College Baseball Odds, Futures: Bet UTSA, UNC in NCAA Super Regionals

This number is off. UTSA should be favored in this Super Regional.

They’re on fire right now and checking all the boxes in every stat category. When looking at what this Roadrunners team did against Texas, it’s clear they can match up with a team like UCLA.

Game-by-game, I make UTSA’s Michael Barnett a -120 favorite in the first matchup over UCLA’s Zach Royse. In the second, Roadrunners starter Conor Myles should be -145 over Landon Stump of the Bruins. Finally, I make UCLA’s Wylan Moss around a straight pick’em at -110 in the last game.

If this series stretches to three games, putting the odds together, UTSA comes out as a -120 favorite overall. That makes UTSA worth a wager +145 because this series should be lined closer to a pick’em at -110 both ways.

Now, UCLA had a solid weekend at Regionals, but we have to consider who it played. Was UC Irvine really a tough opponent, or was there something else at play in that Regional?

The Bruins did bring their A-game, but I’m not convinced that’s enough to take down a UTSA team that’s as red-hot as it gets right now.

Meep Meep to Omaha.

In the opening game, North Carolina’s Jake Knapp will face Arizona’s Owen Kramkowski in a game I make UNC -240.

Moving on to the second game, Jason DeCaro will take the mound for the Tar Heels, and I have him coming in at -154 against Raul Garayzar. It’s interesting because it’ll be Garayzar’s first time starting a second game this season, so there might be some changes.

As for Game 3, North Carolina’s Aidan Haugh will take on Smith Bailey, who has pretty much settled in as Arizona’s Game 3 starter. Hogue’s projection comes in at -185, so it makes sense why the Tar Heels are such a heavy favorite in this Super Regional.

I was a bit taken aback by Arizona’s performance in Regionals, too — just one of those surprising outcomes where you don’t expect a cold team to down a host like Oregon.

Looking ahead, I’d consider putting a future on the Tar Heels as well. Brackets 1 and 2 are set in Omaha, and with the path UNC has, it looks pretty favorable. It doesn’t have to contend with Arkansas, Tennessee or LSU early on, leaving Auburn and Oregon State/Florida State as its biggest competition.

If you haven’t grabbed a future on the Diamond Heels yet, now might be the time to do it.