Before we dive into our Week 5 Start/Sit decisions, a few guiding principles. My recommendations each week are based on a mix of factors: player trends, schemes and personnel, matchup favorability, and a look towards the desert (Vegas) highlight shootout potential. Of course, and since you’re all savvy, I don’t need to belabor this point, but start your studs. Every week. Don’t get cute. Players like Justin Jefferson, Bijan Robinson, and Brock Bowers should always be in your lineup, regardless of their opponent. As a rule of thumb, these are the guys you drafted in the first five rounds. To quote Coach Moore (Draft Day), “Don’t overthink this like your dad would have.” So you shouldn’t expect to see these layups in the column unless I expect a gargantuan performance out of them.
Start: Justin Fields (NYJ vs DAL): I’m starting Fields because the Jets can blunt Dallas’ rush with RPO, quick game, and designed keepers that lock in his floor. In a ~47.5 total with a tight spread, late scramble/rush attempts juice the ceiling. I’m playing the rushing insulation and red-zone keeper equity.
Start: Daniel Jones (IND vs LVR): I like Jones at home with play-action and sprint-outs to neutralize Crosby/Koonce and stack efficient throws. The rushing element gives me a built-in floor. In a ~47.5 total as a favorite, I’m chasing multi-TD upside.
Sit: Trevor Lawrence (JAC vs KC): I’m sitting Lawrence against Spags’ simulated pressure and late safety rotations that squeeze windows on third down. In a middling ~46.5 total, I’m not paying for a squeaky efficiency line. I’ll pivot to a similar tier with a cleaner projected outcome.
Sit: Sam Darnold (SEA vs TB): I’m benching Darnold because Tampa’s split-safety looks force checkdowns and sap YAC. Even with a modest ~44.5 total at home, the red-zone path is thin. I’d stream elsewhere unless I’m desperate in deep superflex.
Start: Jonathan Taylor (IND vs LVR): I’m in on JT with Indy favored and a balanced ~47.5 total supporting sustained drives. The gap/zone blend should pop second-level lanes against this front. I’m projecting 18+ touches with prime goal-line equity.
Start: Trey Benson (ARI vs TEN): I’m starting Benson as a positive-script closer for a home favorite (roughly a TD). If Tennessee stalls, fourth-quarter carries stack in a ~41.5 total. That’s RB2 volume with upside.
Sit: Derrick Henry (BAL vs HOU): Henry isn’t the same; that’s basically it, and I’m fading him until he punishes me for it. Baltimore may tilt pass-lean on money downs versus Houston’s front, and the non-targeted snaps get punished in catch-up. Without a TD in a mid-40s total, the floor feels fragile.
Sit: Tony Pollard (TEN @ ARI): I’m benching Pollard as a road dog where every carry is precious and long-down snaps can drift away. If the game script flips negative, the two-minute work gets messy. He’s touchdown-dependent this week.
Start: Garrett Wilson (NYJ vs DAL): I’m starting Wilson to attack man coverage with isolation routes and deep crossers off play-action. In a ~47.5 total, WR1 usage plus red-zone slants gives me multiple outs. I’m playing talent and leverage.
Start: Jakobi Meyers (LV @ IND): I’m rolling with Meyers versus Indy’s zone that funnels sit-downs and option routes. I expect 7–9 chain-moving targets in a top-half total. That’s a sturdy WR2/3 floor.
Sit: Cooper Kupp (SEA vs TB): I’m benching Kupp because the Bucs’ pattern-match narrows option-route windows and can divert looks to backs/TEs. If Seattle leans run as a small home fave, volume and red-zone chances tighten. I’d chase a higher-ceiling spot.
Sit: Ladd McConkey (LAC vs WAS): Like Henry, I’m sitting until McConkey makes me regret it. I’m out this week against Washington’s two-high shells that cap explosives and force patience. Target consolidation is volatile, and red-zone work may skew elsewhere (hello, Keenan). Boom-bust bench until the environment improves.
Start: Hunter Henry (NE @ BUF): I’m starting Henry because a negative script versus a favored Bills team funnels late targets. Play-action seams and proven red-zone usage give me volume or TD paths. In a slate-high total, he’s a low-end TE1.
Start: Tyler Warren (IND vs LVR): I’m smashing Warren for play-action leaks near the goal line, where his box-out game wins. Even on modest volume, the targets are high value. I’m hunting a touchdown, here.
Sit: Mike Gesicki (CIN vs DET): I’m benching Gesicki with Detroit’s nickel/safety leverage, squeezing TE YAC into contested sideline stuff. As an underdog, Cincy likely funnels to perimeter WRs in chase mode. I’m only starting him if I’m praying for a busted-coverage TD, which I’m not.
Sit: Dallas Goedert (PHI vs DEN): I’m sitting Goedert because Denver is really good at bracketing the middle and forcing the ball outside. I’d need a splash play, which he hasn’t consistently shown this year. Great player; wrong spot for the ceiling.
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