Since 2023, Kyren Williams has been a player fantasy players needed to keep an eye on. His ability to both run and catch makes him a great player to acquire, and it doesn’t hurt that he was only drafted from Notre Dame four seasons ago. The combination of youth and proven track record is hard to come by, but are people giving Williams too much hype?
Williams was easily one of the most consistent running backs last season. Outside of one game where he had 8.6 points (against New England), Williams scored in double digits for fantasy football every week. Although his floor was high, his ceiling wasn’t; he did have a 31.6 point game against San Francisco, but his next highest score was 23.7 against Buffalo. He also didn’t hit his ceiling often, since he scored below 16 points in half of the games last season.
Even though there is a lot to be happy about with William’s stat line, perhaps the biggest red flag is how touchdown-dependent he was. Williams only rushed over 100 yards in four games last season. Throughout the rest of the season, Williams had fairly average yardage. What saved him is that he had several multiple-touchdown games, which resulted in a couple of high-scoring games.
Kyren Williams is projected to have a good 2025 season, but there are a couple of reasons to pause. First off, there is the touchdown dependency. Williams did have 14 touchdowns on the ground and two more in the air, which is great for any running back. If the Rams throw more in the red zone, though (which may happen since they’ve acquired Davante Adams), then Williams’ touchdowns might be threatened.
Secondly, there’s the existence of Blake Corum. He certainly was drafted as someone the Rams would like to get lots of carries eventually. Corum also lost some weight, which made him more explosive. Finally, William’s ADP might be simply too high. He is currently being drafted as the tenth running back taken on average. That’s ahead of Jonathan Taylor, Chase Brown, Breece Hall, and James Cook. All of those running backs could end up with more production, and won’t need to see the endzone twice to get it.
As a result, the best strategy with Williams would probably be to wait on him. In big leagues, he might need to be picked up as an RB2. Otherwise, players might have to pick between Williams and James Cook or Jonathan Taylor. It might be better to go with some of those other guys and chase the upside.
More must-reads:
Get the latest news and rumors, customized to your favorite sports and teams. Emailed daily. Always free!