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ESPN NFL stats projections for 2024 Los Angeles Rams include breakout player
Junfu Han / USA TODAY NETWORK

The Los Angeles Rams statistics in 2023 far exceeded what many expected from this offense. With this roster now in even better shape for the 2024 season, recent stat projections for the Rams this fall look a lot better than they did a year ago.

In 2023, the Rams had one of the best offenses in the NFL thanks to several players being near the top of the NFL stat leaders. Kyren Williams had the third-most rushing yards (1,144) and led the NFL in rushing yards per game (95.3), while rookie wide receiver Puka Nacua finished with the fourth-most receiving yards (1,486), the fifth-most first downs (68) among wide receivers and tied for the fourth-most big plays (25).

There’s reason to believe Los Angeles could be even better offensively in 2024. A healthy Matthew Stafford, who missed 2 games, would make a significant difference. The same goes for the team’s hopes that Cooper Kupp has put his injury issues behind him. Plus, the offensive line should be even better.

ESPN NFL analyst Mike Clay delivered statistical projections for all 32 teams this upcoming season. When it came to the Rams’ offense, his data forecast has a very favorable view of this unit.

Coming off a solid season with a 92.5 QB rating, Clay’s NFL stats projections have Stafford narrowly eclipsing the 4,000-yard mark (4,065) with 23 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Notably, his model does have Stafford missing two games with Jimmy Garoppolo – 4-2 TD INT and 544 passing yards – starting the other two contests.

A year after rushing for over 1,100 yards, Clay’s forecast doesn’t believe the addition of running back Blake Corum will have a significant negative impact on Williams’ production. The stats projections have Williams rushing for 1,127 yards with 12 total touchdowns, averaging 4.65 yards per carry. As for Corum, Clay projects the Rams’ rookie running back to receive 128 touches (110 carries), turning them into 602 scrimmage yards with 4 total touchdowns.

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With just over 1,700 rushing yards projected, the Rams’ offense would provide more production through the air. Clay projects another Pro Bowl season for Nacua (89 receptions, 1,242 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns) with a healthy Kupp – 78 receptions, 1,000 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns – eclipsing the 1,000-yard mark for the first time since 2021.

Clay’s projections do suggest a breakout year is coming for wide receiver DeMarcus Robinson. After finishing with 371 receiving yards last season in Los Angeles, Robinson is forecasted for 700 receiving yards on 58 receptions in 2024. It would easily surpass Robinson’s previous career-high for receiving yards (466 in 2020).

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As for the Rams’ kicking woes, that’s where things could see a ton of improvement. A year removed from Los Angeles ranking 30th in the NFL in field-goal conversion rate (76.09 percent), Clay projects Joshua Karty to make 84 percent of his field-goal attempts (27-of-33) and 94 percent of his extra-point attempts.

This article first appeared on LAFB Network and was syndicated with permission.

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