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July 15, 2024: MLB Home Run Derby: Witt's a hit

Happy Monday, sports bettors. It's an unusually quiet day around the sports world, but some of the best power hitters in MLB are getting together to hit some bombs for our amusement.

Today's picks and sports betting news you need to know
 
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MLB Home Run Derby: Witt's a hit

Kansas City Royals shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. ranks first in this field in max exit velocity (116.9), average home run distance (418) and max home run distance (468). Paul Rutherford-USA TODAY Sports

Happy Monday, sports bettors. It's an unusually quiet day around the sports world, but some of the best power hitters in MLB are getting together to hit some bombs for our amusement. Let's scour the betting board and find some winners for the Home Run Derby.

Honing in on the Home Run Derby

Bobby Witt Jr. to win (+470 FanDuel)

Pete Alonso has two wins in the last four editions of the Home Run Derby, but we're fading him with a different pick this year. We like Witt to lift the trophy on Monday night. 

Witt's advanced metrics point to him being a bigger favorite in this event. The Kansas City Royals star ranks first in this field in max exit velocity (116.9), average home run distance (418) and max home run distance (468). Witt is the best pure hitter in this year's Home Run Derby, and we love his upside based on his advanced batting profile. 

Alec Bohm under 109.5 highest recorded exit velocity HR (-120 DraftKings)

Bohm is by far the weakest contender in the 2024 Home Run Derby. The Philadelphia Phillies third baseman ranks last in the field in max exit velocity, as his hardest-hit ball of the season came off the bat at just 110.8 mph. It's hard to imagine he'll be able to match his highest speed with a home run on Monday night coming on a much slower pitch than he's used to hitting. 

Bohm also has the lowest projected total for the first round at 18.5, so he has statistically the worst chance to make the semifinals. That just means fewer swings and fewer chances to hit this over. 


In the news ...

Spain defeats England to win Euros; Argentina knocks off Columbia to win Copa America — What a Sunday it was for soccer fans around the globe. In the Euro 2024 final, Mikel Oyarzabal scored in the 86th minute to break a 1-1 tie and lift Spain over England. A few hours later, after a lengthy delay due to crowd control issues at Hard Rock Stadium, Argentina inched past Columbia in the Copa America final thanks to a Lautaro Martinez goal in extra time. If you cashed a future on Spain at +800 or Argentina at +175, congratulations! 

Carlos Alcaraz crushes Novak Djokovic in Wimbledon final — For the second straight year, Alcaraz defeated Djokovic in the Wimbledon final to secure the third Grand Slam of the season. This one wasn't as competitive, as the Spaniard won in straight sets, 6-2, 6-2, 7-6. Alcaraz has now won three of the last five Grand Slam tournaments, and this duo has combined to win eight of the last nine. With the US Open just a month away, Alcaraz is the betting favorite at +105 to win his third Grand Slam in a row.

Robert MacIntyre wins Genesis Scottish Open in thrilling fashion — In one of the best sports stories of the year, MacIntyre won the Genesis Scottish Open on Sunday by drilling a 22-foot birdie putt on the 72nd hole of the tournament. A Scotland native, MacIntyre always said his national open was the non-major tournament he wanted to win the most. After a brutal defeat at the hands of Rory McIlroy last year, the lefty went 4-under in his last five holes to wrest the trophy from Adam Scott's clutches. MacIntyre is 40-1 to win The Open Championship this week. 


Today's Bark Bets is written by Jack Dougherty

Quick Picks

1 World Series, name the finalists: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles

With very little live action going on in the sports world, we're focusing on four futures with our Monday Quick Picks. Let's start in MLB, where we're targeting an exact World Series prediction. The Phillies and Orioles both rank top six in the league in runs, OPS, ERA and opponent batting average. These are the two most complete teams in baseball. 

Latest Odds:  +1100
2 Oregon Ducks to win the national championship

Oregon lost Bo Nix to the NFL draft, but it reloaded by snagging gun-slinging lefty Dillon Gabriel in the transfer portal. The Ducks have pulled out all the stops in the portal and on the recruiting trail to secure a national title, and they have a great chance this year.  

Latest Odds:  +850
3 Miami Dolphins to win the AFC

NFL bettors are likely out on the Dolphins after their finish to last season, but a road playoff game against Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs in frigid temperatures isn't a fair way to assess this team. Miami is going to put up gaudy numbers with Tua Tagovailoa, Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, Raheem Mostert, De'Von Achane and Odell Beckham Jr. If the Dolphins earn a high seed and a few home playoff games, they could make a run to the Super Bowl. 

Latest Odds:  +1200
4 Oklahoma City Thunder to win the NBA championship

The Thunder were ahead of schedule last year in their journey to become a title contender. The young core couldn't get it done in the playoffs, but Oklahoma City is deep and talented enough to snag the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference again. Now with some postseason experience under their belt, the Thunder are built to make a run to the NBA Finals in 2025.

Latest Odds:  +800

Betting News & Notes

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