The Hindu deity Krishna is attributed with saying that hesitation is the greatest of all sins.
Last week, it was one of which San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy was guilty as they went down to a shock 24-23 defeat to the Arizona Cardinals.
Purdy was intercepted twice in that defeat, his second ending the game as he failed to get the ball off to an open George Kittle before a Cardinals blitz got home. Purdy was hit as he threw and intercepted by Kyzir White.
Both picks were a consequence of Purdy holding onto the ball too long, while a nine-yard sack in the third quarter was the product of him scrambling for 11 seconds rather than throwing it away, moving the Niners out of field goal range.
There were other factors behind San Francisco's defeat, but Purdy accepted he must be more decisive.
On Tuesday, Purdy said of his game-ending pick:
"Yeah, I got hit and so I’m like, ‘alright, how did that happen with our protection that we had on and stuff.’ We had two guys come to the side of where our protection was set and one guy was free. So that’s on me in terms of getting the ball out and not holding onto it. In that situation when I was walking off looking at the video board, I was like, man, did I miss a guy or did I just try to get to Aiyuk the whole time and not see what was going on with the blitz and stuff?’ So, in that moment, that’s what I was thinking about. I wish I would’ve executed it differently."
He added of the team's struggles in the red zone, where the 49ers were one for six last Sunday: "I think we’ve had some opportunities and I think that’s an area for me to be better for sure. Trust the plays, trust the concepts, trust my guys, and being willing to go down there and rip it."
Now, there is very marginal room for error for the 49ers going into their Thursday Night Football clash with the Seattle Seahawks. The Niners are 2-3, going on the road and into a hostile environment knowing they will be 0-3 in their own division with home games with the Kansas City Chiefs and Dallas Cowboys on the horizon if they do not prevail at Lumen Field.
There is no time for the 49ers and, more pertinently, Purdy for hesitate in a matchup with a banged-up Seahawks defense that ranks 31st in Expected Points Added per play over the last two weeks.
It's time for Purdy to produce the type of performance that has seen him lead the Niners to primetime victories in Seattle in each of the last two seasons. His display in the Seattle pressure cooker will be the defining one of this game, and it's the main thing to watch for in this critical NFC West matchup.
An overriding narrative of this game is 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan and Purdy going up against Mike MacDonald's defense.
Last time the 49ers came up against the now Seahawks head coach, he was the defensive coordinator for the Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens picked off Purdy four times in a Christmas Day nightmare for the 49ers signal-caller, leading to obvious questions about the challenge of facing that scheme, albeit with different players, again.
For Purdy, watching the worst performance of his career has been beneficial.
"We’ve watched it a bunch just in terms of like what we’re trying to do, what their scheme was against our offense and our scheme. And so watching it, obviously I’m watching how the game went and the decisions that I made and stuff and obviously learning from it. But more than anything, just when I do get in those situations again, handling everything in the right way in terms of getting to my answer and taking what the defense gives me and those kinds of things. So it’s been really good watching, but at the same time, we’re playing a whole new personnel in the Seahawks and so should be a little bit different in that regard, just playing different players. But when it comes to the scheme versus scheme, it was good to watch the game last year against Baltimore. It was good."
The difference in personnel is the key point. The Seahawks don't have linebackers of the caliber of Roquan Smith and Patrick Queen and they don't have a chess piece as versatile as Kyle Hamilton.
As such, the Seahawks do not have the means to cause problems for Purdy in the middle of the field to the extent the Ravens did on Christmas.
The Seahawks pass defense is now ranked 30th in EPA/pass against passes between the numbers at depths of 8-23 yards.
— over zone y (@cmikesspinmove) October 9, 2024
The 49ers offense is 1st in success rate and total EPA targeting that area of the field.
This is an even more extreme strength v weakness as the Lions game.
Purdy knows what not to do against this defense and is going against a group of players that can't run it as well as the Ravens, opening up the bread and butter plays that have underpinned his success with the Niners. In his second go against MacDonald, Purdy is in a much better spot to excel.
The 49ers' offensive issues against Arizona served to undermine what was, on the whole, a solid defensive effort from San Francisco.
But the defense was far from blameless in the collapse that saw the Niners give up a 13-point lead.
Arizona scored on each of its three offensive possessions in the second half, and the 49ers saw their run defense rapidly decline in the second half.
San Francisco had huge struggles bringing down Cardinals running back James Conner as the game wore on, missing 12 tackles in total. Over the last two weeks, the 49ers have missed 29 tackles, per Pro Football Focus.
This week, the 49ers face a running back in Kenneth Walker III who has forced 16 missed tackles this season and who is averaging 3.59 yards after contact, the ninth-most among backs with at least 20 carries, according to PFF.
San Francisco enduring more struggles tackling in Seattle could go a long way towards them losing a fourth game in six, and defensive coordinator Nick Sorensen has hammered home that point this week.
"He’s [Walker] got a bunch of plays that you would be like, oh, it’s kind of flukish but he just doesn’t go down and he is hard to get down," said Sorensen.
"He’s the type of guy that he has the ability to kind of run wherever and he’s got the strength and the contact-balance that he just doesn’t go down and he’ll fight for it. And he is really talented and has top-end speed once he gets outside of breaking a tackle he can go."
For the 49ers to get back on track, they must limit opportunities for Walker to rip off those explosive runs.
One of the most interesting aspects of the 49ers' defensive performance was the amount of pressure sent in Kyler Murray's direction.
Murray was blitzed 12 times, continuing a marked increase by the 49ers in their willingness to throw extra rushers at quarterbacks over the last two weeks.
Indeed, the games against the New England Patriots and Cardinals have seen the 49ers send extra rushers 25 times. Over the course of the first three weeks of the season, they blitzed only 13 times.
Part of the change in approach may be a drain of talent up front caused by injuries, with Sorensen clearly seeking ways to get his remaining linemen one-on-one opportunities.
The results against Murray were mixed. He was seven for 12 against the blitz for 87 yards, averaging 7.3 yards per attempt. Not spectacular numbers, however, he did make a critical fourth-down conversion to Marvin Harrison Jr. with pressure in his face as the 49ers sent an all-out blitz.
This right call executed almost perfectly across the board, the exceptions being Floyd's get-off being too slow and, obviously, Yiadom's coverage. If even one of those things is better, ballgame.
— Nicholas McGee (@nicholasmcgee24) October 10, 2024
Pain. pic.twitter.com/znCGkCRCcj
For Sorensen, the question now is whether to continue with a more blitz-happy approach against a quarterback in Geno Smith who performs very well against it.
Per Sumer Sports, Smith ranks 11th in Expected Points Added per play when blitzed. Smith's passer rating when blitzed is 97.7, per PFF. He has thrown for three touchdowns and made four big-time throws when blitzed. However, on the other side of the coin, he has also been picked off twice and produced three turnover worthy throws.
In other words, Smith is a quarterback who can eviscerate the blitz but also fall victim to it. Going against a vulnerable Seahawks O-Line, the 49ers will likely deploy it at certain points to attempt to slow down Seattle. But they will need to get the balance right in terms of how much they lean on extra rushers and the spots in which they use the blitz to help manufacture the pressure that hasn't been consistent enough by their standards this season.
More must-reads:
Get the latest news and rumors, customized to your favorite sports and teams. Emailed daily. Always free!