Every NFL team's odds to win Super Bowl LIV

Super Bowl LIV will mark the 11th time Miami has hosted the big game, which will snap a tie with New Orleans for most NFL championship games hosted. It's somewhat fitting, as the last time South Florida played host, Drew Brees and the Saints rallied back to beat Peyton Manning's Indianapolis Colts, 31-17. The Colts, once a true favorite to win Super Bowl LIV, have dropped to the back of the pack following Andrew Luck's abrupt retirement. This has opened the door for several AFC South rivals to not only make a run at the division title but also has improved their Super Bowl LIV odds.

(Odds via Bovada)

Dolphins Odds: +12,500
Bengals Odds: +12,500
Bills Odds: +10,000

It's bittersweet that the year Miami plays host to the Super Bowl, its franchise is among the favorites to finish with the worst record. Newly acquired Josh Rosen will not start the season, as Ryan Fitzpatrick beat him out for the starting job. The Bengals, meanwhile, are playing for the future. This time next year, it'll likely be Zac Taylor and Joe Mixon's team, not Andy Dalton and A.J. Green's. And in Buffalo, the defense can will the team to seven to eight wins, but the offense will struggle to score more than 14 points per game.

Redskins Odds: +8,000
Cardinals Odds: +8,000
Lions Odds: +8,000
Jets Odds: +8,000

Washington's head coach Jay Gruden is among the favorites to be the first head coach canned, which tells you everything you need to know about his team's Super Bowl chances. Arizona's "Super Bowl" is keeping rookie quarterback Kyler Murray healthy behind one of the league's lowest-ranked offensive lines. As has been the case before, the Lions are in NFL purgatory waiting for the winds of change to either guide them atop the NFC North or remind them that they, too, once lost every game of the regular season. And in New York, Sam Darnold and Le'Veon Bell should improve the Jets' record this season, but with the AFC East on lock and the wild cards likely coming out of the AFC North and West, this is a team without a playoff chair.

Odds: +6,600

If ever there was a picture to sum up Eli Manning's career. The Giants franchise quarterback is on borrowed time, as he's lost his top receiver, and the G-Men invested heavily in what they hope is their next star trigger, rookie Daniel Jones. The team's defense ranked 20th or worse against the run and pass and allowed 25.8 points per game last season.

Odds: +6,600

I'm not quite sure how the Broncos and Raiders possess the same Super Bowl odds, but when you share a division with the loaded Chiefs and Chargers, it's probably a moot point. Joe Flacco is Denver's latest quarterback to give it a whirl, but the Broncos' postseason aspirations come down to whether the defense returns to form.

Odds:+6,600

Lost in the Antonio Brown helmet saga is the fact Oakland's new running back, Josh Jacobs, is among the favorites to win Offensive Rookie of the Year. Jon Gruden's roster rebuild will likely continue on into Las Vegas when the franchise moves there next year.

Odds: +6,000

With the Saints heavy Super Bowl favorites, the Atlanta Falcons healthy and so many NFC contenders lurking in other divisions ready to snatch up a wild-card berth, it's curious as to why and how the Buccaneers' odds are 60-1. Yes, they're a long shot but within striking distance. Preseason action proved that Jameis Winston won't have much time to throw, and for a guy who tossed 14 interceptions in 11 games last year, this isn't ideal.

Odds: +5,000

The fact is Tennessee's brand of football isn't the most exciting to watch, save for a few Derrick Henry rushing performances at the tail end of 2018. However, if quarterback Marcus Mariota and Henry remain healthy, the defense is solid enough to make a run at an AFC South title. Tennessee's defense was one of only three last season to hold opponents under 19 points per game.

Odds: Were +1,600 | Now +5,000

Jacoby Brissett, this is your life! Numbers don't lie, and bookmakers dropped the Colts' Super Bowl odds from 16-to-1 to 50-1 following Andrew Luck's retirement. It'll be interesting to see how Indy responds in the second half of the season when the shock and disappointment over Luck's departure wear off and allow this offense to move forward.

Odds: +3,500

Cam Newton wasn't healthy last year, underwent offseason shoulder surgery, felt great, felt fresh and then sprained his foot in a preseason game. Woof. The Panthers franchise quarterback is expected to be ready for Week 1, but is the passing game? With Cam's bum shoulder last season, Carolina ranked 16th in pass yards per game, but aside from hybrid running back Christian McCaffrey, no receiver finished with over 500 receiving yards. 

