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Dallas Cowboys' One Big Question: Can George Pickens Save Dallas' Dismal Offense?
(Barry Reeger-Imagn Images)

In this offseason series, Athlon's Doug Farrar asks the One Big Question for every NFL team that will ultimately be answered when everyone hits the field in September. For the Dallas Cowboys, it's all about redefining a passing game that fell off a cliff last season. Can the combination of George Pickens and CeeDee Lamb turn things around? 

Last season, with Dak Prescott, Cooper Rush, and Trey Lance as the starting quarterbacks, the Dallas Cowboys' offense ranked 21st in points per game (20.6), 27th in EPA (-0.14), 26th in EPA per pass (-0.15), and 29th in EPA per rushing play (-0.14). The offense as it was designed under head coach Mike McCarthy and offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer was not consistently productive in any way. 

Of course, things were better when Prescott was on the field, which he was for only eight starts before a hamstring malady cut his season short, but not as much as you might expect. The Cowboys had a passing EPA of -0.15 with Prescott off the field, and -0.06 when he was out there, but that still put Prescott closer to the bottom of NFL starting quarterbacks than anybody in Big D would want. 

Now that Schottenheimer is the team's new head coach, and offensive coordinator Klayton Adams has never held that title on a solo basis at any time in his career (he was Colorado's co-offensive coordinator in 2018), it's going to be as much about personnel than schematics when it comes to the success of Dallas' offense in the upcoming season.

And that's where George Pickens comes in. As it turned out, when Jerry Jones said after the 2025 draft that “the train has not left the station” when it came to receiver help for his Cowboys after the team did nothing in free agency and the draft to address the situation, Jones wasn’t just whistling Dixie. The substantive trade Jones had been hinting at for a while came to pass on May 7, when Dallas shipped a 2026 third-round pick, and swapped a 2027 fifth-round pick for the Pittsburgh Steelers’ 2027 sixth-round pick, for the services of Pickens, the ex-Pittsburgh Steelers' talented and mercurial receiver.

This shakes up the Cowboys’ receiver room in a necessary way, and the capital given up is negligible. As much as Jones has been {rightly) vilified for waiting too long to re-sign his stars and driving up their contract terms in the process, this is a situation in which both teams waited things out and got what they wanted. Dallas got the weapon they needed alongside CeeDee Lamb, and the Steelers got Pickens out of the building after trading a 2025 second-round pick to the Seattle Seahawks for DK Metcalf.

That’s the upside for Dallas. The potential downsides are Pickens’ um… mercurial nature, and the fact that if there’s no new contract to align with the trade, Pickens is in the final year of the rookie contract he signed after the Steelers selected him with the 52nd overall pick in the second round of the 2022 draft. As if the Jones boys needed another contract situation to potentially trip over… but they now have one.

For the 2025 season, though, Pickens does give new Schottenheimer and Adams a major target with which to befuddle defenses alongside CeeDee Lamb. Last season, Lamb was the NFL’s seventh-most targeted receiver with 146, and that’s with him missing the last two games of the season with a sprained AC joint in his right shoulder. Jalen Tolbert did have a bit of a breakout campaign last season, but Tolbert may be best-suited as a No. 3 receiver, so the Pickens addition amplifies everyone’s efforts, as long as Pickens keeps his head on straight.

Lamb is obviously a plus/plus receiver, but like everyone else in the world, there are things he's better-served to do, and one of them is not to be an X-iso receiver outside the numbers. Not that Lamb was abysmal in that role, but there was a clear reason Dallas went after Pickens for the thing he does best.

Pickens has no such issues; torching cornerbacks on the boundary as the X-iso guy is what he wakes up in the morning built to do. Especially when he has the opposing defense's best cornerback pressed right up on him from the snap. 

"Huge," Prescott said in May of the Pickens addition. "Huge, yeah, very huge. I mean — just look at that guy's tape. You see what he does, the kind of receiver that he is, he's going to win a one-on-ones. He can win 2 vs. 1 if he has to. Very, very talented guy when you can add him alongside of CeeDee and the rest of the weapons that we have… I'm super excited."

Now, the only question is how the target share will work. Lamb is more of the technician to Pickens’ wild-card, and he’s also more of a slot receiver. Outside of Amari Cooper in 2020 and 2021, Lamb's first two NFL seasons, Lamb has never had a “second banana” with this much athletic potential on the field, and Cooper was not this purely explosive even in his prime. Putting Lamb and Pickens on the same side of the formation will create all kinds of headaches for defensive backs and defensive coordinators by the sheer force of their ideal deployments.

"Yeah, I think it's understanding with them upfront maybe, ''Hey, there are going to be some games and maybe one or the other,' Prescott said about sharing the load. "It's tough, right? And that's the beauty of having two guys {Pickens and Lamb] is I don't know if it'll ever be tough for both of them, but in that instance, those are two unselfish guys and truly they want to win. And when you're not winning, and you're not getting the ball, trust me, I understand the frustration, so I'm never going to be mad at them for [being frustrated] about wanting to win and wanting the ball. 

"So it's communication. It's the relationship that we're building, and we'll continue to build, whether it's amongst me and GP or CeeDee."

So far, Pickens has said all the right things about being the optimal teammate, no matter who gets the ball. We can but see what happens when things go live in September.

"A different scheme could allow me to do more," Pickens remarked in June. "It's a good thing. College is probably the most recent time I've played with a lot of guys with speed — a lot of guys this fast. Team speed applies to the scheme, too. So if you've got a lot of fast guys, you're definitely gonna have a different scheme."

Pickens also pointed to the implementation of pre-snap chicanery as a force multiplier. 

"A lot of motions," Pickens said of Schottenheimer's promise that he'll use "multiples" of receivers to further bludgeon defenses beyond the pure talent on the field. "A lot of things that you get an indicator on what the defense is doing before you say 'Hike.' Some coaches don't do that."

A nice thought, but last season, the Steelers used pre-snap motion on 56% of their plays, which ranked 10th in the NFL. The Cowboys used it 49% of the time, which ranked 18th. Maybe Schottenheimer will use it more now that he's in charge, but the prior trends don't point to Pickens' encouragement. Nor does the fact that Pickens didn't do his best work with the Steelers when he was a target in motion (which was almost never) — his alpha trait is the ability to Godzilla opponents one-on-one. 

The theory that there are too many receivers to cover is a nice one, and on the surface, Pickens and Lamb present as formidable a one-two-punch as you'll see in today's NFL. More than anything, the question is, and remains, what the Cowboys' coaching staff will do with all those riches. Will they spend them wisely, or squander them as so many coaches in Jerry Jones' employ have over the years? 

No offense to Schottenheimer, but there's no way to answer Dallas' One Big Question for 2025 without posing the larger one as well — whether Jones actually hired a head coach and offensive shot-caller who's ahead of the game for once. 

(All advanced metrics courtesy of NFL Pro, Pro Football Focus, and Sports Info Solutions).

This article first appeared on Athlon Sports and was syndicated with permission.

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