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September 19, 2024: Make Jets-Pats 'TNF' matchup more fun with this +440 SGP

The Week 3 NFL slate kicks off Thursday night with Jets-Pats. Is it the most intriguing game of Week 3? Not by a long shot. Are we still going to bet on it? Of course. 

Today's picks and sports betting news you need to know
 
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Make Jets-Pats 'TNF' matchup more fun with this +440 SGP

New York Jets quarterback Aaron Rodgers. Denny Simmons / The Tennessean / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

The Week 3 NFL slate kicks off Thursday night with an AFC East battle between the New York Jets and the New England Patriots. Is it the most intriguing game of the Week 3 schedule? Not by a long shot. Are we still going to bet on it? Of course. 

Let's spice up this weak "Thursday Night Football" matchup with a same-same parlay for Jets-Pats. 

TNF SGP

Leg 1: Under 38.5

It's hard to picture where the points come from in this matchup, especially on New England's side. The Patriots already have the least impressive group of offensive weapons in the NFL and a terrible offensive line, and now two starting linemen have been ruled out and two more are questionable for Thursday night. The Jets are going to focus all their energy on shutting down Rhamondre Stevenson, and if they do, the Pats don't have anyone else to hurt them down the field.

Although the Patriots are inept on offense, they do have a strong enough defense to keep this game close. Christian Gonzalez can limit Garrett Wilson's impact on the outside, and the defensive line can get after an immobile Aaron Rodgers and force him into quick throws short of the sticks. 

Leg 2: Jacoby Brissett under 163.5 passing yards

This line is way too high. Brissett threw for 149 yards against the Cincinnati Bengals and 121 against the Seattle Seahawks, and the Jets pose an even tougher matchup than those two secondaries. 

Brissett isn't set up to succeed because the Pats are lacking talent at receiver and offensive line. Left tackle Vederian Lowe and left guard Sidy Sow have been ruled out for "TNF," so Brissett will have relentless pressure coming from his blindside and forcing him to bail on the pocket or get the ball out quick.

Leg 3: Mike Williams over 23.5 receiving yards

With Gonzalez likely marking Wilson for most of the game, Rodgers will need another receiving weapon to step up and give him a trusty target down the field. Williams can be that guy on Thursday night.

The Jets wanted to ease Williams back from his torn ACL to start the season, so he played only 18 percent of the team's offensive snaps in Week 1. The former Los Angeles Charger shot up to 65 percent of snaps in Week 2, and that number is only going to increase as the season goes on. Williams' best skill is making contested catches down the field, so he could clear this line with just one reception. 

Put it all together, and we get a +440 Same-Game Parlay on FanDuel. Let's cash!


In the news ...

Brewers clinch NL Central, become first team to win division — With just a week and a half remaining in the regular season, we finally have our first division champion. The Milwaukee Brewers clinched the NL Central on Wednesday before taking down the Philadelphia Phillies with a walk-off single to improve to 88-64. The Phillies, which are 7.0 games ahead of the New York Mets in the NL East, are the next-closest team to clinching their division. Milwaukee is +750 to win the National League. 

Eli Manning, Luke Kuechly headline first-time nominees for Hall of Fame — The Pro Football Hall of Fame announced its nominees for the Class of 2025 this week, and there are some heavy hitters ready for their first chance at glory. Manning, Kuechly, Terrell Suggs, Adam Vinatieri, Marshawn Lynch, Joe Staley, Vernon Davis, Aqib Talib and eight others have been chosen as first-time candidates to crack the Hall of Fame. Players need 80 percent of the votes to get in. 

Jordan Love has a chance to play in Week 3 — When Love was diagnosed with a sprained MCL after the season-opening loss to the Philadelphia Eagles, it seemed as if he was going to miss at least a few weeks. After sitting out in Week 2, though, Love is hoping to play this Sunday against the Tennessee Titans. The Green Bay Packers quarterback returned to the practice field Wednesday, and he told reporters he's "hopeful" that he can suit up on Sunday. The Titans are currently -2 against the Packers, but that line could be on the move depending on Love's availability for the game. 


Today's Bark Bets is written by Jack Dougherty

Quick Picks

1 Jack Flaherty under 17.5 outs recorded

Flaherty hasn't been an effective inning-eater since joining the Los Angeles Dodgers, as he's gone under this line in five of his eight starts since being traded. The Miami Marlins also rank first in batting average (.292), third in OPS (.813) and fifth in wRC+ (123) against righties over the last two weeks.

Latest Odds:  +148
2 Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets

Taijuan Walker is back in the Phillies starting rotation for Thursday night, and we can't wait to fade him. Walker has been arguably the worst starter in baseball this season, and the Phillies are 0-9 in his last nine starts. Give us the Mets moneyline. 
Thursday, 7:15 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Phillies
+1.5 (-179) +118 > 8 (-115)
Mets
-1 (+114) -130 < 8 (-125)
3 Pete Alonso over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs

The Mets should be in store for a big night at the plate, and Alonso will likely be a big part of that. Alonso is batting .417 and slugging .708 over the last week, and he's cracked Walker for two doubles and a home run in 15 career at-bats against him.  

Latest Odds:  -130
4 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers are coming off a champagne-filled night of celebration after clinching the NL Central. Their sense of urgency won't be able to match Arizona's, as the Diamondbacks are fighting for their lives to hold onto a wild-card spot in the NL. We'll take the D-backs moneyline.
Thursday, 7:15 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Diamondbacks
-1 (+117) -116 > 8 (-114)
Brewers
+1.5 (-169) +100 < 8 (-125)
5 Los Angeles Angels @ Houston Astros

Yusei Kikuchi has been fantastic since joining the Astros, while the Angels rank 27th in batting average (.152) and 28th in OPS (.458) against lefties over the last two weeks. Jose Suarez held Houston scoreless in 4.0 innings in his last appearance, so we'll take the under 8. 
Thursday, 8:10 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Angels
+2.5 (-150) +250 > 8 (-118)
Astros
-1.5 (-135) -295 < 8 (-115)

Betting News & Notes

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