Great question, yes, we did win both of our bets shared yesterday. That always feels good, and we may as well just go ahead and keep on doing the "winning" thing. The only playoff game is between the Edmonton Oilers and Dallas Stars in a big Game 5, so it's there we go.
No telescope needed to find value in the Stars
The play:
- Dallas Stars moneyline
- Wyatt Johnston point
- Jason Robertson 2+ shots
The odds:
The reason:
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Dallas has won five straight games this postseason following a loss, outshooting its opponents in four of them. Back at home, the Stars should be able to better control the pace and grab a pivotal third game in this series. We especially like the Stars after they blew a quick 2-0 lead in Game 4. Expect an aggressive and dominant Stars team to show up in front of their home faithful.
- If the Stars are going to win, it goes without saying they need to score some goals. Wyatt Johnston is a natural choice to get involved. The 21-year-old forward has emerged as a star, and he now has four points in his last three games, including goals in back-to-back games. Johnston has seven points in nine home games and has been Dallas' most dominant even-strength player for much of this postseason.
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Jason Robertson has popped in the two games since Roope Hintz returned to the lineup, piling up seven SOG on 11 attempts. Robertson has 2+ shots in 75% of his games this year when Hintz plays, and he has 2+ shots in 11 of his last 13 against the Oilers.
Nothing too crazy from us today, so enjoy the game, and see you next week!
In the news ...
Mavericks move on to NBA Finals, to face Boston Celtics — Dallas easily dispatched the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 5, winning 124-103. With the win, the Mavs head back to the NBA Finals for the first time since 2011. It will be Dallas vs. Boston in the NBA Finals, and Game 1 is not until next Thursday. As it stands, the Celtics are -225 favorites to win it all, while the Mavericks are +185. Game 1 moneyline odds are identical prices. Boston has won all four meetings against Dallas over the past two seasons.
Florida Panthers take huge Game 5 on the road — The Panthers grabbed a massive win on Thursday night, beating the Rangers 3-2 and taking an identical 3-2 series lead. The Eastern Conference Final now heads back to Florida on Saturday, and the Panthers have a chance to go back to the Stanley Cup Final for the second straight season. We have a feeling they do just that, as do sportsbooks, considering the Panthers are -170 to win Game 6.
Tatum and Doncic open as Finals MVP favorites — Predictably, the two star players on their respective teams have opened as the betting favorites to win Finals MVP. Tatum is the -130 favorite on the heavily-favored Celtics, while Doncic may offer some value at +210. If you think Dallas wins it all, rather than bet them to do it at +185, you might be better suited spreading a pair of bets on Luka MVP at +210 and Kyrie Irving to win MVP at +3000. The Finals tip off on June 6.
Today's Bark Bets is written by Griffin Carroll. Follow him on Substack: griffybets.substack.com.