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- Jan 5, 2025; Glendale, Arizona, USA; Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray (1) against the San Francisco 49ers at State Farm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

Kyler Murray 2025 NFL Redraft Outlook: Can K1 Return to QB 1 Form?

Originally posted on Total Apex Fantasy Sports
By Andrew Kim | Last updated Jul 27, 2025 8:14 PM ET

Drafted No. 1 overall in 2019, Kyler Murray was heralded as the shining star for the Arizona Cardinals. And while his career has often resembled a rollercoaster rather than a smooth ascent, there’s no denying the sheer electricity he brings to the game. After battling a few injuries in his career, he was mostly healthy last year but still underwhelmed from expectations last year. Coming off a bad 2024 performance, is Murray still the heartbeat of the Arizona Cardinals heading into 2025?

Kyler Murray 2024 Stats and Fantasy Production

When it comes to fantasy football, Kyler Murray is a name that always seems to spark heated discussions. On the one hand, his rushing stats alone keep him in the conversation as a top-12 QB option (among quarterbacks, he has ranked fourth in rushing yards and seventh in rushing touchdowns when healthy). But then there’s the less shiny reality of his passing game, where inconsistency has plagued much of his career. Over the last three seasons, Murray has averaged 18.1-18.9 fantasy points per game, so not bad, but not elite either.

Digging deeper, Kyler has struggled to break through certain milestones as a passer. With no 4,000-yard campaigns or 30+ passing touchdown seasons under his belt, his stats as a thrower can disappoint those expecting a dual-threat quarterback capable of matching Josh Allen or Patrick Mahomes. And yet, he’s still standing, tantalizing us with flashes of brilliance.

What’s fascinating about Murray isn’t just his skill set but the wildly unpredictable nature of his performances. Take 2024, for instance. Fantasy owners saw him deliver five top-five QB weekly finishes, with an adrenaline-pumping average of 26.2 points per game in those outings. But tucked between those moments of glory were nine weeks where he finished as QB15 or lower. Talk about emotional whiplash.

For those who had Murray on their fantasy rosters, it was the hope that killed. After all, this is a player who has the ability to singlehandedly win you a week, but not without also driving you to question every decision you’ve made about starting QBs. If you’ve been burned by him before, you’re probably reading this with a bittersweet smile.

Kyler Murray 2025 Fantasy Outlook

Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray (1) during organized team practice at the Arizona Cardinals training center in Tempe on May 28, 2025.

Now, while the frustrating valleys of inconsistency might turn some fantasy managers away, it’s crucial to remember the incredible upside Murray offers. His rushing game is a built-in fantasy cheat code. We’re talking read-option plays that make linebackers look silly, scrambles where he generates 20 yards out of thin air, and those moments of backyard football where you’re reminded he was once an MLB draft pick for his freakish athleticism.

And don’t overlook Arizona’s budding offensive roster. With Marvin Harrison Jr. in year two, the passing game may finally have the star weapon it needs. If that chemistry develops, we could see Kyler’s TD rate climb higher than the subpar 4% range it’s languished in for the past several seasons.

Heading into 2025, Kyler Murray has both opportunity and pressure bearing down on him like a relentless defensive blitz. The Cardinals’ season will likely hinge on how well their offense adapts to Murray’s strengths while rounding off the edges of his game. For Murray personally, this is a make-it-or-break-it year to prove that he’s more than just a highlight reel quarterback.

Will things finally come together? Arizona fans are holding their breath, while fantasy managers remain cautiously optimistic. Murray’s current Draft Rank sits around QB9 in most league formats, meaning there’s still belief in his ability to put together a season worth remembering. However, he’s no longer the lock for a top-five finish that he once seemed destined to become. For those in one-quarterback leagues, consider him a high-upside pick, especially if you pair him with another consistent option.

This article first appeared on Total Apex Fantasy Sports and was syndicated with permission.

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