Jaguars vs. Dolphins prediction: Odds, lines, best bets, expert picks for NFL Week 1

Jaguars vs. Dolphins Picks

SPREAD

I'm betting the spread for this one, taking the points with the underdog Jaguars.

MONEYLINE

While I think Jacksonville could win this game outright, it's not enough for me to bet the moneyline.

TOTAL

I have no play on the Jaguars-Dolphins over/under.

Jaguars vs. Dolphins Pick: Jaguars +3.5

Jaguars vs. Dolphins Odds

Sunday, Sept. 8

1 p.m. ET

CBS

Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.

• Jaguars vs. Dolphins Point Spread: Jaguars +3 | Dolphins -3
• Jaguars vs. Dolphins Total: Over/Under 49.5
• Jaguars vs. Dolphins Moneyline: Jaguars +140 | Dolphins -166

How to Watch Jaguars vs. Dolphins

Jaguars vs. Dolphins is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET live from Miami on Sunday. The game is live on CBS and other streaming platforms, such as YouTube TV.

Jaguars-Dolphins Betting Trends

• 51% of bets and 45% of the money are on the Jaguars to cover the spread.
• 80% of bets and 81% of the money are on the over.
• 94% of bets but 91% of the money on the moneyline are on the Dolphins to win.

Jaguars vs. Dolphins: NFL Week 1 Picks

I think the Jaguars are being undervalued in this spot.

Jacksonville got really unlucky last year. Trevor Lawrence, I believe, is a lot better than his numbers showed. He's had the most drops over his first three seasons of any quarterback in the NFL with a lot of unlucky things happening in the red zone.

Christian Kirk outplayed expectations last year when healthy while tight end Evan Engram proved to be a beast. Travis Etienne can be used all across the field, and the Jaguars' offensive line blocking for him dealt with a lot of injuries last season and should be better. Adding Brian Thomas Jr. and Gabe Davis, a great run blocker, should also help replace Calvin Ridley.

Miami has the flashier skill-position guys, but Jacksonville has a solid group that will make plays for Lawrence.

Defensively, Jacksonville has always left you wanting more, but I think that unit has enough pieces. The Jaguars added some key veteran pieces during the offseason that won't completely stop the Dolphins but will be savvy enough to cause trouble.

While I think Jacksonville will be better than last season, Miami is pretty similar to what it was. When the Dolphins play quality teams like this, the narrative is Miami can't beat great competition. If they win, however, it's usually a close game. The Dolphins beat the Chargers by two points in Week 1 last season then only beat Dallas by two later in the year.

Best Bet for Jaguars vs. Dolphins

Miami laying 3.5 at home is just too much. I could understand a field goal a little more, but I'd still be on the Jaguars if I had to pick a side. You're just begging me to take Jacksonville at 3.5, though, so I will.

I wouldn't be surprised if the 'Jags win this game outright. It will come down to whether they can limit Tyreek Hill's explosive plays to only a couple instead of four. Overall, though, I think these teams are too evenly matched for Miami to be laying more than a field goal.

This is just a play on the number for me. I make this closer to Dolphins -2.5. These are similar teams, so it really comes down to home-field for the Dolphins, and that's not really significant since both teams play in Florida.

Pick: Jaguars +3.5

About the Author

Chris is a Senior Analyst at the Action Network who specializes in NFL betting, NBA betting, and fantasy football.

Follow Chris Raybon @ChrisRaybon on Twitter/X.