2022 Jacksonville Jaguars win total: Back to Year 0 for the Jags

The Urban Meyer hiring by Jacksonville always seemed destined to go either very well or very badly. It was obviously the latter, but it is hard to find anyone who foresaw the absolute disaster that it turned out to be.

The only upside is that they did not waste a "prime" year of quarterback Trevor Lawrence. He was certainly not perfect as a rookie but showed enough poise and talent to indicate that he can progress into a quality starting quarterback in the NFL. Especially with new leadership in the form of head coach Doug Pederson.

It is not a dramatic increase, but it looks like the overall talent level has risen from a year ago (yes, that was a low bar). Most importantly, they are now going to be more competent on the sidelines meaning they can focus on beating teams on the field instead of all the other stuff. 

Jacksonville won just three games last season so if they are going to hit that over it is going to be quite the accomplishment. Even though they appear to be pointed in the right direction it is going to be a long while before this team is expected to win more games. 

Jacksonville Jaguars Win Total

Over 6.5 (+115)
Under 6.5 (-135)

Best Bet: Under 6.5

Just because things should be more professional on and off the field in Jacksonville does not mean more wins are coming for the Jags. With their limitations, it is going to be very tough to try and generate any sort of positive momentum throughout the season. 

The first quarter of the season looks like a write-off as they are on the road for three of four games with a home date against Indianapolis mixed in there. They have had success against the Colts in the past (including a final week win a year ago) but there is still a very sizable gap between Jacksonville and Indianapolis. 

In Week 5, the Jags host Houston and that might be the only game they are favored in all season long. Two weeks later they also host the New York Giants, a spot where it is possible they could be favored, but only if they beat the Texans.

After that game against the Giants, it is really hard to find a team they can expect to beat. Maybe at Detroit, or at the New York Jets, or at the Texans in a return match against a rival. That is a lot of maybes to count on. 

Even if they win those "coin-flip" games, the Jaguars look likely to come up short. Remember to get the over on this one the Jags need to win more games than they have since 2017, with a new head coach and a quarterback in just his second season. That might be a possibility if they had a killer defense but that is not the case. They went with OLB Travon Walker at the top of the draft but that does not look like enough to move the team into even the top half of the league when the other team has the ball. Again, it is a baby step. 

I hate going with the majority opinion here, but the Jags are still one of the easy outs in the league. The under is the play.