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NFL Expert Ranks Tua Tagovailoa’s Contract as One of the Worst in 2025 Season–Here’s Why

Originally posted on Gridiron Heroics
By Angelo Guinhawa | Last updated Jun 18, 2025 10:02 AM ET

Tua Tagovailoa’s $212 million contract with the Miami Dolphins has sparked widespread criticism, with experts labeling it one of the worst deals of the 2025 NFL season. While the quarterback has shown flashes of brilliance, concerns over his injury history and inconsistent availability raise questions about the long-term value of this financial commitment.

The contract, which includes over $167 million in guaranteed money, is the largest in Dolphins history. Critics argue that investing such a significant sum in a player with a history of concussions and durability issues is a tremendous gamble. Tagovailoa’s inability to consistently stay on the field has left the Dolphins vulnerable, potentially jeopardizing their ability to build a sustainable roster.

Dec 22, 2024; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) looks on before the game against the San Francisco 49ers at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-Imagn Images

Miami’s roster is already weighed down by hefty contracts for key players like Jalen Ramsey and Tyreek Hill. Reports suggest these veterans may be on the trade block as the team adjusts its long-term strategy. Tagovailoa’s deal complicates the Dolphins’ salary cap flexibility, making it difficult to address other roster needs or pursue additional talent.

Despite his injury concerns, Tagovailoa remains one of the NFL’s most accurate passers, showcasing moments of elite-level play. However, critics note that his performance has yet to elevate the Dolphins to true championship contention. The team’s decision not to restructure his contract for additional cap space signals a cautious approach, reflecting uncertainty about his future.

NFL Analyisis Names Miami Dolphins Star Tua Tagovailoa’s Contract as One of the Worst in 2025

Dec 22, 2024; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Miami quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) attempts a pass against the San Francisco 49ers during first half at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jasen Vinlove-Imagn Images

As it stands, Tagovailoa’s contract with Miami is among the worst in the league. This is detailed more in an analysis by Kristopher Knox for Bleacher Report.

Contract Terms: four years, $212.4 million with $167.2 million guaranteed

Tagovailoa is one of the league’s most accurate and efficient passers when at his best, but he hasn’t made Miami a title contender or managed to consistently avoid injuries. He’s simply too much of a risk to be worth a deal that includes more than $167 million guaranteed and makes him the sixth-highest-paid player in NFL history.

The stakes are high for both Tagovailoa and the Dolphins heading into the 2025 season. His performance and health will play a critical role in determining whether the team can remain competitive or will need to consider a rebuild.

Dec 15, 2024; Houston, Texas, USA; Miami quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) in action during the game against the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-Imagn Images

Ultimately, this contract symbolizes a high-risk, high-reward gamble. Whether it cements Tagovailoa as a franchise cornerstone or becomes a costly mistake will be decided in the months ahead.

Jan 5, 2025; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; Miami quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) on the field before the game against the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

This article first appeared on Gridiron Heroics and was syndicated with permission.

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