Yardbarker

The Bark Bets Newsletter

October 18, 2024: Justin Jefferson moving on up our favorite NFL Week 7 bets list

With a jam-packed weekend of football ahead of us, we’re starting to develop a hankering for some plus-money props for NFL Sunday. Join us in sprinkling some dough on our three favorite alternate-line player props for the Week 7 slate. 

Today's picks and sports betting news you need to know
 
Subscribe  |  Read in Browser

Justin Jefferson moving on up our favorite NFL Week 7 bets list

Jeff Hanisch-Imagn Images

With a jam-packed weekend of football ahead of us, we’re starting to develop a hankering for some plus-money props for NFL Sunday. Join us in sprinkling some dough on our three favorite alternate-line player props for the Week 7 slate. 

Justin Jefferson 120+ receiving yards (+220 DraftKings)

When the Detroit Lions go to sleep, they all have nightmares about Jefferson. In eight career games against Detroit, Jefferson is averaging 7.8 catches and 134.1 receiving yards. He’s recorded 192, 141 and 223 receiving yards in his last three matchups against the NFC North rivals.

With Aidan Hutchinson out for the season, the Lions won’t be able to put consistent pressure on Sam Darnold. That will allow Darnold to sit comfortably in the pocket and let Jefferson’s deep routes develop.

Chuba Hubbard 100+ rushing yards (+310 DK)

This is a surprising sentence to write, but Hubbard has been one of the most efficient running backs in the NFL this season. The Carolina Panthers RB is rushing for a career-high 5.6 yards per carry, and he’s averaging over 100 rushing yards per game over the last four weeks.

The only chance the Panthers have of sticking with the Washington Commanders is to play ball control and keep Jayden Daniels off the field as much as possible. That game plan can be successful here, as the Commanders rank 29th in the NFL in opponent yards per rush (5.0) and just lost DT Jonathan Allen for the season.

Anthony Richardson 2+ TDs (+650 DK)

We're expecting Jonathan Taylor to miss his third consecutive game due to his high-ankle sprain. That leaves Trey Sermon and Tyler Goodson to lead the backfield, and neither RB has been effective in the red zone this season.

In the last two games without Taylor, Sermon and Goodson have combined for 11 carries and just eight rushing yards in the red zone. Now that Richardson is back under center, the Indianapolis Colts have a goal-line weapon they trust. AR15 should be busy inside the 10-yard line against a poor Miami Dolphins run defense. 

We recommend playing these props separately, but if you're feeling as spicy as we are, you can parlay the three at +9740 odds on DraftKings.

In the news ...

Guardians walk off Yankees in an instant classic; Dodgers crush Mets to go up 3-1 — What a night of playoff baseball that was. In the ALCS Game 3, after Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton went back to back in the eighth inning to take the lead, Jhonkensy Noel hit a two-run bomb with two outs in the bottom of the ninth to send the game to extras. An inning later, David Fry cranked a walk-off two-run homer to bring the series to 2-1. Over in the NLCS, Shohei Ohtani hit a leadoff home run in Game 4, and the Los Angeles Dodgers never looked back in their 10-2 victory. The Dodgers are now -120 to win the World Series. 

Broncos destroy Saints in 'Thursday Night Football' slop fest — That's the "TNF" we know and love. After a fun night of shoddy quarterback play, hilarious turnovers and a late touchdown pass from a third-string QB to screw under bettors everywhere, the Denver Broncos cruised to a 33-10 victory against the New Orleans Saints. Javonte Williams led the way with 111 total yards and two touchdowns. The Broncos are +180 to make the playoffs.

Longtime Virginia head coach Tony Bennett announces retirement — Less than three weeks away from the season opener against Campbell, Bennett announced his immediate retirement. In 15 years with Virginia, Bennett won a national championship, two Coach of the Year awards and six ACC regular season titles. The Cavaliers are 150-1 to win the title this season. 


Today's Bark Bets is written by Jack Dougherty

Quick Picks

1 David Peterson under 3.5 strikeouts

This is do or die for the Mets. With the season on the line, manager Carlos Mendoza is going to use every bullpen option at his disposal. Peterson has only five strikeouts in 8.2 innings of work this postseason, and he could be pulled at the first sign of trouble.

Latest Odds:  -115 DK
2 Florida State Seminoles @ Duke Blue Devils

Duke is 5-1 through six games, but this team is much worse than that record suggests. The Blue Devils barely scraped by Northwestern in overtime, UConn and North Carolina, and they lost to the best team they played, Georgia Tech, by 10. Give us Florida State on the moneyline.
Friday, 7:00 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Florida State
+3.5 (-124) +130 > 42 (-110)
Duke
-2.5 (-125) -148 < 42 (-110)
3 Oklahoma State Cowboys @ Brigham Young Cougars

Death, taxes and BYU dominating in Provo. The Cougars have outscored their opponents, 120-41, in three home games this season. Two of those opponents, Kansas State and Arizona, are better than Oklahoma State. We'll ride the Cougs in Provo until they give us a reason not to. Give us BYU -8.5.
Friday, 10:15 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Oklahoma State
+9.5 (-108) +300 > 52 (-110)
Brigham Young
-8.5 (-120) -340 < 52 (-110)
4 Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts

As always, we'll leave you for the weekend with a pick for NFL Sunday. We expect Tyler Huntley and this Miami offense to look much better coming off the bye week, and the Colts are a worse team with Richardson under center instead of Joe Flacco. We'll take the Dolphins +3.5.
Sunday, 1:00 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Dolphins
+3.5 (-125) +140 > 43.5 (-109)
Colts
-3 (-105) -155 < 43.5 (-110)

Betting News & Notes

NFL Week 7: Dougherty's NFL betting guide, Part 1

Read More

NFL Week 7: Dougherty's NFL betting guide, including 'MNF'

Read More

Dodgers vs Mets Game 5 Player Props 

Read More

Mets vs Dodgers Parlay for NLCS Game 5

Read More

Minnesota Lynx Game 4 Preview, Odds, Picks vs New York Liberty

Read More

How To Bet The 2024-25 Golden State Warriors: Age And Beauty

Read More

How To Bet The 2024-25 Denver Nuggets: A Window Closed?

Read More
For all the latest betting news, check out the
Yardbarker Sports Betting news hub.
Sports News, Rumors & Quizzes

TERMS OF SERVICE    PRIVACY POLICY    CONTACT US    MY ACCOUNT    SUBSCRIBE    ADVERTISE    JOBS

     

To ensure delivery of these emails, please add news@yardbarker.com to your address book.
If you no longer wish to receive these emails, you can safely unsubscribe here.

Copyright 2025 YB Media, LLC.
1534 Plaza Lane, #146, Burlingame, CA 94010.
All Rights Reserved