Odds: +3,500

Thanks, in large part, to Lamar Jackson's mobility, the Ravens were one of only two teams to finish the 2018 season ranked in the top 10 in offense and defense. Whether Baltimore can repeat as AFC North champs depends on Jackson's development as an NFL passer. The one-dimensional running quarterback does not last for long these days, and Jackson must prove he can keep defenses honest by moving the chains through the air.

Odds: +3,300

Jimmy Garoppolo has failed to wow the critics in his preseason return following ACL surgery last season. On top of that, starting running back Jerick McKinnon suffered a recent setback in his return from a knee injury. This leaves oft-injured Matt Breida and newcomer Tevin Coleman in the backfield. The 49ers invested their top pick in pass rusher Nick Bosa who has *checks notes* missed most of the preseason with an ankle injury. The 49ers Super Bowl odds are still somehow 33-1.

Odds: +3,000

Every season, one NFL team qualifies for a playoff spot a year after missing the postseason completely. Count on the Falcons to be that team this year. A run of bad luck and season-ending injuries gutted their defense, and starting running back Devonta Freeman missed most of the season too. Freeman's back, and the defense is stitched back together for a run at the NFC South crown. It also doesn't hurt that the team brought back Dirk Koetter to call the plays when the Falcons boast one of the best receiving trios in the league: Julio Jones, Calvin Ridley and Mohamed Sanu.

Odds: +2,800

By the looks of their roster and current health, the Seahawks are well on their way to leading the league in rush yards per game this season. Seattle averaged 160 rush yards per game last season, and Russell Wilson's lone, reliable target remains Tyler Lockett. Like Baltimore, this one-dimensional offense will likely come back to bite them, but Wilson has made plenty of chicken soup out of chicken droppings in the past.

Odds: +2,800

Kirk Cousins will take the heat because of his bloated contract, but running back Dalvin Cook really needs to pull his weight to create some sort of balance within the Vikings offense this season. It can't always be Cousins working the ball to Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen. Cook has missed 16 games through his first two seasons. Minnesota was one of only three teams to hold opposing quarterbacks under 200 passing yards per game.

Odds: Were +4,000 | Now +2,500

One day the Jags are the third-best team in the AFC South, then — *BOOM* — Andrew Luck retires and they're the second-best with 25-to-1 Super Bowl odds. As has been the case the past few years, keeping running back Leonard Fournette healthy and active remains key. First-year Jaguars quarterback Nick Foles needs a balanced attack to move the chains. The defense may have held opponents under 20 points per game last year, but it needs to force more takeaways this season because a -12 turnover differential (t-29th) isn't going to cut it.

Odds: +2,200

We're less than a week away from the start of the regular season, and Ezekiel Elliott's holdout continues. He accounted for 73 percent of the Cowboys rushing yards last season. Somewhat lost in the flash of the Cowboys offense was the fact the Dallas defense ranked fifth against the rush and allowed only 20.2 points per game, which ranked sixth-best. Without Zeke, the Cowboys are just a team, but if their elite rusher returns before the end of September, Dallas will reach the playoffs again.

Odds: +2,000

To add insult to injury, Aaron Rodgers was sacked 49 times last season all while playing through multiple ailments including a tibial plateau fracture. Ouch. The good news is Rodgers and his second-best target, Geronimo Allison, are both healthy and ready to return atop the league's top-tier passing offenses. 

Odds: +1,800

WARNING: DO NOT SLEEP ON THE PITTSBURGH STEELERS

With all the hype emanating out of Cleveland, it's easy to overlook a Pittsburgh squad that lost two of its best players and missed last year's playoffs. Don't be fooled. Although Antonio Brown and Le'Veon Bell are gone, Ben Roethlisberger still has JuJu Smith-Schuster to throw to and a two-pronged attack of James Conner and Jaylen Samuels to work with out of the backfield. The 2018 defense ranked in the top 10 against the rush and pass and led the league in sacks (tie). Rookie linebacker Devin Bush appears ready to improve those stats this season. 

Odds: Were +3,300 (Colts w/ Luck) | Now +1,800 (Colts w/o Luck)

No Andrew Luck, no problem. The Colts quarterback's abrupt retirement not only made the Texans the AFC South favorites but also boosted their Super Bowl odds from 33-to-1 to 18-to-1. However, Houston still has some problems. First, its starting running back, Lamar Miller, is out for the season with a torn ACL. This places a ton of pressure on quarterback Deshaun Watson, who was sacked a league-high 62 times last season. His offensive line must protect him for those 18-to-1 odds to mean anything.

