New Orleans Saints 2025 Win Total Odds: Get The Tanks Ready Saints Fans

When you’re talking about the New Orleans Saints and their 2025 season prospects, we’re not exactly dealing with a franchise that’s been subtle about its decline. The Saints are staring at a win total of just 5.5 games, and frankly, even that feels generous after Derek Carr decided to hang up his cleats. Look, I get it. Nobody wants to kick a team when they’re down. But they are looking to be a bottom-three team in the NFL on paper.

The Quarterback Situation is a Genuine Disaster

Let’s be real about what happened here. The Saints went 0-7 in games without Carr last season. Zero and seven. That’s not a small sample size quirk, that’s a franchise-defining statistic that should make every Saints fan question their life choices. Sure, the guy wasn’t exactly Tom Brady in his prime, but he was at least a competent quarterback who could manage a game. Now? New Orleans is rolling with Tyler Shough, a 25-year-old rookie who’s about as proven as a participation trophy, or Spencer Rattler, last year’s mid-round pick.

Shough might have looked decent throwing passes at Louisville, but college quarterbacks transitioning to the NFL is about as predictable as New Orleans weather during hurricane season. The Saints are essentially asking a rookie to quarterback a team that ESPN just ranked dead last in roster quality. That’s not exactly setting him up for success.

The Defense Isn’t What It Used to Be

Remember when the Saints’ defense was something to fear? Those days have been gone the moment Sean Payton left New Orleans. This unit has declined in defensive DVOA for four straight seasons, dropping from second to 21st. That’s not a gentle slope downward; that’s a cliff dive with no safety net.

The pass rush that ESPN calls their “biggest strength”? Please. The Saints tied for 18th in sacks last season with just 39. For context, that’s the kind of number that gets defensive coordinators fired, not praised. Having two guys in the top 10 for quarterback hurries is nice, but hurries don’t show up on the scoreboard.

Some Reasons for Optimism (If You Squint Really Hard)

Before you think I’m completely heartless, there are a few bright spots. The Saints face the third-easiest schedule in the NFL, which should help pad those win totals. They’re also dealing with fewer quality opponents outside their division, playing just two playoff teams from last season. Their offensive line could be legitimately good. Taliese Fuaga showed promise as a rookie, and Kelvin Banks Jr. was worth a top-10 pick. But here’s the thing: great offensive lines don’t matter much when your quarterback is learning the playbook on the fly. At least Alvin Kamara is still a Saint; there is a positive.

The Bottom Line on Saints Wins