We're just a few weeks away from the Detroit Lions' 2025 season, and of all the annual articles we write, this is probably our favorite. The yearly stat projection for the Lions offense.
The claim to fame for us is still the 2023 stat projection for Amon-Ra St. Brown. We predicted ahead of the season that St. Brown would have 115 receptions for 1,516 yards and 10 touchdowns. He wound up with 119 receptions, 1,516 yards, and 10 touchdowns. Nailed it. Now, let's see if we can nail something this year. We'll come back after the season to see how we did.
Player |
Completions-Attemps |
Passing Yards |
Touchdowns |
Interceptions |
Jared Goff |
425-617 |
4,725 |
34 |
10 |
Going high on the yards prediction for Goff based on the fact that the Lions are actively trying to add more deep shots to the offense. We're betting that they'll be successful in that regard, with Jameson Williams and Isaac Teslaa being deep threats. On top of that, Goff has been around this realm for the last three seasons, and he arguably has the best receiving corps he's ever had with Williams expected to have a career year and the depth with TeSlaa, Patrick, and Raymond.
In terms of interceptions, 10 is usually what we've been expecting from Goff. Somewhere in that territory.
Player |
Rushing yards |
Rushing touchdowns |
Jahmyr Gibbs |
1,521 |
15 |
David Montgomery |
845 |
6 |
Sione Vaki |
248 |
1 |
Craig Reynolds |
125 |
0 |
That's a big amount of yards for Jahmyr Gibbs in 2025. He would have been third in rushing in 2025. The reason why I see this still going up is that the Lions are still going to be a rush-first team, and everything we've seen this offseason and in the summer shows that they plan to feature Gibbs a little more than they already have. He's so dynamic and such a key piece of this offense, it's hard to see him getting less than this.
Montgomery gets a little more than he did last season, but not much more. At the end of the day, if Gibbs is getting more looks, Montgomery is getting less. That does not at all mean he's going into the shadows, though. He's still going to be a key piece of this offense. Especially in the red zone.
By season's end, we should see Sione Vaki make the jump over Reynolds and get some carries here and there. We think he makes the most of those carries.
Player |
Receptions |
Receiving yards |
Touchdowns |
Amon-Ra St. Brown |
110 |
1,152 |
10 |
Jameson Williams |
82 |
1,130 |
8 |
Sam LaPorta |
70 |
799 |
8 |
Isaac TeSlaa |
30 |
389 |
3 |
Jahmyr Gibbs |
48 |
443 |
3 |
Tim Patrick |
25 |
221 |
1 |
Kalif Raymond |
20 |
213 |
0 |
Brock Wright |
14 |
178 |
1 |
David Montgomery |
26 |
200 |
0 |
Ok, let's talk about what we've got here. St. Brown takes a slight step back, but that's because Jameson Williams is expected to do more this year. 129 yards might not seem like a big jump, but it is. It's alos proof that he's posting back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons, and that's going to help him come contract time. Whenever that is.
LaPorta sees an uptick, but like he'll tell you, there are so many mouths to feed on this offense that it's kind of hard ot ever see him as a 1,000-yard tight end. Not that there's a lot of those anyway. Isaac TeSlaa should become a big part of the offense, but expecting a huge amount of yards and receptions for him is not really something that you should expect. He should get some big catches and make some plays. That's good enough for now.
Tim Patrick and Kalif Raymond are likely to play smaller parts in the offense this season, and Brock Wright has never really put up numbers. Montgomery doesn't do a ton in the passing game either.
As for Gibbs, this puts him insanely close to 2,000 total yards on the season. Sadly, I don't know if he gets there. It's not easy. That's why it doesn't often happen.
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