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July 10, 2024: MLB trends: Looking for a hit? Take your pick

We're going back to some simple trends that stand out to us in the MLB prop market, and letting you do the rest. Here's to this format delivering you some quick-hitting wins. 

Today's picks and sports betting news you need to know
 
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MLB trends: Looking for a hit? Take your pick

Colorado Rockies third baseman Ryan McMahon rounds the bases on a solo home run. Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

We're going back to some simple trends that stand out to us in the MLB prop market, and letting you do the rest. Here's to this format delivering you some quick-hitting wins as we head into the halfway point of the week.

Trending in the right direction with these hitters

Jose Miranda (game at 2:10 p.m. ET)

  • 1+ hit in 12 straight games and 14 of last 15
  • 14 hits last five games
  • Hits .367 vs. RHP

Byron Buxton (game at 2:10 p.m. ET)

  • 2+ hits in four straight games
  • 1+ hit in 13 of last 15 games
  • 2+ total bases in six straight and 12 of last 14
  • 1-2 vs. Erick Fedde with a double

Anthony Rendon

  • 1+ hit in 13 of last 15 games
  • 2-3 vs. Michael Lorenzen
  • Hits .282 vs. RHP

Ryan McMahon

  • 1+ hit in six straight and nine of last 10 games
  • Nine hits last six games
  • 4-6 vs. Frankie Montas with two singles and two doubles

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In the news ...

Euros and Copa America semis continue on — We have our first two finalists in both the Euros and the Copa America tournaments, with Spain and Argentina winning, respectively. We'll find out who they'll be facing off with after today. Euros action has Netherlands vs. England this afternoon, while Copa America's second semifinal match sees Uruguay facing off against Colombia. Personally, we like a parlay of England and Uruguay to both advance at +225 on DraftKings, but for a more in-depth preview, tap in here.
 
Wimbledon semifinals taking shape — We have our first men's semis matchup set, and it should be a great one between Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev. We'll know by the end of today who rounds out the final four on the men's side, with Novak Dkojovic headlining the bottom-half of the bracket. As for the women, we have Jasmine Paolini and Donna Vekic set to meet later this week in the semis, with Elena Rybakina the +105 favorite to win the whole thing. Rybakina won her quarterfinal match this morning in straight sets over Elina Svitolina.  

Cade Cunningham signs five-year extension with Pistons — It was expected to come through, and it finally has, as budding young star guard Cade Cunningham has agreed to a five-year maximum contract worth as much as $269 million. Cunningham is Detroit's centerpiece as they move into a new season with new coach J.B. Bickerstaff. The Pistons have been one of the NBA's worst teams the past few seasons, and currently own the second-longest odds to win the East.


Today's Bark Bets is written by Griffin Carroll. Follow him on Substack: griffybets.substack.com.

Quick Picks

1 Washington Nationals @ New York Mets

It's always a good idea to fade Washington when Patrick Corbin is on the mound, and this year has been no different. Corbin currently owns a 1-8 record and a 5.50 ERA, consistently letting up hits in bunches. We're backing Luis Severino and the Mets; go with New York moneyline tonight.
Wednesday, 7:10 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Nationals
+1.5 (-115) +166 > 9 (-130)
Mets
-1.5 (+106) -189 < 9 (-105)
2 Colorado Rockies @ Cincinnati Reds

We've got weather that should boost runs, and a pair of pitchers who have struggled to limit scoring. That sure sounds like an over to us. Colorado's Freeland owns a 6.62 ERA and an abysmal 1.67 WHIP, while Cincy's Frankie Montas (4.19 ERA, 1.32 WHIP) hasn't been much better. Bet the over in this one. 
Wednesday, 7:10 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Rockies
+1.5 (-130) +150 > 9 (-125)
Reds
-1 (-125) -178 < 9 (-115)
3 Chicago Cubs @ Baltimore Orioles

Chicago's Shota Imanaga was the runaway NL Rookie of the Year favorite a month ago, but he's started to seriously struggle on the mound of late. We have one of baseball's best offenses in Baltimore, plus a strong pitcher toeing the rubber in Corbin Burnes (9-3, 2.32 ERA). Roll with the Orioles -1 tonight.
Wednesday, 6:35 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Cubs
+1.5 (-130) +158 > 8.5 (-115)
Orioles
-1 (-125) -177 < 8.5 (-115)
4 Las Vegas Aces @ Seattle Storm

This is quietly a matchup between the WNBA's two best teams right now. Las Vegas and Seattle are surging, No. 1 and 2 in net-rating in the last 10 games. It should be a quality matchup, but we have to back the two-time defending champs, especially considering they beat Seattle by 11 when they were still a bit shorthanded. Go with Las Vegas -4.5 here.
Wednesday, 3:00 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Aces
-4.5 (-110) -192 > 171.5 (-110)
Storm
+4.5 (-110) +170 < 171.5 (-110)
5 Dallas Wings @ Phoenix Mercury

Dallas has been the WNBA's worst team over the last 10 games thanks to both a struggling offense and a horrid defense. Add it up and it's a mismatch against a Phoenix team that has gone 6-4 across their last 10. We're on the Mercury -7.5 in this one.
Wednesday, 3:30 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Wings
+7.5 (-110) +275 > 172.5 (-110)
Mercury
-7.5 (-110) -315 < 172.5 (-110)

Betting News & Notes

MLB Opening Pitch: Zerillo's expert picks, odds, preview for Wed. 7/10 

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NFL futures: Betting on which teams score the fewest points this season

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Euro 2024 semifinal preview: Netherlands vs. England picks and predictions for Wed. 7/10

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MLB parlay: Check out this Yankees vs. Rays +700 same-game parlay for Wed. 7/10

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Golf best bets: 2 long shot picks for the Genesis Scottish Open

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MLB strikeout props for Wed. 7/10: Nick's the pick

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WNBA best bets today: Expert picks for Wed. 7/10 

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For all the latest betting news, check out the
Yardbarker Sports Betting news hub.
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