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Jared Goff 2025 NFL Redraft Outlook
- Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff (16) talks to teammates before a snap against Chicago Bears during the first half at Soldier Field in Chicago, Ill. on Sunday, Dec. 22, 2024.

According to most rankings, Jared Goff is at the lower end of the stronger quarterbacks in the league. Coming out of the University of California, Goff spent some time in LA before he found his new home in Detroit.

Although the last couple of years have been amazing for Goff, he still has trouble cracking that upper echelon of quarterbacks with the likes of Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen.

Conversely, Detroit in general has a great offense, so is it smart to take Goff as a QB1?

Jared Goff 2024 Stats and Fantasy Production

It’s quite possible that Jared Goff is the most accurate quarterback in the NFL. Over the 2024 season, Goff had a 72.4 completion percentage.

In some of the individual games, though, it seemed Goff couldn’t miss a pass if he tried. Jared Goff literally had a perfect completion rate against Seattle last year. In addition to that, he hit 80% or over completion percentage in five games.

While his accuracy should be praised, it only tells half the story. When it comes to yards, touchdowns, and interceptions, Goff has some huge highs and abysmal lows. There were games like against Houston where he threw five interceptions.

Then again, against Buffalo, he scored 41.1 fantasy points by throwing over 400 yards. What the data shows is that Jared Goff played up to the opponent.

In close games, Goff would be amazing, but against lesser opponents, he wouldn’t need to throw as much (why throw the ball if you have the lead and Jahmyr Gibbs can run?).

Jared Goff 2025 Fantasy Outlook

Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff (16) hands the ball to running back Jahmyr Gibbs (26) against Seattle Seahawks during the first half at Ford Field in Detroit on Monday, Sept. 30, 2024.

It’s clear that Goff is one of the better quarterbacks; that isn’t in question. When it comes to who to take at QB1, though, it might be better to pass off on him for better options.

First of all, Goff played much better toward the end of the season when Detroit’s defense was in shambles. If they stay healthy this year, Goff won’t need to throw 400 yards a game.

It’s very likely that Goff will complete more than 80% of his passes throughout the season. Other quarterbacks will have more yards and touchdowns than him, though.

This especially goes for smaller drafts; if a player is drafting against seven or five other people, then everyone should be guaranteed one of the elite quarterbacks (Burrow, Jackson, Allen, Daniels, etc.).

Goff can be taken as a QB in larger drafts, but there are plenty of quarterbacks around him with a similar projection. In fact, many fantasy experts are talking about how the quarterbacks ranked from eight to around 15 are in a similar boat.

Therefore, Goff is projected to have a strong year, but he won’t be winning matchups fantasy-wise unless his owner also has Amon St. Brown or they just have so many strong skill players that they can afford the consistent 20 points from Goff.

This article first appeared on Total Apex Fantasy Sports and was syndicated with permission.

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