Eagles vs. Saints prediction, pick, odds, how to watch NFL Week 3

Eagles vs. Saints: NFL Week 3 Picks

I think this is a complete overreaction to a last-second meltdown by Philadelphia. You can upgrade New Orleans to an extent somewhat, but this line move still seems excessive.

Even accounting for A.J. Brown being out, the Saints' upgrade, and the Eagles on short rest, the swing is too much. Yes, the Eagles defense is a problem, but they were in a position to win last week against the Falcons, which is all you can ask for.

The Saints, meanwhile, started the season against two teams that couldn't run the ball effectively, which makes it hard to gauge their improvement. While they're at the top of the NFC right now, the Eagles were being talked about as a potential number one seed. This spot feels like an overreaction. If Saquon Barkley catches a late pass against the Falcons before Kirk Cousins' game-winning drive in the fourth quarter, we're not talking about Philly as a three-point 'dog.

New Orleans' offense has been efficient, though it's hard to measure exactly how much better it is from last year. The Saints have obviously benefited from big plays, with Rashid Shaheed catching long bombs and Derek Carr mostly thriving by using play action. The offensive line looks better, but the sample size is still small.

The Saints haven't had a true dropback game yet, and their few plays have done significant damage. The Eagles' defense has issues, but the Saints' efficiency might not hold up. This could be the top of the market for the Saints, flipping six points quickly against a top contender in the NFC based on a last-second loss by the Eagles.

Best Bet for Eagles vs. Saints

This feels like a classic overreaction week. The Eagles are still a strong team with explosive players like DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert. The Saints haven't been tested enough, and their performance so far is skewed by big plays. Philly is being underestimated because of its loss last Monday, but it still has a lot working in its favor here.

I was ready to bet Philly at +2.5, but the line got to three late in the week. The market is too high on the Saints right now, and the Eagles should cover this spread.

Pick: Eagles +3

Betting Trends

• 52% of bets and 46% of the money are on the Saints to cover the spread.
• 55% of bets and 69% of the money are on the over.
• 59% of bets and 65% of the money on the moneyline are on the Saints.

How to Watch Eagles vs. Saints

Philadelphia vs. New Orleans is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET live from Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. The game will be broadcast live on FOX and can be streamed on platforms like YouTube TV.

About the Author

Chris Raybon is a senior betting analyst at the Action Network, specializing in NFL, NBA, and fantasy football betting. He hosts The Action Network Podcast, with profitable NFL ATS picks every season, and the Fantasy Flex Podcast, while regularly appearing on NBA TV’s NBA BET and Turner Sports’ The Line. With over 15 years of betting experience, Chris boasts a 57% all-time winning percentage on NFL bets and top-5 finishes in FantasyPros accuracy rankings.

Follow Chris Raybon @ChrisRaybon on Twitter/X.