The dog days of the NFL offseason have officially arrived. This means that the talking heads and media will come up with narratives and storylines to generate buzz as we trudge our way closer and closer to training camp. Recently, PFF introduced the 'floors and ceilings' for 2nd-year NFL quarterbacks. There was one QB whose comparisons were less than flattering.
Pro Football Focus gave their floors and ceilings for every 2nd year Quarterback.
— JPAFootball (@jasrifootball) June 29, 2025
Thoughts? pic.twitter.com/aq1buDS4O7
Every quarterback had actual players for both their ceiling and floor, except for Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams. To say the floor with Williams is 'bust' vs saying JJ McCarthy's floor is Sam Darnold is grounds for dismissing this list completely. How can a player who broke every rookie quarterback record for his franchise become a 'bust', while someone who hasn't even played in an NFL game has a floor of a player who led his team to 14 wins last year?
FS1's Danny Parkins was focused on the other part of Williams' evaluation: his ceiling, which could rival that of NFC North quarterback Jordan Love. Parkins went so far as to say that Williams is better than Love RIGHT NOW.
While I'm not ready to definitively say Williams is the better quarterback right now, I am certainly in agreement that declaring he will only ever be as good as Jordan Love is right now is absurd. Let's take a look at a few numbers for both quarterbacks.
Caleb Williams | Jordan Love | |
---|---|---|
Career Passer Rating |
87.8 |
95.1 |
TD:INT Ratio |
3.3 |
2.4 |
Completion Percentage |
62.5% |
63.5% |
Total Rushing Yards |
489 |
356 |
I cherry-picked a few statistics to show that while Love does have a higher passer rating, their completion percentages are nearly identical, and Williams boasts a far better TD-to-INT ratio. This is despite a rookie year where he was sacked nearly 70 times and had three different play callers. Williams also has more rushing yards than Love, despite playing 25 fewer games, which shows that he is far more of a dual-threat quarterback.
I believe the jury is still out on both quarterbacks, and their ceilings are yet to be seen. The 2025 season will only add more fuel to this discussion, and I look forward to it.
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