Cowboys vs. Browns prediction: odds, lines, best bets, expert picks for NFL Week 1

Cowboys vs. Browns Picks

SPREAD

I'm betting the Cowboys as a road underdog to start the regular season.

MONEYLINE

While I'm betting Dallas to cover, I'm not betting its moneyline.

TOTAL

I have no pick on the Cowboys-Browns over/under.

Cowboys vs. Browns Pick: Cowboys +2.5

Cowboys vs. Browns Odds

Sunday, Sept. 8

4:25 p.m. ET

FOX

Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.

• Cowboys vs. Browns Point Spread: Cowboys +2.5 | Browns -2.5
• Cowboys vs. Browns Total: Over/Under 41
• Cowboys vs. Browns Moneyline: Cowboys +115 | Browns -135

How to Watch Cowboys vs. Browns

Cowboys vs. Browns is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET live from SoFi Stadium on Sunday. The game is live on FOX and other streaming platforms, such as YouTube TV.

Cowboys-Browns Betting Trends

• 53% of bets and 63% of the money are on Dallas to cover the spread.
• 85% of bets and 57% of the money are on the over.
• 49% of bets and 87% of the money on the moneyline are on the Cowboys to pull off the upset.

Cowboys vs. Browns: NFL Week 1 Picks

I get all of the hate on the Cowboys, but we need to look on the field to break this game down.

Watson has played very little football over the past three seasons, and he hasn't looked particularly good when he has. When you watch footage of him, he doesn't look like the player who broke into the league and was an instant success. He's not hitting receivers in the hands and it doesn't look like he has much of a rhythm.

The Browns defense, however, is incredible and carried them to the playoffs last season with Joe Flacco at quarterback. Can that happen again if Watson isn't holding up his end of the bargain? I'm skeptical.

On the other side, I think this is a great spot for Prescott. People seem to only be remembering the playoff loss to the Packers and not the great season he had that led the Cowboys to the NFC East championship.

In the regular season, though, Prescott has been very good to us. Especially at home, the Cowboys usually cover against bad teams. It's on the road where the issues are more prevalent.

Best Bet for Cowboys vs. Browns

I've been on the Cowboys here from the start. When Lamb's holdout continued into training camp, I waited to get a better number and it went up to +2.5. I was hoping this number would get to Cowboys +3, but it doesn't look like it's going to get there. I'm still on the Dallas side, though.

The hate on the Cowboys has gone too far. Given the questions surrounding the Browns' quarterback and offensive-line situations and Prescott's reliability in the regular season, this should be a good spot for a Dallas cover.

I think the line moving from +1.5 to +2.5 is more about off-the-field narratives than on-the-field realities. Give me Dallas.

Pick: Cowboys +2.5

About the Author

Matt runs GolfBet's weekly coverage of the PGA TOUR.

Follow Matt Trebby @trebby on Twitter/X.