Handicapping the next big NFL coach to get shown the door

We're two weeks into the NFL season, which is plenty for teams to start freaking out and firing coaches. The Buffalo Bills already canned offensive coordinator Greg Roman the day after the team lost to the New York Jets to fall to 0-2.

We still have a lot to learn about the pecking order of the 2016 season, but there's one thing we know for sure: There are more firings to come. So who's next to get the ax? We examine the totally real odds that we didn't arbitrarily invent just now.

Gus Bradley: 4/1

Now in his fourth year in Jacksonville, Gus's record is a miserable 12-38. Perhaps that's an organization where expectations are lower than most, though fans came into 2016 anticipating at least a move in the right direction.

The Jags put on a respectable showing against the Packers in Week 1 and, had the officials not gotten several calls wrong, very well could have pulled off the upset. Unfortunately, Jacksonville followed that up by getting trounced in San Diego by a team that blew a huge lead the week before. The Jags now face 2-0 Baltimore and AFC South rival Indianapolis going into the bye. If Jacksonville doesn't win either of those games, it'd be easy to see Bradley being shown the door.

Chuck Pagano: 7/1

Indianapolis could explain away its 2015 struggles with Andrew Luck's injury problems, but now the problems are extending into 2016. The loss to the defending champs on the road on Sunday was understandable, though compounded by also dropping Week 1 to Detroit. While Brock Osweiler isn't playing well enough for Houston to be uncatchable, the Texans do already have a two-game lead and host the Colts in Week 6.

Adam Gase: 60/1
Clyde Christensen: 6/1
Vance Joseph: 7/1

Gase is new so it's unlikely he'd lose his job minus a colossal flameout, though you could easily see the organization jettison a coordinator to set an example. The offense hasn't looked great, and while the defense didn't allow a ton of points in Week 1, it did eventually break at the end.

Rob Ryan: 3/1
Rex Ryan: 5/1

The Bills have shown a willingness to let heads roll. Of the Ryan brothers, Rob is easily the more expendable, not only because he's an assistant, but because he hasn't fielded a good defense in quite a while. But Rex certainly isn't safe given Buffalo's struggles since he's taken over as head coach.

Ken Norton Jr.: 6/1

The Raiders have the makings of a young team on the rise, but so far this year the defense is clearly the weak point. That's probably why head coach Jack Del Rio has been as risky as he has: knowing the defense can seldom be counted on to hold a lead or keep a game from getting out of hand.

Joe Barry: 5/1
Jay Gruden: 16/1

Jay is likely somewhat protected given that the 'Skins won the division in 2015. However, the team is already showing signs of trust issues and teammates doubting Kirk Cousins. There's a lot of public scorn on the defense for its perceived inability to adapt to teams taking advantage of where Josh Norman lines up on the field, which makes Barry an easy scapegoat if things really go south.

Dennis Allen: 10/1
Sean Payton: 11/1

New Orleans' front office has repeated that Payton's job is safe, while Dennis Allen inherited a disaster of a job trying to fix the Saints' defense. Either way, with the impending exit of Drew Brees, this isn't a job with a particularly bright future at the moment, so there's less urgency to make a change right away.

Jim Caldwell: 9/1

Detroit stuck with him through a 1-7 start in 2015 only to watch Caldwell bring the Lions to a respectable 7-9 finish, though now he has to build on that this season. It's hard to know what to make of Detroit so far after coming back to beat Indianapolis in Week 1, then letting Tennessee do the same to it the following week.

Dan Quinn: 15/1

At 1-1, he's in line with his .500 record of 2015. If the Falcons finish somewhere in that vicinity, Quinn's job is likely safe in his second season, unless Arthur Blank really wants to try to make a big splash with the new stadium coming in 2017.

Jeff Fisher: 13/1

There are widespread reports that Fisher is on the verge of getting a three-year extension, though at this point that has to be taken with some skepticism — but perhaps I'm giving the Rams too much credit by doubting. Fisher has shown an ability to beat Seattle and little else. The organization is clearly taking the long view by sitting Jared Goff this season, though at some point it needs to give L.A. something to be excited about.

Mike McCarthy: 40/1

One bad loss and a guy who has made the postseason seven years in a row ends up on the list. It's probably a long shot even if the Packers miss out on the playoffs this season, though with a more impulsive organization there might be frustration that the team has only been to one Super Bowl in Aaron Rodgers' tenure.