NFL News

Home

Teams

Quizzes

Watch

Newsletter

Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

NFL betting guide for the NFC, AFC Championship Games

By Griffin Carroll | Last updated 1/27/23

We've nearly made it to the Conference Championship games, and one has to feel excited. Arguably the four best teams all season long are the four left standing, and that figures to set up two quality games in the NFL.

Before we dive in, there are a few other resources you may be interested in exploring as you prep your weekend's wagers.

Earlier in the week we looked at the betting trends for each team this season and what that may tell us about what's to come on Sunday. We also dove into the numbers and offered up every defense's biggest vulnerabilities as it relates to the player prop market. The betting guide is designed to circle a few intriguing matchups and let you make your own decisions, so we'd suggest you hop in and see what stands out.
Our week of prep has led us here.

San Francisco 49ers @ Philadelphia Eagles

Spread: Philadelphia -2.5

Total: 46.5 points

The feeling we have mentioned before and continue to feel more and more confident in is that this Sunday we will finally see why Brock Purdy was the last pick in the 2022 NFL Draft. This truly isn't meant as a slight for what Purdy has accomplished, but the rookie passer is set to face his toughest test yet, and after getting away with a few mistakes the past few games, our expectation is that his sloppiness comes to a head here in what will be the most raucous environment he's ever played in. Philadelphia has the edge throughout the field, with San Francisco's biggest advantages a better running back and linebacker group. The Eagles have the edge in the trenches, the secondary and most definitely at quarterback.

Bet ATS: Eagles -2.5

As for the prop market, there's a few different ways you could go. We certainly like the passing game on-paper for Philadelphia, but it feels like a coin flip to decide who will have a big game between AJ Brown and DeVonta Smith. Instead, we feel more comfortable just betting on Jalen Hurts to find the end zone. Whether it's a quarterback sneak or a longer design run/scramble, Hurts has a nose for the end zone and will not be shy to get himself there in a big moment. Hurts has 14 touchdowns on the ground this season and has piled up eight of those in the last eight games.

Favorite prop: Jalen Hurts TD (+125 FanDuel)

Cincinnati Bengals @ Kansas City Chiefs

Spread: Kansas City -1.5

Total: 48 points

The spread has flipped back to the Kansas City end, and so too has our belief in the Chiefs to win this game. Much of the reason we backed Buffalo against Cincinnati last week because of the injuries to the Bengals offensive line. The Chiefs are much more equipped to capitalize on some weak offensive line, as their defense was second in the NFL in sacks this season. Joe Burrow has a 3-0 record against Patrick Mahomes, and that narrative has been spread far and wide. We like the Chiefs to come out firing at home and advance to their third Super Bowl in five years.

Bet ATS: Chiefs -1.5

If Kansas City wins this game, we expect Travis Kelce to be a big reason why. The star TE is Mahomes' favorite target and has averaged 86.8 yards per game in his postseason career, scoring 14 times in 16 games. The Bengals have allowed the 7th-most yards per game to opposing tight ends this season, and Kelce is averaging 10.4 targets per game over his last five.

Favorite prop: Travis Kelce over 77.5 receiving yards (-114 FD)

More must-reads: