Yardbarker

The Bark Bets Newsletter

August 06, 2024: Olympics: Clean up with this +769 SGP for Brazil-USA

Team USA men's basketball continues its quest for a gold medal against Brazil this afternoon, and we're locking in on a juicy +769 same-game parlay for the Olympic quarterfinal matchup. 

Today's picks and sports betting news you need to know
 
Subscribe  |  Read in Browser

Olympics: Clean up with this +769 SGP for Brazil-USA

Steph Curry will get plenty of looks, he just needs to knock them down. John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports

We were one Tommy Pham hit + run + RBI away from cashing our +795 MLB parlay on Monday. We could complain about the tough beat, or we could pick ourselves up off the mat and fire another bullet on Tuesday. Guess which option we're choosing. 

Team USA men's basketball continues its quest for a gold medal against Brazil at 3:30 p.m. ET, and we're locking in on a juicy same-game parlay for the Olympic quarterfinal matchup. 

Leg 1: Brazil +26.5

Team USA is by far the most talented team at the Paris Olympics, but this group is consistently overvalued in the betting market. The Americans haven't won by more than 26 points in any of their three games in Lille.

It's hard to win by a wide margin with 10-minute quarters, and Brazil is no pushover. The Brazilians went 17-28 from three in their last game against Japan. They'll rely on their outside shooting and strong defense to keep this within 26 points. 

Leg 2: Stephen Curry over 2.5 made threes 

Curry continues to get open looks in the Olympics, but he hasn't been able to knock down as many as he normally does. The sharpshooter has taken at least six threes in all three games in Paris, and he gets consistent minutes with Steve Kerr calling the shots.

Brazil is allowing its opponents to attempt more than 50 percent of their field goals from three-point range, so the opportunities will be there for the greatest shooter to ever live. He just needs to knock them down. 

Leg 3: Anthony Edwards under 13.5 points

Edwards went off for 26 points on 11-15 shooting and 3-6 from deep in Team USA's win against Puerto Rico, but that offensive volume was most likely an anomaly. The star shooting guard attempted only 15 shots in the first two games combined and went under this line in both contests.

With the wealth of talent on this roster, it's anyone's guess who will catch fire and pace the offense. It was Edwards last game, but it will be someone else against Brazil. This is a solid buy-low spot.

Leg 4: Joel Embiid under 5.5 rebounds

Embiid unders seem like a good idea in this tournament due to his volatile playing time. The Philadelphia 76ers big man started but played only 11 minutes against Serbia, was a DNP against South Sudan and played a team-high 23 minutes against Puerto Rico. Even in that game, he only managed to grab three rebounds. 

Embiid is utilized as a defensive stopper, not a high-volume rebounder. He contests shots in the paint, and the forwards fly in to clean up the mess. Embiid might not even play more than 15 minutes considering guards have torched Brazil in this tournament.

This SGP pays +769 on FanDuel. 


In the news ...

Patriots and Browns reportedly going after Brandon Aiyuk — The San Francisco 49ers haven't been able to sign Aiyuk to a long-term contract, but they weren't entertaining the thought of trading him all offseason. Well, until now. According to Mike Reiss of ESPN, the Niners are now listening to trade offers for the All-Pro wide receiver. The New England Patriots and Cleveland Browns have been the most aggressive suitors so far. Aiyuk is +4100 to lead the NFL in receiving yards this season. 

White Sox tie AL record with 21st straight loss — The nightmare season for Chicago isn't ending anytime soon. On Monday, the White Sox fell to the Oakland Athletics, 5-1, to record their 21st straight loss. That ties the American League record held by the 1988 Baltimore Orioles. Two more losses and the White Sox will tie the 1961 Philadelphia Phillies for the MLB record. Chicago is +164 to beat the A's on Tuesday night. 

Chiefs make Harrison Butker the NFL's highest-paid kicker with new contract — Butker is now the highest-paid kicker in the NFL. On Monday, the Kansas City Chiefs signed Butker to a four-year, $25.6 million extension with $17.75 million guaranteed. The veteran kicker negotiated the deal himself. To no one's surprise, the Chiefs are +600 favorites to three-peat as Super Bowl champs. 


Today's Bark Bets is written by Jack Dougherty

Quick Picks

1 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cleveland Guardians

We're not sure why the Guardians are such short favorites in this matchup. Ben Lively has been on fire with two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts, while injury-prone Eduardo Rodriguez will be making his first start of the season. Give us the Guardians moneyline at home at a cheap price.
Wednesday, 4:10 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Diamondbacks
+1.5 (-222) +100 > 7.5 (-125)
Guardians
+1.5 (-192) -113 < 7.5 (-104)
2 Milwaukee Brewers @ Atlanta Braves

Colin Rea loves facing off against the Braves. Current Atlanta hitters are batting just .179 against him with a 36.4 percent strikeout rate. On the other side, Bryce Elder ranks in the seventh percentile in xBA and the 10th percentile in hard-hit rate. Give us the Brewers first-five moneyline.  

Tuesday, 7:20 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Brewers
+1.5 (-178) +115 > 8.5 (-122)
Braves
-1 (+110) -130 < 8.5 (-115)
3 Minnesota Twins @ Chicago Cubs

This might be the lowest total we've ever seen for a MLB game, but we understand why. The forecast is calling for chilly, rainy conditions at Wrigley Field with a strong wind blowing straight in from center field. Still, Pablo Lopez and Shota Imanaga both have a tendency to blow up on the mound, and so much needs to go right for this to stay under. We'll close our eyes and take the over 6. 
Tuesday, 8:05 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Twins
-1 (+132) -108 > 6 (-115)
Cubs
+1.5 (-196) -105 < 6 (-133)
4 Seth Lugo under 1.5 walks 

Lugo has gone under this line in four of his last six starts, and the Boston Red Sox have the lowest walk rate against right-handed pitching over the last 10 days (3.8 percent). Lugo also has a career 3.0 percent walk rate against current Red Sox batters. 

Latest Odds:  -110
5 Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Dodgers

This is a good setup for the Phillies. Philadelphia has the highest batting average, OPS and wRC+ against left-handed pitching since the All-Star break, and Clayton Kershaw has looked understandably rusty through two starts. We'll take the Phils on the moneyline. 
Tuesday, 10:10 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Phillies
+1.5 (-227) +100 > 8.5 (+100)
Dodgers
+1.5 (-178) -110 < 8.5 (-110)

Betting News & Notes

MLB Opening Pitch: Zerillo's expert picks, odds, preview for Tue. 8/6

Read More

MLB strikeout props for Tue. 8/6: Fade Dodgers with Phils' Sanchez on hill

Read More

Men’s Olympics basketball: USA vs. Brazil preview, pick and quarterfinal prediction

Read More

NFL futures: Two Los Angeles Chargers bets to make

Read More

Golf best bets: Dougherty's outright picks for the Wyndham Championship

Read More

Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees odds, pick, prediction for Tue. 8/6

Read More

NFL futures: These NFL teams have the best odds of starting season 5-0

Read More
For all the latest betting news, check out the
Yardbarker Sports Betting news hub.
Sports News, Rumors & Quizzes

TERMS OF SERVICE    PRIVACY POLICY    CONTACT US    MY ACCOUNT    SUBSCRIBE    ADVERTISE    JOBS

     

To ensure delivery of these emails, please add news@yardbarker.com to your address book.
If you no longer wish to receive these emails, you can safely unsubscribe here.

Copyright 2025 YB Media, LLC.
1534 Plaza Lane, #146, Burlingame, CA 94010.
All Rights Reserved