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4 NFL QBs Projected To Be Better Than Patrick Mahomes In 2025
Jamie Squire/Getty Images

When it comes to the NFL 's top QBs pretty much everyone's top four is the same: Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson and Joe Burrow (usually in that order but not always).

But according to Warren Sharp's projections, a handful of Mahomes' peers are expected to be better than him in 2025.

On Wednesday, the NFL analyst revealed his quarterback tier list made up of 38 signal-callers ranked from S+ to F. And the three-time Super Bowl champ found himself on the tale end of the league's top-five with Josh, Lamar, Jalen Hurts and Jayden Daniels ahead of him.

On Mahomes Sharp noted 2024 featured:

  • career lows in YPA (6.8) & yards/game (246)
  • career low 26 pass TDs despite playing 16 games
  • career high 30.8% of passes thrown at/behind LOS
  • #3 highest rate of the last decade (Jake Browning, Alex Smith)
  • career high 36 sacks taken
  • career high 108 hits taken

Adding all of that sounds terrible, but on the bright side:

  • Rashee Rice, Marquise Brown, and Xavier Worthy never played a game together
  • we expect the KC to transition towards a reemphasis on pushing the ball downfield & running the offense through their WRs
  • and KC improved their tackle position via the draft & FA

While Mahomes' numbers have ticked down in recent years, it seems like it's more a function of how the Chiefs have needed to win games rather than a decline in ability or play.

Without the explosive weapons he was accustomed to earlier in his career, Kansas City has had to rely more on its defense and special teams to piece together Ws over the past two seasons (something they did 25 times in the 32 games Mahomes played in).

Still though, it's unclear how much longer Patrick can go without the gaudy numbers before fans start replacing him at the top of their lists.

This article first appeared on The Spun and was syndicated with permission.

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