
This is getting old. Deshaun Watson has a poor showing, the Browns do just enough to come back and pull off the win late in the fourth quarter. Against the Tennessee Titans, the Browns tied their season high in points and put up their highest yardage total since Jameis Winston's nuclear explosion against the Denver Broncos back in 2024. Watson had his first 300-yard passing game in 26 tries with Cleveland, but the raw numbers don't tell the full story. This was a game that both displayed the high-end potential of the Browns' offense, while covering up one of its major deficincies.
What is Throw Accuracy Charting?
The main goal with throw charting is not to provide a comprehensive silver bullet of a metric to gauge whether a quarterback is good or bad. It is merely one tool in the toolbox with which to do so, and it has both its usefulness and its own limitations. It doesn't account for decision-making, nor does it factor in degree of difficulty. The grading criteria are as follows:
Elite - A rare throw that displays impeccable ball placement, typically further downfield.
Accurate - A ball (complete or incomplete) that is well-placed, not simply catchable or a completion.
Neutral - shovel passes, most screens, poor throws while being hit, and negative plays that aren't the QB's fault beyond a shadow of a doubt.
Inaccurate - A ball that is placed poorly, but likely still catchable.
Bad - A pass that is uncatchable and unusually inaccurate.
Distance context is broken up into four sections; behind the line of scrimmage, 0-9 yards, 10 to 19 yards, and 20+ yards. This adds further detail to these numbers and gives a measure of not only how frequently the QB is making throws downfield, but how effective he is at making them catchable.
Additionally, the box score attempts/completions may not always line up with the total amount of throws charted - this is because throws nullified by penalty are included for charting purposes, and things like jet sweeps and other extended handoffs are not charted, even if they are considered official pass attempts.
For a game that is being praised as his best of the season, Watson wasn't actually very impressive on tape. He made a perfect throw downfield to KC Concepcion for a would-be touchdown that was dropped, but aside from that, he was very inaccurate past the sticks, and even on his underneath throws his ball placement was quite spotty. Watson has been benefitting from a lot of yards after catch this season, but Sunday took things to an entirely different level; of Watson's 308 passing yards, 202 of them came after that catch, which is a flat-out ridiculous number. Watson deserves credit for executing and giving his recievers the chance to do that, but there were a number of throws where he placed the ball poorly, still completing the pass but negating an opportunity for bigger yardage.
The Browns have a boatload of playmakers, and guys like Concepcion and Harold Fannin Jr. were finally able to capitalize on Sunday, reminding fans of how dynamic they are with the ball in their hands. Watson merely has to reliably distribute the ball for the offense to have success, and he was able to do that against a Robert Saleh-led defense that had been playing fairly well as of late.
With that said, the Browns are winning games with Watson, not because of him. That doesn't mean he hasn't made some impressive throws or put together some clutch drives. He certainly has, but when evaluating his play as a whole, he's been essentially the same player he was in 2024 and 2023 for this team. The difference is the team around him is picking him up, whether it's been the defense in most of the previous wins, or the offensive skill players against Tenneessee.
Eventually, that reality will make its way to the W-L column, but for now (and really for the rest of this season), the Browns have a schedule that does give them a legitimate chance to contend for a playoff berth if they can continue to have extraordinary success in one-score games.
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