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How Did Grier’s Rebuild Get So Bad So Fast

Miami Dolphins General Manager Chris Grier started a full-blown rebuilding project with this team back in 2019.

He pared this roster to the core, traded players for draft picks, and cut others as well. He wanted to build this team through the draft. Grier built a very good roster through the draft with young talent, such as Christian Wilkins, Robert Hunt, Jaelan Phillips, Jaylen Waddle, and Tua Tagovailoa.

He also made aggressive trades for Tyreek Hill, Bradley Chubb, and Jalen Ramsey. The Dolphins in 2023 had one of their most talented and deepest rosters that I had seen in years and had a 9-3 heading into the final month of the season with a 3-game lead in the AFC East and on track for the number 1 seed, but things went downhill and have sunk ever since, and have hit rock bottom. The question is how we got here. 

 In 2023, the Dolphins were completely hit hard with injuries in the last month of the season. They lost their best pass rushers, Phillips and Chubb, to season-ending injuries, and those guys were turning into one of the best pass rushing duos in the league. They had injuries in the secondary, offensive line, and Hill wasn’t 100% with an ankle injury. It was a major part of the team’s collapse in 2023. 

 Quarterback play has been another reason for this. Tagovailoa thrived in 2022 and 2023. He was putting up MVP numbers in 2023, but he is injury-prone and missed time in 2022 and 2024. Tagovailoa was healthy for all 17 games in 2023, but the problem is that he didn’t raise his level of play at the end of the year when injuries were an issue. Tua in big games doesn’t play well, either, as evidenced by his poor record against winning teams.

The Dolphins gave him a contract extension before the 2024 season, and I felt that was a mistake. I felt the team should have let him play out his 5th year option and go from there because of his durability concerns and not being able to play well in big games. Sure enough, he got hurt in 2024 and missed games.

On top of that, the Dolphins have had no plan for a backup quarterback. In fact, some of them looked unprepared, such as Skyler Thompson last year in his only start. The quarterback position is the most important position, and they didn’t handle it.

Some say the Dolphins should have taken Justin Herbert in the 2020 draft because of his size and arm strength. Maybe things would have been different, but outside of his durability in his career, what has he done so far? In big games, Herbert hasn’t played well either. In his playoff game last year, he threw four interceptions. Getting the quarterback right is the most significant and hardest decision to make. 

Relying on injured players is another thing. The Dolphins’ offensive line has always had injuries. They relied on left tackle Terron Armstead, who is great when he plays; however, he has never played a full NFL season in his career. The Dolphins had other injuries at the position.

Also, Tagovailoa being out didn’t help. They also had running backs like Raheem Mostert, who, while productive, had ailing knee injuries. Grier has never learned about going with more durable players. His big free agent signing this off-season, James Daniels, tore his Achilles tendon last year, and while recovering from that injury, he got hurt three plays into the season and hasn’t played since. 

Roster Management is a big thing with this team; the last couple of years have been awful as well. One criticism of Grier, which is valid, is that he has a reputation for paying players in free agency from other teams and not investing in his home-grown talent that he drafted. Think about it, since Grier has overseen the Dolphins’ drafts, how many players have gotten second contracts?

At the top of my head, Xavien Howard, Tagovailoa, Austin Jackson, and Waddle. I am probably missing a few, but it’s not many. A lot of the players from the first couple of drafts were productive, like Wilkins, Hunt, Andrew Van Ginkel, and Brandon Jones, to name a few. Grier didn’t have the vision to try to work out extensions ahead of time, and when the contracts expired, the price went up.

That’s bad management and not looking ahead. The Buffalo Bills have done this, and it’s why they have continuity on their roster and have won 5 straight AFC East Titles and been to two AFC Championship games. That’s a big difference between the two teams. Grier didn’t properly replace those players, as Chubb and Phillips missed basically all last season, they signed Jordan Poyer who is over the hill and done as a player and signed cheap defensive tackles like Benito Jones. Grier had no plan for the guard position. 

Grier gave a big contract to Byron Jones in 2020, making him the highest-paid DB in the league at the time. He didn’t play well and got hurt prior to 2022, and is out of the league. After trading premium picks for Hill, Chubb, and Ramsey, Grier gave them new contracts or, in Ramsey’s case, inherited his contract.

The Dolphins had fewer picks and less cap space that could have been used to re-sign some of the players I already mentioned, so there was a talent drain in 2024 because of this. 

Grier has also had questionable draft picks. In 2020, he had three first-round picks and, with the last pick, took defensive back Noah Igbonogenie, who wasn’t ready to play and was a complete bust. The Dolphins could have taken a running back like Jonathon Taylor, or they could have taken Hunt with the 30th pick and could have used the 5th year option on him to buy time rather than let him walk after 2023.

They also took Cam Smith in the 2nd round in 2023, and he was a bust. The Dolphins just released him. The Dolphins have no players left on the roster from the 2022 draft, and if not for De Von Achane, the Dolphins wouldn’t have anybody from 2023. This sets you up for failure eventually. 

The biggest thing is that it starts with the owner, Stephen Ross. The warning signs were there last year with the team, and it was clear they were going downhill, but he decided to be patient with Grier and head coach Mike McDaniel. Right now, he is losing patience, and it’s a matter of when he will make a change. The biggest question I have is will he fire Grier along with McDaniel?

Grier has been with the Dolphins for 25 years and came up through the organization, but it’s clear as day that it is time for a change, and that means Ross needs to look outside the organization to find someone to make football decisions and also pick the head coach, because Ross has had a bad history picking head coaches. Joe Philbin and Adam Gase weren’t fit to be head coaches. Brian Flores was a good head coach, but clashed with Ross.

Maybe Ross should take that as a sign, years later, that he must change. Ross isn’t an actively involved owner, which is fine, but he is the one who picks the head coach and is bad at it. McDaniel was refreshed at first, but he is over his head, especially during the bad times.

In 2014, Ross had the chance to hire a GM, such as Eric Decosta, but he turned it down because he wanted to change coaches and pick the coach. Well, Decosta has now put together a very good roster with the Baltimore Ravens after succeeding Ozzie Newsome.

Ross missed the boat on that. If the Dolphins are ever going to get this turned around, Ross must take a good look in the mirror at himself and make changes in how he is running the team and not doing. He is a successful businessman and is fully invested in it, still at age 85, and God bless him for that, but if he really wants to improve the product on the field, he needs to take a long look at this and make changes himself. 

This article first appeared on Dolphins Talk and was syndicated with permission.

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