Odds: +1,400

If the Chargers played in Cleveland, they'd be deemed a cursed franchise. Despite the 14-to-1 odds to win the Super Bowl, many are hesitant to crown Los Angeles a title contender. Star running back Melvin Gordon has missed the entire preseason over a contract dispute, and top-shelf strong safety and the team's leading tackler, Derwin James, will miss a chunk of the season after having foot surgery to repair a stress fracture. Aside from that duo, the Chargers return the bulk of their 12-win roster that came two wins shy of an AFC championship.

Odds: +1,400

Carson Wentz has missed eight games over the past two seasons due to injury. With Nick Foles now on the Jaguars, Wentz must stay upright and on the field if the Eagles are to advance to the Super Bowl. Wentz does have the best supporting cast of his career with the additions of running back Jordan Howard and wide receiver DeSean Jackson. Although it allowed the 12th-fewest points per game, 21.8, the defense can't rank 30th against the pass again. Bend but do not break defenses eventually get torched.

Odds: +1,400

Despite what LeBron James and the Cavs did for the city, Cleveland will always be a Browns town. Second-year quarterback Baker Mayfield has the weight of the world on his shoulders right now, as he's tasked to lead a team two years removed from 0-16 to the playoffs. Although there are some offensive line concerns, Cleveland's offense is loaded with Nick Chubb in the backfield and Odell Beckham and Jarvis Landry in the passing game. How close the Browns come to an AFC North title and playoff spot will likely come down to Myles Garrett and if they can drastically improve their 30th-ranked defense that allowed 24.5 points per game last season.

Odds: +1,400

The Bears are banking on their defense to lead them to Miami. Chicago allowed the fewest points per game last season and ranked first in rush defense and interceptions. However, to become a well-rounded Super Bowl threat, quarterback Mitch Trubisky must take that next step in his development. He's got two solid receivers in Allen Robinson and Anthony Miller on the outside and a hyped-up rookie running back in David Montgomery. If Trubisky breaks out and Montgomery lives up to the hype, Chicago is a steal at 14-to-1 odds.

Odds: +850

Oddsmakers must believe Todd Gurley's nagging knee injury and subsequent absence during preseason play is no big deal. It's the only way to justify the Rams' Super Bowl odds. Though he missed time down the stretch, Gurley paced the Rams' third-ranked rush attack that averaged 139.4 yards per game last season. While quarterback Jared Goff and his fifth-ranked pass attack of a season ago should not be ignored, it's hard to imagine the Rams reaching the Super Bowl with a hobbled Gurley. On defense, Aaron Donald can win all the Defensive Player of the Year Awards in the world, but if the Rams allow 5.1 yards per rush again this season, the opposition is going to exploit this weakness.

Odds: +800

The blown call heard 'round the world cost the New Orleans Saints a trip to last year's Super Bowl, but the past is the past. Here the Saints are at 8-to-1 odds looking at a bright future. Drew Brees returns to lead what has become a more balanced offensive attack where a dynamic running game is the priority. The Saints offense ranked seventh in rushing last year and returns Alvin Kamara with the addition of Latavius Murray to replace Mark Ingram. Brees and Michael Thomas will continue to carve up opposing secondaries, as the Saints hope to maintain their 31.5 points per game average of a season ago. If they can shore up their 29th-ranked pass defense, the Saints are headed to Miami.

Odds: +800

Despite losing Kareem Hunt's production, the top offense of a season ago should pick up where it left off. Led by Patrick Mahomes, the Chiefs led the NFL in yards and points per game, and with Tyreek Hill dodging any sort of punishment from the league for off-the-field issues, Kansas City will be among the league leaders once again. Defensively, the additions of Frank Clark and Tyrann Mathieu hope to improve the league's 31st-rank defense, one that allowed 26.3 points per game last year. If anything was holding the Chiefs back from a Super Bowl title, it was their defense.

Odds: +700

In the days following the Patriots' sixth Super Bowl title this century, oddsmakers wasted no time and posted their 2020 favorites. To the surprise of few, New England's odds were the best to repeat as world champs, at +650. Nearly seven months later, Bill Belichick, Tom Brady and Co. remain the favorites to win it all, but they'll have to do it without Rob Gronkowski. The dominant tight end called it quits in March. His absence leaves a big hole to fill within the Patriots offense this season. However, coach Belichick won't use it as an excuse, as his mantra always is "next man up" and "do your job." This so-called "Patriot way" is how you earn the opportunity to swim in a sea of confetti at season's end.