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Jessie Bates trade gives Jacksonville exactly what they need
Europa Press Sports / Getty Images

Legitimate shots at the Super Bowl don’t come around very often, so there was no way the Jaguars were going to let losing their starting free safety to a season-ending injury derail their season.

On Monday, they pulled off a surprising trade, sending the Falcons two picks in exchange for Jessie Bates while keeping their championship hopes alive.

The Jags are 6-2 after their absolute dismantling of the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday night, and having won 5 of their last six games go into a stretch of games where they play the lowly Tennessee Titans, who they’ve beaten four straight times, twice in three weeks.

But now their defense, which has had trouble locking down the deep end of the field, gets one of the better coverage safeties in the NFL in Bates and their team is suddenly even better than it was just a few days ago.

Jessie Bates brings the Jags the help they need

An informal polling of the Jaguars’ fan opinions on X reveals that most fans have noticed that the Jags defensive scheme had some holes in it, especially at the safety position. So while Eric Murray’s injury hurt the Jags, they are a better defense now with Bates taking over at free safety.

The Jags play zone coverage 75.3% of the time, ranking 5th in the NFL, according to Sharp Football. Within that zone, they play a lot of quarters coverage, which divides the deep field into 4 different coverage areas, with the safeties, usually, playing the seams.

But they also run a lot of Cover 3 out of the quarters look, meaning one of the two safeties will drop down into the box to either cover underneath or rush the quarterback. It’s a scheme that puts a lot of pressure on the safety position to be able to cover and be versatile.

Bates is one of the most versatile safeties in the league, but he excels in coverage as an absolute ball hawk. Over the last five years, Jessie Bates has 18 picks, fourth in the NFL.

“The playmaker that he is,” head coach Liam Coen responded when asked Monday why the Jags brought Bates into the fold. ¨So much impact on the game,¨ Coen said, reminiscing about facing Bates twice a year when Coen was the offensive coordinator in Tampa Bay.

¨Over the span of the season, and, obviously losing Eric Murray… the opportunity to get arguably a top-5 player at his position to continue to help us evolve and ascend was the whole point of it all.¨

Coen went on to mention Bates’s playmaking ability and how the team wanted someone who could “get their hands on the ball.”

Jags defense needs a boost

The Jags passing defense has been bad, allowing 229 yards per game, which ranks them 22nd in the league. Wide receivers have been their biggest weakness. Jacksonville is allowing 9.7 yards per target to wide receivers this season, the second-worst mark in the league ahead of only Miami.

They’re allowing 10.4 yards per target on throws to outside receivers, third worst in the league and 9.2 yards to slot receivers, 12th-most in the NFL.

And it’s a shame because their run defense is the polar opposite. The Jaguars are only allowing 318.2 yards per game, 10th-best in the league, largely because their run front is so solid, allowing just 89.2 yards per game, fifth best in the league.

They’re also not letting teams score. The Jaguars are allowing just 15.1 points per game this season, second in the league behind the Vikings. They’ve only allowed 13 touchdowns all season, just 5 of which have come on the ground through nine weeks.

Their run defense is even better than the numbers suggest if you take away this 65-yard garbage time TD run from their Week 9 win.

Jaguars head coach Liam Coen and quarterback Trevor Lawrence can trust their defense a bit more after the Jessie Bates trade. Icon Sportswire / Getty Images

Jaguars offense is already championship caliber

If the Jessie Bates trade does indeed fix Jacksonville’s secondary, then they are truly one of the more complete teams in the league thanks to their run defense and surprisingly potent offense.

Trevor Lawrence is not only on track to eclipse 4,000 yards this season, but he is also on track to surpass that mark for the fourth time in his career. There were only four NFL QB’s with 4,000 yards last season: MVP Matthew Stafford, MVP runner up Drake Maye, Super Bowl champion Sam Darnold and Lawrence.

Lawrence is averaging 8.6 yards per attempt this year, the best mark of his career by 1.4 yards, and good enough for seventh-best in the league. 

Lawrence’s 2.6 seconds average time to throw ranks 37th in the league, but it’s not like he is running for his life constantly. His scramble percentage is only 4.05%, 31st in the league. The Jags offense gets the ball out of his hands quickly in the medium range. His average depth of target this season is 8.21 yards, 11th in the league among regular starters.

Put it all together and you have a team primed to play into February if everything lines up for them.

This article first appeared on Lindy's Sports and was syndicated with permission.

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