going over this line in two straight and four of his last six. He currently sits in the 73rd percentile of Ks/inning, and today he gets a Seattle team that strikes out at the highest-rate against RHP. Sign us up for the over here.

Latest Odds:  -150
4 Jack Flaherty over 6.5 Ks 

Flaherty is seeming like a must-bet for the Detroit Tigers today. The Tigers righty is over this line in eight of 10 on the season, averaging 8.1 strikeouts per game and sitting among the league-best for Ks/inning, swinging strike rate and chase rate. Together, a strong rating in that trio paints the picture of one of the league's best strikeout pitchers. Now he gets to face a Boston team that is fanning at the seventh-highest rate against RHP. Load him up tonight.

Latest Odds:  -160
5 Seattle Storm @ Indiana Fever

We have to continue fading Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever. Indiana is 1-7, owners of the WNBA's worst net-rating, largely because of their league-worst defense. Seattle's defense, however, sits as the third-best in the WNBA, and they should dictate the pace and take this one. Back the Storm at -5.5.
Thursday, 7:00 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Storm
-5.5 (-110) -222 > 167.5 (-110)
Fever
+6 (-117) +200 < 167.5 (-110)

Betting News & Notes

MLB Opening Pitch: Zerillo's expert picks, odds, predictions for Thu. 5/30

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Look of the Day 5/30: Opportunity for Mavs' Gafford ... and us

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NHL bets: Backing the lines that have been best for Panthers-Rangers

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NBA best bets: Picks against spread, props, odds for Mavs vs. Wolves Game 5 on Thu. 5/30

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MLB strikeout props for 5/30: Fade Yanks' Rodon at plus money

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NFL futures: Betting on which rookie has the most receiving yards this season

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MLB best bets: D-backs vs. Mets +1000 same game parlay for Thu. 5/30

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For all the latest betting news, check out the
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