Jason Licht’s Draft Testing Average Preferences

Menon’s method for weighting is explained in the app he links where you can visit and explore on your own. Here is his explanation:

“All of the averages on each tab are weighted by the Fitzgerald-Spielberger draft value of the pick where the player was taken. Players who were taken high in the draft have their athletic scores matter more than later in the draft. If there is anything that looks off numbers wise, contact me @arjunmenon100 on Twitter, and I can fix it.”

“For players testing data, combine data was used first, and if there were missing combine testing values, those were filled in using a player’s pro day data. Finally, every tab but the GM specific tab and team specific tab (where GM specific button = yes) uses all years from 2011-2023, unless specified otherwise.”

Arjun Menon’s Research On Jason Licht

I reached out to Arjun to ask him a few questions about his findings regarding Licht.

Josh Queipo: What stood out to you the most from Jason Licht’s testing averages?

Arjun Menon: From Licht’s averages, I thought the things that stood out the most were: Big wide receivers with long arm lengths, big tight ends also with long arm lengths, explosive offensive tackles with high broad and vertical jumps, quick guards with low shuttle and 3-cone times, big interior defensive linemen in terms of height and weight, seems to take undersized linebackers with short heights even if they don’t make up for it with athleticism, heavier corners in terms of weight.

Josh Queipo: Where do you think he (Jason Licht) diverges most from the rest of the NFL?

Arjun Menon: The biggest divergences seemed to come from the wide receiver position where the height, weight, arm lengths were all near the top of the league. But he doesn’t just focus on size for each position as his linebacker picks have been on the smaller side, and even someone like Devin white was only 6-foot coming out of LSU.

Applying Arjun’s Findings To Current Draft-Eligible Prospects

Based on Arjun’s findings, and using the MockDraftable.com database, here are a few players who fit Jason Licht’s criterion (Top 5 by metric):

WR – Arm length

Johnny Wilson – Florida State

Devaughn Vele – Utah

Tez Walker – North Carolina

Bub Means – Pittsburgh

Brendan Rice – USC

TE – Arm Length

Trey Knox – South Carolina

Dallin Holker – Washington

AJ Barner – Michigan

Brevyn Spann-Ford – Minnesota

Jared Wiley – TCU

OT – Vertical Jump

Garret Greenfield – South Dakota State

Tyler Guyton – Oklahoma

Brandon Coleman – TCU

Javon Foster – Missouri

Troy Fautanu – Washington

G – Quick with low 3-cone and short shuttle times

Brady Latham – Arkansas

C.J. Hanson – Holy Cross

Christian Haynes – Connecticut

Christian Mahogany – Boston College

Cooper Beebe – Kansas State

D-Line – Weight

T’Vondre Sweat – Texas

Justin Rogers – Auburn

McKinnley Jackson – Texas A&M

Fabien Lovett – Florida State

Zion League – Georgia

CB – Heavier weights

Ro Torrence – Arizona State

Ryan Watts – Texas

Isaiah Johnson – Syracuse

Cooper DeJean – Iowa

Cam Hart – Notre Dame

Does this mean that Licht will absolutely draft players exclusively from this group? No.

Does it mean he will only look at these factors? Again, no.

Just last year he bucked the trend with first-round pick Calijah Kancey.

But these tendencies can help outline some players he may be targeting, and it can improve hit rate for who Licht may be pursuing. And people like Arjun are making it easier for fans and media alike to understand the thinking of front offices around the league.